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Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics—2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

Originally publishedhttps://doi.org/10.1161/CIR.0000000000001123Circulation. 2023;147:e93–e621

Abstract

Background:

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

Methods:

The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year’s worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year’s edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

Results:

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

Conclusions:

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Table of Contents

Each chapter listed here is a hyperlink. Click on the chapter name to be taken to that chapter.

Summary e94

Abbreviations Table e104

1.

About These Statistics e109

2.

Cardiovascular Health e112

Health Behaviors

3.

Smoking/Tobacco Use e134

4.

Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior e150

5.

Nutrition e163

6.

Overweight and Obesity e187

Health Factors and Other Risk Factors

7.

High Blood Cholesterol and Other Lipids e202

8.

High Blood Pressure e216

9.

Diabetes e233

10.

Metabolic Syndrome e255

11.

Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes e278

12.

Kidney Disease e303

13.

Sleep e316

Cardiovascular Conditions/Diseases

14.

Total Cardiovascular Diseases e326

15.

Stroke (Cerebrovascular Diseases) e344

16.

Brain Health e385

17.

Congenital Cardiovascular Defects and Kawasaki Disease e410

18.

Disorders of Heart Rhythm e429

19.

Sudden Cardiac Arrest, Ventricular Arrhythmias, and Inherited Channelopathies e459

20.

Subclinical Atherosclerosis e490

21.

Coronary Heart Disease, Acute Coronary Syndrome, and Angina Pectoris e501

22.

Cardiomyopathy and Heart Failure e523

23.

Valvular Diseases e537

24.

Venous Thromboembolism (Deep Vein Thrombosis and Pulmonary Embolism), Chronic Venous Insufficiency, Pulmonary Hypertension e558

25.

Peripheral Artery Disease and Aortic Diseases e571

Outcomes

26.

Quality of Care e591

27.

Medical Procedures e608

28.

Economic Cost of Cardiovascular Disease e612

Supplemental Material

29.

At-a-Glance Summary Tables e615

30.

Glossary e619

Summary

Each year, the American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health and other government agencies, brings together in a single document the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors in the AHA’s Life’s Essential 8 (Figure),1 which include core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions. Cardiovascular disease produces immense health and economic burdens in the United States and globally. The Statistical Update also presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular heart disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs). Since 2007, the annual versions of the Statistical Update have been cited >20 000 times in the literature.

Figure.

Figure. AHA’s My Life Check—Life’s Essential 8. Source: Reprinted from Lloyd-Jones et al.1 Copyright © 2022, American Heart Association, Inc.

Each annual version of the Statistical Update undergoes revisions to include the newest nationally representative available data, add additional relevant published scientific findings, remove older information, add new sections or chapters, and increase the number of ways to access and use the assembled information. This year-long process, which begins as soon as the previous Statistical Update is published, is performed by the AHA Statistics Committee faculty volunteers and staff and government agency partners. Below are a few highlights from this year’s Statistical Update. Please see each chapter for references, confidence intervals for statistics reported below, and additional information.

Cardiovascular Health (Chapter 2)

  • From 2013 to March 2020, the overall CVH score combining health scores of all 8 components of the Life’s Essential 8 was, on average, 73.6 for all US children between 16 and 19 years of age. The corresponding mean overall CVH score was 78.4 for NH Asian, 74.1 for NH White, and 71.3 for NH Black children. During the same period, the mean overall CVH score was 65.2 for all US adults, with a mean score of 69.6 for NH Asian, 66.0 for NH White, and 59.7 for NH Black adults.

  • A report based on data from the UK Biobank found that having ideal CVH over poor CVH attenuated the all-cause and cardiometabolic disease–related mortality for males and females and was associated with life expectancy gains of 5.50 years for males and 4.20 years for females, at an index age of 45 years, among participants with cardiometabolic diseases and correspondingly 4.55 years in males and 4.89 years in females for people without cardiometabolic diseases.

  • As of July 1, 2022, the cumulative number of COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) deaths in the United States was 1 014 620, which equates to ≈306 deaths per 100 000 people. In metropolitan areas in the United States, the cumulative COVID-19 death rate was ≈292 deaths per 100 000 compared with ≈392 deaths per 100 000 in nonmetropolitan areas. In US counties with a high percentage (>17.3%) of the population in poverty, the cumulative COVID-19 death rate was ≈394 deaths per 100 000 compared with ≈248 deaths per 100 000 in counties with a low percentage (0.0%–12.3%) of the population that is living in poverty. As a result of the high COVID-19 mortality rates, life expectancy (at birth) in the United States decreased from 78.8 years in 2019 to 77.0 years in 2020 (−1.8 years) overall, and the corresponding life expectancy decreased from 76.3 to 74.2 years (−2.1 years) in males and decreased from 81.4 to 79.9 years (−1.5 years) in females.

Smoking/Tobacco Use (Chapter 3)

  • The prevalence of cigarette use in the past 30 days among middle and high school students in the United States was 1.0% and 1.9%, respectively, in 2021.

  • Although there has been a consistent decline in adult and youth cigarette use in the United States in the past 2 decades, significant disparities persist. In 2020, substantially higher tobacco use prevalence rates were observed in American Indian/Alaska Native and lesbian, gay, and bisexual adults compared with White and heterosexual/straight adults (27.1% American Indian/Alaska Native versus 13.3% White; 16.1% lesbian, gay, and bisexual versus 12.3% heterosexual/straight adults).

  • Electronic cigarettes were the most commonly used tobacco product among adolescents in 2021; the prevalence of use in the past 30 days among middle and high school students in the United States was 2.8% and 11.3%, respectively, with the majority of adolescent users using flavored electronic cigarettes (85.8% of high school students and 79.2% of middle school students).

Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior (Chapter 4)

  • According to parental report in 2019 to 2020, the nationwide prevalence of youth 6 to 17 years of age who were active ≥60 minutes every day of the week was 20.6%.

  • According to self-report in 2018, the age-adjusted proportion of adults who reported meeting the aerobic PA guidelines for Americans (≥150 min/wk of moderate PA, ≥75 min/wk of vigorous PA, or an equivalent combination of the two) through leisure-time activities was 54.2%.

  • Among 67 762 adults with >20 years of follow-up, 8.7% of all-cause mortality was attributed to a PA level of <150 min/wk of moderate-intensity PA.

Nutrition (Chapter 5)

  • The first study to use the AHA’s Life’s Essential 8 to quantify the CVH levels of adults and children in the United States included data from 23 409 individuals 2 through 79 years of age (13 521 adults and 9888 children) participating in NHANES (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey). The adults in the study population represent 201 728 000 adults, and the children in the study represent 74 435 000 children. The composite CVH score ranges from 0 (lowest) to 100 (highest). Of the 8 metrics, diet was among the 4 with the lowest scores. The range of scores for diet across demographic groups was 23.8 to 47.7. Among children 2 to 5 years of age, a mean diet score of 61.1 was observed. The score for children 12 to 19 years of age was 28.5.

  • A meta-analysis of 38 prospective cohort studies showed that the relative risk (RR) for the highest versus the lowest categories of Mediterranean diet adherence was 0.79 for total CVD mortality, 0.73 for CHD incidence, 0.83 for CHD mortality, 0.80 for stroke incidence, 0.87 for stroke mortality, and 0.73 for myocardial infarction incidence.

  • Compared with a usual Western diet, a Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension–type dietary pattern with low sodium reduced systolic blood pressure (SBP) by 5.3, 7.5, 9.7, and 20.8 mm Hg in adults with baseline SBP <130, 130 to 139, 140 to 149, and ≥150 mm Hg, respectively.

Overweight and Obesity (Chapter 6)

  • According to data from NHANES from 2017 until March 2020, among US children and adolescents 2 to 19 years of age, the prevalence of being either overweight or obese was 36.8%, with obesity prevalence of 19.8%. The highest prevalence of obesity was seen among Hispanic male and NH Black female youth.

  • According to data from NHANES from 2017 until March 2020, the age-adjusted prevalence of overweight or obesity among adults ≥20 years of age in the United States was 71.2%, and the prevalence of obesity was 41.4%. The highest prevalence of obesity was among NH Black females.

  • A large umbrella review in 2021 found that every 5–kg/m2 increase in body mass index was associated with a 15% increased risk for CHD, 23% increased risk for atrial fibrillation (AF), 41% increased risk for HF, and 49% increased risk for hypertension.

High Blood Cholesterol and Other Lipids (Chapter 7)

  • Among adolescents in 2017 to 2020, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels ≥130 mg/dL occurred in 5.0% of male adolescents and 4.6% of female adolescents, LDL-C levels <40 mg/dL occurred in 19.3% of male adolescents and 8.6% of female adolescents, and triglycerides ≥130 mg/dL occurred in 7.2% of male adolescents and 6.2% of female adolescents.

  • In 2017 to 2020, among adults, total cholesterol ≥200 mg/dL occurred in 32.8% of males and 36.2% of females, LDL-C ≥130 mg/dL occurred in 25.6% of males and 25.4% of females, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol <40 mg/dL occurred in 24.9% of males and 9.3% of females.

High Blood Pressure (Chapter 8)

  • With the use of the most recent 2017 definition, the age-adjusted prevalence of hypertension among US adults ≥20 years of age was estimated to be 46.7% in NHANES in 2017 to 2020 (50.4% for males and 43.0% for females). This equates to an estimated 122.4 million adults ≥20 years of age who have high blood pressure (62.8 million males and 59.6 million females). A higher percentage of males than females had hypertension up to 64 years of age, but for those ≥65 years of age, the percentage of females with hypertension was higher than for males.

  • In an individual patient meta-analysis of 33 trials including 260 447 participants with 15 012 cancer events, no associations were identified between any antihypertensive drug class and risk of any cancer (hazard ratio [HR], 0.99 for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors; HR, 0.96 for angiotensin receptor blockers; HR, 0.98 for β-blockers; HR, 1.01 for thiazides), except for calcium channel blockers (HR, 1.06). In a network meta-analysis comparing each drug class with placebo, no drug class was associated with an excess cancer risk (HR, 1.00 for angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors; HR, 0.99 for angiotensin receptor blockers; HR, 0.99 for β-blockers; HR, 1.04 for calcium channel blockers; HR, 1.00 for thiazides).

  • In an open-label, cluster-randomized trial involving 20 995 individuals from 600 villages in rural China, the use of a salt substitute (75% sodium chloride and 25% potassium chloride by mass) compared with the use of regular salt (100% sodium chloride) resulted in a lower incidence of stroke (RR, 0.86), all-cause mortality (RR, 0.88), and major adverse cardiovascular event (RR, 0.87). There was no increase in rates of hyperkalemia with use of the salt substitute (RR, 1.04).

Diabetes (Chapter 9)

  • Overall, on the basis of 2017 to 2020 data, 29.3 million adults (10.6%) in the United States had diagnosed diabetes.

  • Data from the CALIBER UK cohort show the most common initial CVD complications for those with diabetes to be peripheral artery disease (16.2%) and HF (14.1%), followed by stable angina (11.9%), nonfatal myocardial infarction (11.5%), and stroke (10.3%).

  • Data from the US Diabetes Collaborative Registry of 74 393 adults with diabetes demonstrate a prevalence of 74% with hemoglobin A1c <7%, 40% with blood pressure <130/80 mm Hg, and 49% with LDL-C <100 mg/dL (<70 mg/dL if with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease), but only 15% at target for all 3 factors.

Metabolic Syndrome (Chapter 10)

  • From 1999 to 2018, the prevalence of metabolic syndrome among US youths remained stable at 4.36%. Among adults, the prevalence of metabolic syndrome increased from 36.2% to 47.3%.

  • According to the data from NHANES 1999 to 2018, the prevalence of metabolic syndrome among youths 12 to 19 years of age was 4.34% for NH White, 3.66% for NH Black, 7.70% for Mexican American, 4.84% for other Hispanic, and 1.84 for other race youths.

  • In 2017 to 2018, Mexican American adults generally had the highest prevalence of metabolic syndrome at 52.2%, whereas NH White adults had 46.6%, NH Black adults had 47.6%, other Hispanic adults had 45.9%, and Asian/other adults had 46.7%.

Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes (Chapter 11)

  • Rates of overall hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are increasing. Analysis of delivery hospitalizations from the National Readmission Database reported a rate of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy of 912.4 per 10 000 delivery hospitalizations in 2014 compared with 528.9 in 1993 in the United States.

  • Specific aspirin dosage and preeclampsia prevention were studied in 23 randomized trials (32 370 females). Females assigned at random to 150 mg experienced a 62% reduction in risk of preterm preeclampsia (RR, 0.38). Aspirin doses <150 mg produced no significant reductions. The number needed to treat with 150 mg of aspirin was 39. There was a maximum 30% reduction in risk of all gestational age preeclampsia at all aspirin doses.

  • In a cohort of 595 pregnant females in 4 US cities, perceived discrimination (self-reported as based on sex, race, income level or social status, age, and physical appearance) was associated with development of gestational diabetes. Gestational diabetes occurred in 12.8% of females in the top quartile of a self-reported discrimination scale versus 7.0% in all others (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 2.11, adjusted for age, income, parity, race and ethnicity, and study site); 22.6% of this association was statistically mediated by obesity.

Kidney Disease (Chapter 12)

  • The overall prevalence of chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL·min−1·1.73 m−2 or albumin-to-creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g) in 2015 to 2018 was 14.9%.

  • In 2019, the age-, race-, and sex-adjusted prevalence of end-stage renal disease in the United States was 2302 per 1 million people, an increase of 1.4% over 2018.

  • Total hospitalization expenditures in Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries with end-stage renal disease was $12.2 billion in 2019, and outpatient spending was $13.1 billion in 2019.

Sleep (Chapter 13)

  • The proportion of adults reporting insufficient sleep (<7 hours) in 2020 was 32.8%.

    • – Older adults, >65 years of age, report the lowest prevalence of insufficient sleep.

    • – NH Black adults had the highest percentage of respondents reporting sleeping <7 h/night (43.5%), whereas NH Asian adults (30.5%) and NH White adults (30.7%) had the lowest percentage of respondents reporting sleeping <7 hours.

  • Females report never or some of the days feeling well rested on awakening in the past days more frequently than males (46.9% versus 40.4%).

  • Data from the MIDUS study (Midlife in the United States) examined the association of a composite sleep health measure (sleep regularity, satisfaction, alertness, timing, efficiency, and duration) with risk of HD (yes/no to a question on diagnosis of HD). Each unit increase in the self-reported sleep health composite was associated with a 54% higher risk of HD, whereas the objectively measured actigraphy sleep health composite was associated with 141% higher risk.

Total Cardiovascular Disease (Chapter 14)

  • On the basis of NHANES 2017 to March 2020 data, the prevalence of CVD (comprising CHD, HF, stroke, and hypertension) in adults ≥20 years of age was 48.6% overall (127.9 million in 2020) and increases with age in both males and females.

  • On the basis of 2020 mortality data, HD and stroke currently claim more lives each year than cancer and chronic lower respiratory disease combined. In 2020, 207.1 of 100 000 people died of HD and stroke.

  • In 2020, 19.05 million deaths were estimated for CVD globally, which amounted to an increase of 18.71% from 2010. The age-standardized death rate per 100 000 population was 239.80, which represents a decrease of 12.19% from 2010. Overall, the crude prevalence of CVD was 607.64 million cases in 2020, an increase of 29.01% compared with 2010. However, the age-standardized prevalence rate was 7354.05 per 100 000, an increase of 0.73% from 2010.

Stroke (Cerebrovascular Diseases) (Chapter 15)

  • An analysis of data from the GBD 2019 study found that from 1990 to 2019, the absolute number of incident strokes increased by 70.0, whereas the age-standardized incidence rate for total stroke decreased by 17.0%. The age-standardized incidence rate for ischemic stroke decreased by 10% and intracerebral hemorrhage decreased by 29% during the same period.

  • A meta-analysis of 11 clinical trials from 1970 to 2021 with 20 163 patients with stroke found that intensive LDL-C–lowering statin-based therapies reduced the risk of recurrent ischemic stroke (RR, 0.88) compared with less intensive LDL-C–lowering statin-based therapies. This relationship was even stronger in populations with atherosclerosis (RR, 0.79).

  • In a meta-analysis of 66 trials of SBP-lowering interventions including 324 812 participants and 11 437 strokes over an average follow-up of 3.3 years, SBP lowering was associated with 21% lower odds of stroke compared with control. In meta-analyses of stroke types, SBP lowering was associated with 14% lower odds of ischemic stroke (6 trials), 28% lower odds of hemorrhagic stroke (6 trials), and 28% lower odds of fatal or disabling stroke (18 trials).

Brain Health (Chapter 16)

  • The GBD study estimated secular trends from 1990 to 2017 in dementia prevalence, incidence, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and mortality globally and for high-income countries. Globally, prevalent cases increased by 119%, annual incident cases increased by 113%, DALYs increased by 115%, and annual deaths increased by 146%. However, global age-standardized prevalence decreased by 4%, age-standardized annual incidence decreased by 5%, age-standardized DALYs decreased by 6%, and age-standardized annual mortality decreased by 4%. For high-income countries, percent increases in absolute burden measures were smaller than globally: Prevalent cases increased by 93%, annual incident cases increased by 87%, DALYs increased by 90%, and annual deaths increased by 126%. The age-standardized prevalence in high-income countries decreased by 5%, age-standardized annual incidence rate decreased by 6%, age-standardized DALYs decreased by 7%, and age-standardized annual mortality rate decreased by 4%.

  • Among 229 976 participants in the UK Biobank, with 2143 cases of incident dementia over a median follow-up of 9 years, each 1-point increment in Life's Simple 7 score was associated with an 11% lower hazard of dementia (HR, 0.89). Each 1-point increment in the biological component score (based on blood pressure, cholesterol, and glucose) was associated with a 7% lower hazard of dementia (HR, 0.93). However, a 1-point increment in the lifestyle component score (based on smoking, body mass index, diet, and physical activity) was not associated with dementia (HR, 0.99).

  • In the HRS (Health and Retirement Study), cognitive impairment-free life expectancy at 55 years of age was estimated as 23.0 years for participants with no hypertension, HD, diabetes, or stroke; 21.2 years for those with any 1 of those conditions; 18.1 years for those with any 2 conditions; and 14.0 years for those with any 3 or all 4 conditions. The association of CVD burden with lower cognitive impairment-free life expectancy was also observed at 65, 75, and 85 years of age, with lower absolute life expectancies.

Congenital Cardiovascular Defects and Kawasaki Disease (Chapter 17)

  • 2020 mortality related to congenital cardiovascular defects was 2817 deaths in the United States, an 11.9% decrease from the number of deaths in 2010.

  • Socioeconomic status (SES) is a major contributor to identified differences in infant mortality among infants with critical congenital cardiovascular defects, with greater mortality among socioeconomically deprived patients (OR, 1.7).

Since May 2020, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has been tracking reports of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children. As of March 1, 2022, 7459 cases and 63 attributable deaths (0.84%) have been reported. Median age of cases was 9 years; 58% of cases have occurred in children who are Hispanic or Latino (1846 cases) or Black (2206 cases); 98% tested positive for SARS-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; reverse transcriptase–polymerase chain reaction, serology, or antigen test); and 60% of reported patients were male.

Disorders of Heart Rhythm (Chapter 18)

  • An analysis of the Korea National Health Insurance Service (N=66 692) classified individuals by exercise status before and after AF diagnosis. Those who maintained exercise were significantly less likely to have ischemic stroke (HR, 0.86), HF (HR, 0.92), or mortality (HR, 0.61) than those who continued to abstain from exercise after AF diagnosis.

  • The study of social determinants and AF remains limited. In a limited-sized cohort (N=339) followed up for a median of 2.6 years (range, 0–3.4 years), individuals in the lowest income category (≤$19 999/y) had a 2.0-fold greater hospitalization risk (OR, 2.11) compared with those in the highest income category (≥$100 000/y).

  • A multicenter trial randomized individuals with at least 1 stroke risk factor and without AF in a 1:3 ratio to receive long-term rhythm monitoring with an implanted loop recorder (n=1501) or usual care (n=4503). Over a median follow-up of 64.5 months, those randomized to monitoring were 3-fold more likely to be diagnosed with AF (HR, 3.17).

Sudden Cardiac Arrest, Ventricular Arrhythmias, and Inherited Channelopathies (Chapter 19)

  • Recent data describing cardiac arrest or sudden cardiac death after an acute myocardial infarction suggest that contemporary short-term (3-month) risk is 0.29% or 116 per 100 000 person-years.

  • Laypeople in the United States initiated cardiopulmonary resuscitation in 40.2% of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests in 2021.

  • In the United States, individuals from underrepresented racial and ethnic groups are at substantially higher risk of sudden cardiac arrest and experience worse survival and neurological outcomes after sudden cardiac arrest compared with White individuals. In the ARIC study (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities), the sex-adjusted HR for sudden cardiac death comparing Black with White participants was 2.12, and the fully adjusted HR was 1.38. In San Francisco, Black females had a 2.55 higher incidence of sudden arrhythmic death than White females.

Subclinical Atherosclerosis (Chapter 20)

  • In a study-level meta-analysis involving 10 867 participants (6699 HIV positive, 4168 HIV negative; mean age, 52 years; 86% male; 32% Black), the prevalence of noncalcified plaque was 49% in HIV-positive individuals versus 20% in HIV-negative individuals (OR, 1.23).

  • In individuals without diabetes or CVD, higher hemoglobin A1c was associated with the extent of subclinical atherosclerosis assessed by intima-media thickness; atherosclerotic plaque of the carotids, abdominal aorta, and iliofemoral arteries; and coronary artery calcification (OR, 1.05, 1.27, 1.27, 1.36, 1.80, 1.87, and 2.47 for hemoglobin A1c 4.9%–5.0%, 5.1%–5.2%, 5.3%–5.4%, 5.5%–5.6%, 5.7%–5.8%, 5.9%–6.0%, and 6.1%–6.4%, respectively; reference hemoglobin A1c ≤4.8%).

  • In the Rotterdam Study of older adults, the presence of intraplaque hemorrhage (but not calcification or lipid-rich core) by high-resolution magnetic resonance imaging demonstrated an association with incident stroke and CHD (HR, 2.42 and 1.95, respectively).

Coronary Heart Disease, Acute Coronary Syndrome, and Angina Pectoris (Chapter 21)

  • According to data from the 2005 to 2014 ARIC study, the estimated annual incidence of myocardial infarction is 605 000 new attacks and 200 000 recurrent attacks. Of these 805 000 first and recurrent events, it is estimated that 170 000 are silent.

  • An NIS (National Inpatient Sample) analysis of sex differences spanning 2004 to 2015 identified 7 026 432 hospitalizations for acute myocardial infarction. Compared with males, females were less likely to undergo coronary angiography (adjusted OR, 0.92) and percutaneous coronary intervention (adjusted OR, 0.82), Females had a higher risk of mortality (adjusted OR, 1.03) compared with males.

  • In 2020, CHD age-adjusted death rates per 100 000 were 128.5 for NH White males, 153.6 for NH Black males, and 102.2 for Hispanic males. For NH White females, the rate was 63.8; for NH Black females, it was 85.9; and for Hispanic females, it was 54.2.

Cardiomyopathy and Heart Failure (Chapter 22)

  • On the basis of data from NHANES 2017 to 2020, ≈6.7 million Americans ≥20 years of age had HF, which is increased from ≈6.0 million according to NHANES 2015 to 2018.

  • The lifetime risk of HF at 50 years of age increased among participants of the FHS (Framingham Heart Study) when comparing two 25-year epochs (1965–1989 versus 1990–2014) from 18.9% to 22.6% in females and 19.1% to 25.3% in males.

  • Some data suggest that improvements in survival in individuals with HF could be leveling off over time. Data from the Rochester Epidemiology Project in Olmsted County, Minnesota, showed improved survival after HF diagnosis between 1979 and 2000; however, estimated 5-year mortality for those with HF did not decline from 2000 to 2010 and remained high (52.6% overall; 24.4% for those 60 years of age; and 54.4% for those 80 years of age).

Valvular Diseases (Chapter 23)

  • The number of elderly patients with calcific aortic stenosis is projected to more than double by 2050 in both the United States and Europe according to a simulation model in 7 decision analysis studies. The pooled prevalence of all aortic stenosis in the elderly was 12.4%, and the prevalence of severe aortic stenosis was 3.4%.

  • In 1000 patients with severe aortic stenosis at low surgical risk randomized in the PARTNER 3 trial (Placement of Aortic Transcatheter Valve 3) to either balloon-expandable transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) or surgical aortic valve replacement, the primary composite end point (death, stroke, or rehospitalization) rate was significantly lower in the TAVR versus surgical aortic valve replacement group (8.5% versus 15.1%; absolute difference, −6.6 percentage points for noninferiority; HR, 0.54). At 2 years, the primary end point was significantly reduced after TAVR compared with surgical aortic valve replacement (11.5% versus 17.4%; HR, 0.63), although TAVR valve thrombosis at 2 years was increased (2.6%; 13 events) compared with surgery (0.7%; 3 events).

  • Among 96 256 transfemoral TAVR procedures, adjusted 30-day mortality was higher at institutions with low procedural volume (3.19%) than at institutions with high procedural volume (2.66%; OR, 1.21).

Venous Thromboembolism (Deep Vein Thrombosis and Pulmonary Embolism), Chronic Venous Insufficiency, Pulmonary Hypertension (Chapter 24)

  • In 2019, there were an estimated ≈393 000 cases of pulmonary embolism, ≈643 000 cases of deep vein thrombosis, and ≈1 036 000 total venous thromboembolism cases in the United States.

  • In patients with COVID-19, there is a double risk of death after venous thromboembolism. In those admitted to the intensive care unit, this risk is 2.63 times higher, with a 3-fold increase in patients on mechanical ventilation.

  • In 2018, there were 578 000 outpatient visits for pulmonary hypertension as the principal diagnosis. In addition, there were 14 000 hospital discharges with pulmonary hypertension as the principal diagnosis.

Peripheral Artery Disease and Aortic Diseases (Chapter 25)

  • Data from MarketScan and Medicare databases showed that only 33.9% of patients with peripheral artery disease were prescribed statins compared with 51.7% of patients with coronary artery disease, and only 24.5% of patients with peripheral artery disease in the MarketScan database achieved a target LDL-C <70 mg/dL.

  • Among Medicare beneficiaries, zip codes in the top quartile of amputation rates had a larger mean proportion of Black residents than zip codes in the bottom quartile (17.5% versus 4.4%).

  • In older individuals 60 to 74 years of age, male sex (OR, 1.9), hypertension (OR, 1.8), and family history (OR, 1.6) are the strongest contributors to risk of thoracic aortic aneurysm.

Quality of Care (Chapter 26)

  • Despite substantial disruptions to cardiovascular care delivery during the COVID-19 pandemic, among patients in the GWTG Registry (Get With The Guidelines) who were hospitalized for HF in 2021, 91.7% received angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers or angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors at discharge; 93.4% received evidence-based specific β-blockers; 99.2% had a measurement of left ventricular function; and 85.5% had a scheduled postdischarge appointment.

  • In 18 262 adults with hypertension, the age-adjusted estimated proportion with controlled blood pressure (blood pressure <140/90 mm Hg) improved from 31.8% in 1999 to 2000 to 48.5% in 2007 to 2008, was similar in 2013 to 2014 (53.8%), and then declined to 43.7% in 2017 to 2018.

  • In 390 692 patients receiving care at 586 hospitals from July 2008 to December 2013, patients residing in lower-SES neighborhoods had longer median arrival-to-angiography time (lowest quintile of SES, 8.0 hours; highest quintile of SES, 3.4 hours) and a higher rate of fibrinolysis (versus primary angioplasty) for ST-segment–elevation myocardial infarction (lowest quintile of SES, 23.1%; highest quintile of SES, 5.9%) compared with higher-SES neighborhoods. Patients from lower-SES neighborhoods had greater independent risk of in-hospital mortality and major bleeding and a lower quality of discharge care.

Medical Procedures (Chapter 27)

  • According to Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project data from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality for the year 2018, 481 780 percutaneous coronary interventions were performed on an inpatient basis in the United States.

  • Data from the Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database, which voluntarily collects data from ≈80% of all hospitals that perform coronary artery bypass grafts in the United States, indicate that a total of 161 816 procedures involved isolated coronary artery bypass graft in 2019.

  • In 2021, 3817 heart transplantations were performed in the United States, the most ever. The highest numbers of heart transplantations were performed in California (529), Texas (359), New York (307), and Florida (263).

Economic Cost of Cardiovascular Disease (Chapter 28)

  • The average annual direct and indirect cost of CVD in the United States was an estimated $407.3 billion in 2018 to 2019.

  • The estimated direct costs of CVD in the United States increased from $103.5 billion in 1996 to 1997 to $251.4 billion in 2018 to 2019.

  • By event type, hospital inpatient stays accounted for the highest direct cost ($111.4 billion) in 2018 to 2019 in the United States.

Conclusions

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the Statistical Update. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year’s worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members, without whom publication of this valuable resource would be impossible. Their contributions are gratefully acknowledged.

Connie W. Tsao, MD, MPH, FAHA, Chair

Seth S. Martin, MD, MHS, FAHA, Vice Chair

Sally S. Wong, PhD, RD, CDN, FAHA, AHA Senior Science and Medicine Advisor, Lead

Debra G. Heard, PhD, AHA Consultant

On behalf of the American Heart Association Council on Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee

Article Information

Acknowledgments

The writing group thanks its colleagues Lucy Hsu and Michael Wolz at the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; the team at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington; Bryan McNally and Rabab Al-Araji at the CARES (Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival) program; Hongyan Ning and Donald Lloyd-Jones at Northwestern University; and Christina Koutras and Fran Thorpe at the American College of Cardiology for their valuable contributions and review.

Footnotes

The 2023 AHA Statistical Update uses language that conveys respect and specificity when referencing race and ethnicity. Instead of referring to groups very broadly with collective nouns (eg, Blacks, Whites), we use descriptions of race and ethnicity as adjectives (eg, Asian people, Black adults, Hispanic youths, Native American patients, White females).

As the AHA continues its focus on health equity to address structural racism, we are working to reconcile language used in previously published data sources and studies when this information is compiled in the annual Statistical Update. We strive to use terms from the original data sources or published studies (mostly from the past 5 years) that may not be as inclusive as the terms used in 2023. As style guidelines for scientific writing evolve, they will serve as guidance for data sources and publications and how they are cited in future Statistical Updates.

The views expressed in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute; the National Institutes of Health; the US Department of Health and Human Services; or the US Department of Veterans Affairs.

Supplemental Materials are available with this article at https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/suppl/10.1161/CIR.0000000000001123

The American Heart Association makes every effort to avoid any actual or potential conflicts of interest that may arise as a result of an outside relationship or a personal, professional, or business interest of a member of the writing panel. Specifically, all members of the writing group are required to complete and submit a Disclosure Questionnaire showing all such relationships that might be perceived as real or potential conflicts of interest.

A copy of the document is available at https://professional.heart.org/statements by using either “Search for Guidelines & Statements” or the “Browse by Topic” area. To purchase additional reprints, call 215-356-2721 or email .

The American Heart Association requests that this document be cited as follows: Tsao CW, Aday AW, Almarzooq ZI, Anderson CAM, Arora P, Avery CL, Baker-Smith CM, Beaton AZ, Boehme AK, Buxton AE, Commodore-Mensah Y, Elkind MSV, Evenson KR, Eze-Nliam C, Fugar S, Generoso G, Heard DG, Hiremath S, Ho JE, Kalani R, Kazi DS, Ko D, Levine DA, Liu J, Ma J, Magnani JW, Michos ED, Mussolino ME, Navaneethan SD, Parikh NI, Poudel R, Rezk-Hanna M, Roth GA, Shah NS, St-Onge M-P, Thacker EL, Virani SS, Voeks JH, Wang N-Y, Wong ND, Wong SS, Yaffe K, Martin SS; on behalf of the American Heart Association Council on Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee. Heart disease and stroke statistics—2023 update: a report from the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2023;147:e93–e621. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0000000000001123

The expert peer review of AHA-commissioned documents (eg, scientific statements, clinical practice guidelines, systematic reviews) is conducted by the AHA Office of Science Operations. For more on AHA statements and guidelines development, visit https://professional.heart.org/statements. Select the “Guidelines & Statements” drop-down menu, then click “Publication Development.”

Permissions: Multiple copies, modification, alteration, enhancement, and distribution of this document are not permitted without the express permission of the American Heart Association. Instructions for obtaining permission are located at https://www.heart.org/permissions. A link to the “Copyright Permissions Request Form” appears in the second paragraph (https://www.heart.org/en/about-us/statements-and-policies/copyright-request-form).

Circulation is available at www.ahajournals.org/journal/circ

Reference

  • 1. Lloyd-Jones DM, Allen NB, Anderson CAM, Black T, Brewer LC, Foraker RE, Grandner MA, Lavretsky H, Perak AM, Sharma G, et al; on behalf of the American Heart Association. Life’s Essential 8: updating and enhancing the American Heart Association’s construct of cardiovascular health: a presidential advisory from the American Heart Association.Circulation. 2022; 146:e18–e43. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0000000000001078LinkGoogle Scholar

1. ABOUT THESE STATISTICS

The AHA works with the NHLBI to derive the annual statistics in the AHA Statistical Update. This chapter describes the most important sources and the types of data used from them. For more details, see Chapter 30 of this document, the Glossary.

The surveys and data sources used are the following:

  • ACC NCDR’s Chest Pain–MI Registry (formerly the ACTION Registry)—quality information for AMI

  • ARIC—CHD and HF incidence rates

  • BRFSS—ongoing telephone health survey system

  • GBD—global disease prevalence, mortality, and healthy life expectancy

  • GCNKSS—stroke incidence rates and outcomes within a biracial population

  • GWTG—quality information for resuscitation, HF, and stroke

  • HCUP—hospital inpatient discharges and procedures

  • MEPS—data on specific health services that Americans use, how frequently they use them, the cost of these services, and how the costs are paid

  • NAMCS—physician office visits

  • NHAMCS—hospital outpatient and ED visits

  • NHANES—disease and risk factor prevalence and nutrition statistics

  • NHIS—disease and risk factor prevalence

  • NVSS—mortality for the United States

  • USRDS—kidney disease prevalence

  • WHO—mortality rates by country

  • YRBS—health-risk behaviors in youth and young adults

Disease Prevalence

Prevalence is an estimate of how many people have a condition at a given point or period in time. The CDC/NCHS conducts health examination and health interview surveys that provide estimates of the prevalence of diseases and risk factors. In this Statistical Update, the health interview part of the NHANES is used for the prevalence of CVDs. NHANES is used more than the NHIS because in NHANES AP is based on the Rose Questionnaire; estimates are made regularly for HF; hypertension is based on BP measurements and interviews; and an estimate can be made for total CVD, including MI, AP, HF, stroke, and hypertension.

A major emphasis of the 2023 Statistical Update is to present the latest estimates of the number of people in the United States who have specific conditions to provide a realistic estimate of burden. Most estimates based on NHANES prevalence rates are based on data collected from 2017 to 2020. These are applied to census population estimates for 2020. Differences in population estimates cannot be used to evaluate possible trends in prevalence because these estimates are based on extrapolations of rates beyond the data collection period by use of more recent census population estimates. Trends can be evaluated only by comparing prevalence rates estimated from surveys conducted in different years.

In the 2023 Statistical Update, there is an emphasis on health equity across the various chapters, and global estimates are provided when available.

Risk Factor Prevalence

The NHANES 2017 to 2020 data are used in this Statistical Update to present estimates of the percentage of people with high LDL-C and diabetes. NHANES 2017 to 2020 are used to present estimates of the percentage of people with overweight, obesity, and high TC and HDL-C. BRFSS 2020 and NHIS 2020 data are used for the prevalence of sleep issues. The NHIS 2020 data, BRFSS 2020, and NYTS 2021 are used for the prevalence of cigarette smoking. The prevalence of physical inactivity is obtained from YRBS 2019 and NHIS 2018.

Incidence and Recurrent Attacks

An incidence rate refers to the number of new cases of a disease that develop in a population per unit of time. The unit of time for incidence is not necessarily 1 year, although incidence is often discussed in terms of 1 year. For some statistics, new and recurrent attacks or cases are combined. Our national incidence estimates for the various types of CVD are extrapolations to the US population from the FHS, the ARIC study, and the CHS, all conducted by the NHLBI, as well as the GCNKSS, which is funded by the NINDS. The rates change only when new data are available; they are not computed annually. Do not compare the incidence or the rates with those in past editions of the AHA Statistical Update (also known as the Heart and Stroke Statistical Update for editions before 2005). Doing so can lead to serious misinterpretation of time trends.

Mortality

Mortality data are generally presented according to the underlying cause of death. “Any-mention” mortality means that the condition was nominally selected as the underlying cause or was otherwise mentioned on the death certificate. For many deaths classified as attributable to CVD, selection of the single most likely underlying cause can be difficult when several major comorbidities are present, as is often the case in the elderly population. It is useful, therefore, to know the extent of mortality attributable to a given cause regardless of whether it is the underlying cause or a contributing cause (ie, the “any-mention” status). The number of deaths in 2020 with any mention of specific causes of death was tabulated by the NHLBI from the NCHS public-use electronic files on mortality.

The first set of statistics for each disease in the 2023 Statistical Update includes the number of deaths for which the disease is the underlying cause. Two exceptions are Chapter 8 (High Blood Pressure) and Chapter 22 (Cardiomyopathy and Heart Failure). HBP, or hypertension, increases the mortality risks of CVD and other diseases, and HF should be selected as an underlying cause only when the true underlying cause is not known. In this Statistical Update, hypertension and HF death rates are presented in 2 ways: (1) as nominally classified as the underlying cause and (2) as any-mention mortality.

National and state mortality data presented according to the underlying cause of death were obtained from the CDC WONDER website or the CDC NVSS mortality file.1 Any-mention numbers of deaths were tabulated from the CDC WONDER website or CDC NVSS mortality file.1,2

Population Estimates

In this publication, we have used national population estimates from the US Census Bureau3 for 2020 in the computation of morbidity data. CDC/NCHS population estimates for 2020 were used in the computation of death rate data. The Census Bureau website contains these data, as well as information on the file layout.

Hospital Discharges and Ambulatory Care Visits

Estimates of the numbers of hospital discharges and numbers of procedures performed are for inpatients discharged from short-stay hospitals. Discharges include those discharged alive, dead, or with unknown status. Unless otherwise specified, discharges are listed according to the principal (first-listed) diagnosis, and procedures are listed according to all-listed procedures (principal and secondary). These estimates are from the HCUP 2019 NIS. Ambulatory care visit data include patient visits to primary health care professionals’ offices and EDs. Ambulatory care visit data reflect the primary (first-listed) diagnosis. Primary health care professional office visit estimates are from the NAMCS 2018 of the CDC/NCHS. ED visit estimates are from the HCUP 2019 National ED Sample. Readers comparing data across years should note that beginning October 1, 2015, a transition was made from ICD-9 to ICD-10. This should be kept in mind because coding changes could affect some statistics, especially when comparisons are made across these years.

International Classification of Diseases

Morbidity (illness) and mortality (death) data in the United States have a standard classification system: the ICD. Approximately every 10 to 20 years, the ICD codes are revised to reflect changes over time in medical technology, diagnosis, or terminology. If necessary for comparability of mortality trends across the 9th and 10th ICD revisions, comparability ratios computed by the CDC/NCHS are applied as noted.4 Effective with mortality data for 1999, ICD-10 is used.5 Beginning in 2016, ICD-10-CM is used for hospital inpatient stays and ambulatory care visit data.

Age Adjustment

Prevalence and mortality estimates for the United States or individual states comparing demographic groups or estimates over time are either age specific or age adjusted to the year 2000 standard population by the direct method.6 International mortality data are age adjusted to the European standard population. Unless otherwise stated, all death rates in this publication are age adjusted, and are deaths per 100 000 population.

Data Years for National Estimates

In the 2023 Statistical Update, we estimate the annual number of new (incidence) and recurrent cases of a disease in the United States by extrapolating to the US population in 2014 from rates reported in a community- or hospital-based study or multiple studies. Age-adjusted incidence rates by sex and race are also given in this report as observed in the study or studies. For US mortality, most numbers and rates are for 2020. For disease and risk factor prevalence, most rates in this report are calculated from NHANES 2017 to 2020. Because NHANES is conducted only in the noninstitutionalized population, we extrapolated the rates to the total US resident population on July 1, 2020, recognizing that this probably underestimates the total prevalence given the relatively high prevalence in the institutionalized population. The numbers of hospital inpatient discharges for the United States are for 2019. The numbers of visits to primary health care professionals’ offices are for 2018. Except as noted, economic cost estimates are for 2018 to 2019.

Cardiovascular Disease

For data on hospitalizations, primary health care professional office visits, and mortality, total CVD is defined according to ICD codes given in Chapter 14 (Total Cardiovascular Diseases) of the present document. This definition includes all diseases of the circulatory system. Unless otherwise specified, estimates for total CVD do not include congenital CVD. Prevalence of total CVD includes people with hypertension, CHD, stroke, and HF.

Race and Ethnicity

Data published by governmental agencies for some racial groups are considered unreliable because of the small sample size in the studies. Because we try to provide data for as many racial and ethnic groups as possible, we show these data for informational and comparative purposes.

Global Burden of Disease

The AHA works with the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation to help derive annual statistics for the AHA Statistical Update. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study is an ongoing global effort to quantify health loss from hundreds of causes and risks from 1990 to the present for all countries. The study seeks to produce consistent and comparable estimates of population health over time and across locations, including summary metrics such as DALYs and healthy life expectancy. Results are made available to policymakers, researchers, governments, and the public with the overarching goals of improving population health and reducing health disparities.

GBD Study 2020, the most recent iteration of the study, was produced by the collective efforts of >7500 researchers in >150 countries. Estimates were produced for 370 causes and 88 risk factors.

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are reproduced for the full time series. For GBD Study 2020, estimates were produced for 1990 to 2020 for 204 countries and territories, stratified by age and sex, with subnational estimates made available for an increasing number of countries. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in results across GBD Study cycles for both the most recent and earlier years.

For more information about the GBD Study and to access GBD resources, data visualizations, and most recent publications, please visit the study website.7

The Statistical Update Supplementary Material includes additional global and regional CVD statistics.

Contacts

If you have questions about statistics or any points made in this Statistical Update, please contact the AHA National Center, Office of Science, Medicine and Health. Direct all media inquiries to News Media Relations at http://newsroom.heart.org/connect or 214-706-1173.

The AHA works diligently to ensure that the Statistical Update is error free. If we discover errors after publication, we will provide corrections at http://www.heart.org/statistics and in the journal Circulation.

REFERENCES

2. CARDIOVASCULAR HEALTH

See Tables 2-1 through 2-10

In 2010, the AHA released an Impact Goal that included 2 objectives that would guide organizational priorities over the next decade: “by 2020, to improve the CVH of all Americans by 20%, while reducing deaths from CVDs and stroke by 20%.”1 The concept of CVH was introduced in this goal and characterized by 7 components (Life’s Simple 7)2 that include health behaviors (diet quality, PA, smoking) and health factors (blood cholesterol, BMI, BP, blood glucose). For an individual to have ideal CVH overall, they must have an absence of clinically manifest CVD and the simultaneous presence of optimal levels of all 7 CVH components, including abstinence from smoking, a healthy diet pattern, sufficient PA, normal body weight, and normal levels of TC, BP, and FPG in the absence of medication treatment.

From 2011 to 2021, this chapter in the annual Statistical Update published national prevalence estimates for CVH based on released NHANES data to inform progress toward improvements in the prevalence of CVH based on the metrics of Life’s Simple 7. Because of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, NHANES data collection was suspended in March 2020. As a result, data collected from 2019 to March 2020 were combined with the full data collection from 2017 to 2018 to form the most up-to-date nationally representative sample for evaluating CVH.

To update the construct of CVH metrics on the basis of extensive evidence and insights accumulated over the decade after introduction of Life’s Simple 7, the AHA released a presidential advisory in 2022 to introduce an enhanced approach of accessing CVH: the Life’s Essential 8.3 The components of Life’s Essential 8 include updates for the original 7 CVH components to provide metrics in a more refined and continuous scale for better contrasting interindividual differences in CVH at a given point in time and tracking intraindividual changes in CVH over time. Furthermore, sleep health was added into the CVH metrics to better reflect its important role in human biology and sustainment of life, as well as its impact on cardiometabolic health. Table 2-1 summarizes the definitions and scoring algorithms for each of the CVH components under this new approach in both adults and youth.

With this new approach to assess CVH, this chapter now provides statistical updates under both CVH metrics as the health research and clinical practice fields migrate toward the use of Life’s Essential 8. Changes in the leading causes and risk factors for YLDs and YLLs between 1990 and 2019, first added to the 2021 Statistical Update, highlight the influence of the components of CVH on premature death and disability in populations.

Relevance of Ideal CVH

  • Multiple independent investigations (summaries of which are provided in this chapter) have confirmed the importance of having ideal levels of these components, along with the overall concept of CVH. Findings include strong inverse, stepwise associations in the United States of the number of CVH components at ideal levels with all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, IHD mortality, CVD, and HF; with subclinical measures of atherosclerosis such as carotid IMT, arterial stiffness, and CAC prevalence and progression; with physical functional impairment and frailty; with cognitive decline and depression; and with longevity.4–9 Similar relationships have also been seen in non-US populations.4,10–24

  • A large Hispanic/Latino cohort study in the United States confirmed the associations between CVD and status of CVH components in this population and found that the levels of CVH components compared favorably with existing national estimates; however, some of the associations varied by sex and heritage.5

  • A study of Black people in the United States found that the risk of incident HF was 61% lower among those with ≥4 ideal CVH components than among those with 0 to 2 ideal components.6

  • Ideal health behaviors and ideal health factors are each independently associated with lower CVD risk in a stepwise fashion; across any level of health behaviors, health factors are associated with incident CVD, and conversely, across any level of health factors, health behaviors are associated with incident CVD.25

  • In a cohort of 91 204 participants from mainland China with 1985 incident major CVD events observed over a mean follow-up of 3.7 years, having greater numbers of ideal CVH components (categories ranged from ≤1, 2, 3, to ≥4) was associated with a significant reduction in CVD risk in a stepwise fashion in participants with stage 1 hypertension and similarly in participants with stage 2 hypertension. Moreover, participants with stage 1 hypertension having ≥4 ideal CVH components did not have significantly greater CVD risk compared with all participants without hypertension (HR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.83–1.31]).23

  • A meta-analysis of 9 prospective cohort studies involving 12 878 participants reported that having the highest number of ideal CVH components was associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality (RR, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.37–0.80]), cardiovascular mortality (RR, 0.25 [95% CI, 0.10–0.63]), CVD (RR, 0.20 [95% CI, 0.11–0.37]), and stroke (RR, 0.31 [95% CI, 0.25–0.38]) compared with having the lowest number of ideal components.26

  • Results using NHANES III mortality data through 2011 estimated the PAFs of CVD mortality for components of CVH under revised definitions as follows27:

    47.5% (95% CI, 38.2%–57.3%) for HBP (using thresholds from the 2017 AHA/ACC guideline);

    10.7% (95% CI, 4.0%–17.0%) for smoking;

    10.1% (95% CI, 2.6%–18.6%) for TC;

    5.91% (95% CI, 0.03%–14.1%) for insufficient PA; and

    11.6% (95% CI, 6.1%–16.8%) for abnormal glucose levels.

    A previous analysis using NHANES III mortality data through 2006 reported an estimated PAF of 13.2% (95% CI, 3.5%–29.2%) for poor diet.28

  • Many studies have been published in which investigators have assigned individuals a CVH score ranging from 0 to 14 on the basis of the sum of points assigned to each component of CVH (poor=0, intermediate=1, ideal=2 points). With this approach, data from the REGARDS cohort were used to demonstrate an inverse stepwise association between a higher CVH score component and a lower incidence of stroke. On the basis of this score, every unit increase in CVH was associated with an 8% lower risk of incident stroke (HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.88–0.95]), with a similar effect size for White (HR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.86–0.96]) and Black (HR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.87–0.98]) participants.29 A similar association between CVH score and incidence of stroke was also observed in a large Chinese cohort.30 CVH score and components were also shown to predict MACEs (first occurrence of MI, stroke, acute ischemic syndrome, coronary revascularization, or death) over a median follow-up of 12 years in a biracial community-based population.31

  • By combining the 7 CVH component scores and categorizing the total score to define overall CVH (low, 0–8 points; moderate, 9–11 points; high, 12–14 points), a report pooled NHANES 2011 to 2016 data and individual-level data from 7 US community-based cohort studies to estimate the age-, sex-, and race and ethnicity–adjusted PAF of major CVD events (nonfatal MI, stroke, HF, or CVD death) associated with CVH and found that 70.0% (95% CI, 56.5%–79.9%) of major CVD events in the United States were attributable to low and moderate CVH.32 According to the authors’ estimates, 2.0 (95% CI, 1.6–2.3) million major CVD events could potentially be prevented each year if all US adults attain high CVH, and even a partial improvement in CVH scores to the moderate level among all US adults with low overall CVH could lead to a reduction of 1.2 (95% CI, 1.0–1.4) million major CVD events annually.

  • A report from the Framingham Offspring Study showed increased risks of subsequent hypertension, diabetes, CKD, CVD, and mortality associated with having a shorter duration of ideal CVH in adulthood.33 Another report from the ARIC study estimated CVD risk and all-cause mortality associated with patterns of overall CVH level (classified as poor, intermediate, and ideal to correspond to 0–2, 3–4, and 5–7 CVH metrics at ideal levels) over time. The authors observed that participants attaining ideal CVH at the first follow-up visit had the lowest levels of CVD risks and mortality regardless of subsequent change in CVH level, and improvement from poor CVH over time was consistently associated with lower CVD risk and mortality subsequently.34 Reduced CVD risk associated with improvement of CVH over time was also observed in the elderly and very elderly populations without CVD.35

  • Ideal CVH in parents was associated with greater CVD-free survival in offspring, and maternal CVH was found to be a more robust predictor of an offspring’s CVD-free survival than paternal CVH.36 Furthermore, better maternal CVH at 28 weeks’ gestation during pregnancy was significantly associated with better offspring CVH in early adolescence.37

  • The Cardiovascular Lifetime Risk Pooling Project showed that adults with all optimal risk factor levels (similar to having ideal CVH factor levels of cholesterol, blood sugar, and BP, as well as not smoking) have substantially longer overall and CVD-free survival than those who have poor levels of ≥1 of these CVH factors. For example, at an index age of 45 years, males with optimal risk factor profiles lived on average 14 years longer free of all CVD events and 12 years longer overall than people with ≥2 risk factors.38 A large community-based prospective study in China showed that greater CVH was associated with lower lifetime risk of CVD and that improvement in CVH could lower the lifetime risk of CVD and prolong the years of life free from CVD.39 Another report based on a large data set from the UK Biobank found that having ideal CVH over poor CVH attenuated the all-cause and cardiometabolic disease–related mortality for males and females and was associated with life expectancy gains of 5.50 (95% CI, 3.94–7.05) years for males and 4.20 (95% CI, 2.77–5.62) years for females, at an index age of 45 years, among participants with cardiometabolic diseases, and correspondingly 4.55 (95% CI, 3.62–5.48) years in males and 4.89 (95% CI, 3.99–5.79) years in females for people without cardiometabolic diseases.40

  • Better CVH as defined by the AHA is associated with a lower incidence of HF,4,6–8,22 less subclinical vascular disease,9,15,17,41,42 better global cognitive performance and cognitive function,16,43 lower hazard of subsequent dementia,44–46 fewer depressive symptoms,47–49 longer leukocyte telomere length,50 less ESRD,51 less pneumonia,52 less chronic obstructive pulmonary disease,53 lower prevalence of aortic sclerosis and stenosis,54 lower risk of calcific aortic valve stenosis,55 better prognosis after MI,56 lower risk of AF,57,58 and lower odds of having elevated resting heart rate.59 Using the CVH scoring approach, the FHS demonstrated significantly lower odds of prevalent hepatic steatosis associated with more favorable CVH scores, and the decrease of liver fat associated with more favorable CVH scores was greater among people with a higher GRS for NAFLD.60 In addition, a study based on NHANES data showed significantly decreased odds of ocular diseases (OR, 0.91 [95% CI, 0.87–0.95]), defined as age-related macular degeneration, any retinopathy, and cataract or glaucoma, and odds of diabetic retinopathy (OR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.66–0.76]) associated with each unit increase in CVH among US adults.61 Better CVH in midlife was associated with a lower prevalence of frailty in a large community-based cohort study.62

  • In addition, a study among a sample of Hispanic/Latino people residing in the United States reported that greater positive psychological functioning (dispositional optimism) was associated with higher CVH scores as defined by the AHA.63 A study in college students found that both handgrip strength and muscle mass were positively associated with greater numbers of ideal CVH components,64 and a cross-sectional study found that greater cardiopulmonary fitness, upper-body flexibility, and lower-body muscular strength were associated with better CVH components in perimenopausal females.65 Furthermore, higher quality of life scores were associated with better CVH metrics,66 providing additional evidence to support the benefits of ideal CVH on general health and quality of life.

  • According to NHANES 1999 to 2006 data, several social risk factors (low family income, low education level, underrepresented racial groups, and single-living status) were related to lower likelihood of attaining better CVH as measured by Life’s Simple 7 scores.67 A recent report from the ARIC study found that people of Black race (versus White race: OR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.57–0.80]), with low income (OR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.57–0.87]), or with low education (OR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.53–0.79]) were at higher odds of having worsening CVH over time,68 whereas analysis of NHANES data from 2013 to 2016 found that the association between educational attainment and likelihood of ideal CVH differed by race and ethnicity, underscoring the need for elucidating specific barriers preventing achievement of CVH across different racial and ethnic subgroups in the population.69

  • Other recent reports on CVH disparity include a study focused on people with serious mental illness, which found that individuals of underrepresented races and ethnicities had significantly lower CVH scores based on 5 of the Life’s Simple 7 components,70 and data from BRFSS identifying racial and ethnic and geographic disparities in CVH among females of childbearing age in the United States: NH Black females were found to have lower adjusted odds (OR, 0.54 [95% CI, 0.46–0.63]) of attaining ideal CVH compared with NH White females, whereas 5 spatial clusters in the Southwest, South, Midwest, and Mid-Atlantic region were identified as having significantly lower prevalence of ideal CVH.71 A systematic review and meta-analysis summarized the finding on demographic differences and socioeconomic disparities in ideal CVH in the literature through June 2020, with females having a significantly higher prevalence of ideal smoking (81% versus 60% in males), BP (41% versus 30% in males), and overall CVH (6% versus 3% in males) and people with higher education and individuals who were economically more affluent being more likely to have ideal CVH.72

  • Neighborhood factors and contextual relationships have been linked to health disparities in CVH, but more research is needed to better understand these complex relationships.73 Recent reports on the association between better neighborhood perceptions and higher CVH score in Black communities74 and the relationship between greater perceived social status and higher CVH score in Hispanic/Latino population in the United States75 are some examples of effort toward identifying complex relationships between demographic and socioeconomic factors and attaining ideal CVH. A recently published narrative review76 described knowledge gaps and outlined potential steps toward equity in CVH, which is the objective of the interim77 and longer-term78 Impact Goals set forth by the AHA.

  • Having more ideal CVH components in middle age has been associated with lower non-CVD and CVD health care costs in later life.79 An investigation of 4906 participants in the Cooper Center Longitudinal Study reported that participants with ≥5 ideal CVH components exhibited 24.9% (95% CI, 11.7%–36.0%) lower median annual non-CVD costs and 74.5% (95% CI, 57.5%–84.7%) lower median CVD costs than those with ≤2 ideal CVH components.79 A report from a large, ethnically diverse insured population found that people with 6 or 7 and those with 3 to 5 of the CVH components in the ideal category had a $2021 and $940 lower annual mean health care expenditure, respectively, than those with 0 to 2 ideal health components.80

  • The 2022 AHA presidential advisory on Life’s Essential 8 also provided summaries of knowledge gained on CVH since 2010 and evidence supporting psychological health and well-being, as well as social determinants, as foundational factors for CVH.3 Additional information on the relevance of sleep to cardiometabolic health can be found in Chapter 13 (Sleep) of this Statistical Update.

CVH in the United States: Prevalence (NHANES 2013–March 2020)

(See Table 2-2)

  • The national estimates of the 8 CVH components for children (2–19 years of age) and adults (≥20 years of age) are displayed in Table 2-2.81 Multiple cycles of NHANES data were combined to provide more precise estimates on all CVH components. Dietary, PA, and BMI scores were calculated for all children who were 2 to 19 years of age; blood lipid and BP scores were calculated for children who were 6 to 19 and 8 to 19 years of age, respectively; and blood glucose and nicotine exposure scores were calculated for those who were 12 to 19 years of age in the sample. The sleep health score was available only for youth 16 to 19 years of age, so the mean score of this component and the overall CVH score were derived for this age range only. Dietary estimates were available only through data up to the 2017 to 2018 NHANES cycle at the time of this report.

    For most components of CVH, mean scores were higher in US children (within corresponding age ranges of the components) than in US adults (≥20 years of age), except for the diet score and the sleep health score, for which mean scores in children were lower than in adults. Mean diet scores were the lowest among the 8 CVH components for both US children and adults.

    Among US children, BP, blood glucose, and nicotine exposure were the CVH components scoring highest compared with the rest of the CVH components, with all mean scores in the 80s and the 90s (of 100 points as the ideal score) across race and ethnicity groups. In contrast, mean PA, lipids, and sleep health scores within the corresponding age ranges were all in the 70s across race and ethnicity categories.

    Among US adults (Table 2-2), the lowest mean scores for CVH were observed in diet, PA, and BMI components, with mean scores ranging from the 30s to the 50s across all race and ethnicity categories. Sleep health scores were the highest among the CVH components in US adults, with mean scores in the 80s across all race and ethnicity groups except in the NH Black adult population, for whom the mean score was 75.6 (95% CI‚ 74.5–76.7). Mean scores for blood lipids, blood glucose, and BP among US adults were all in the 60s to the 70s range across race and ethnicity categories.

  • From 2013 to March 2020, the overall CVH score combining health scores of all 8 components was, on average, 73.6 (95% CI, 72.4–74.7) for all US children between 16 and 19 years of age. The corresponding mean overall CVH score was 78.4 (95% CI, 75.7–81.1) for NH Asian, 74.1 (95% CI, 72.0–76.2) for NH White, 72.7 (95% CI‚ 70.6–76.3) for Mexican American‚ and 71.3 (95% CI, 68.8–73.8) for NH Black children.

  • During the same period, the mean overall CVH score was 65.2 (95% CI, 64.2–66.1) for all US adults, with mean score of 69.6 (95% CI, 68.1–71.1) for NH Asian, 66.0 (95% CI, 64.8–67.2) for NH White, 63.5 (95% CI‚ 62.2–64.8) for Mexican American‚ and 59.7 (95% CI, 58.4–60.9) for NH Black adults.

  • An article appeared online ahead of print on the same day as the presidential advisory on Life’s Essential 8 providing CVH score estimates by additional sociodemographic categories under this new CVH metrics using NHANES data from 2013 to 2018.82

Trends in Risk Factors and Causes for YLL and YLD in the United States: 1990 to 2019

(See Tables 2-3 through 2-6)

  • The leading risk factors for YLLs from 1990 to 2019 in the United States are presented in Table 2-3.

    Smoking and high SBP remained the first and second leading YLL risk factors in both 1990 and 2019. Age-standardized rates of YLL attributable to smoking declined by 46.4%, whereas age-standardized rates attributable to high SBP declined 45.8%.

    From 1990 to 2019, YLLs caused by drug use rose from the 18th to 5th leading YLL risk factor with a 242.3% increase in the age-standardized YLL rate.

    In 2019, CVH components accounted for 13 (among which 7 were related to poor diet) of the 20 leading YLL risk factors, with 6 of the 7 diet-related risk factors rising in the risk factor rankings since 1990.

  • The leading causes of YLLs from 1990 to 2019 in the United States are presented in Table 2-4.

    IHD and tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer were the first and second leading YLL causes in both 1990 and 2019. Age-standardized YLL rates attributable to IHD declined 50.9%, whereas age-standardized YLL rates resulting from tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer declined 36.1%.

    From 1990 to 2019, opioid use disorders rose from the 46th to 4th leading YLL cause with a 799.2% increase in the age-standardized YLL rate. Type 2 diabetes also rose from the 12th to 6th leading YLL cause, whereas AD and other dementias also rose from the 15th to 7th leading YLL cause.

    The leading risk factors for YLDs from 1990 to 2019 in the United States are presented in Table 2-5.

    High BMI, high FPG, and smoking are among the first, second, and third leading YLD risk factors in both 1990 and 2019, with high BMI and high FPG rising in ranking while smoking dropped from the first to third leading YLD risk factor during this time period. Age-standardized YLD rates attributable to smoking declined by 25.8%, and age-standardized rates attributable to high BMI and high FPG increased by 44.4% and 47.4%, respectively, between 1990 and 2019.

  • The leading causes of YLDs from 1990 to 2019 in the United States are presented in Table 2-6.

    Low back pain and other musculoskeletal disorders were the first and second leading causes of YLDs in both 1990 and 2019. The age-standardized rates of YLD attributable to low back pain decreased 12.5%, whereas age-standardized YLD rates for other musculoskeletal disorders increased 44.2%.

    From 1990 to 2019, type 2 diabetes rose from the ninth to third leading YLD cause with a 55.8% increase in the age-standardized YLD rates.

    Opioid use disorders rose from the 16th to 4th leading YLD cause between 1990 and 2019 with a 288.7% increase in age-standardized rates of YLD.

Trends in Global Risk Factors and Causes for YLL and YLD: 1990 to 2019

(See Tables 2-7 through 2-10)

  • The leading global YLL risk factors from 1990 to 2019 are presented in Table 2-7.

    High SBP and smoking were the first and second leading YLL risk factors globally in 2019. Age-standardized YLL rates attributable to HBP and smoking declined 29.0% and 41.3%, respectively, between 1990 and 2019.

    From 1990 to 2019, high FPG rose from the 14th to 5th leading risk factor of global YLLs with a 1.5% decrease in the age-standardized YLL rates over this period.

  • The leading global YLL causes from 1990 to 2019 are presented in Table 2-8.

    IHD rose from the third to first leading global YLL cause between 1990 and 2019, whereas age-standardized YLL rates declined by 29.1% during this period. This shift resulted in lower respiratory infections moving from the first to second leading cause, and age-standardized YLL rates declined 62.7%.

    ICH and ischemic stroke rose from the 9th to 4th and from the 13th to 8th leading cause of global YLL, respectively, between 1990 and 2019.

    Type 2 diabetes also rose from the 28th to 14th leading global YLL cause, showing a 9.1% increase in age-standardized YLL rate.

  • The leading global risk factors for YLDs from 1990 to 2019 are presented in Table 2-9.

    High FPG and high BMI were the first and second leading YLD risk factors globally in 2019, replacing iron deficiency and smoking, which ranked fourth and third, respectively, in 2019. Age-standardized YLD rates attributable to high FPG and high BMI increased 44.1.% and 60.2%, respectively, whereas age-standardized global YLD rates attributable to smoking and iron deficiency deceased 22.9% and 16.7%, respectively.

    Ambient particulate matter pollution rose from the 17th to 8th leading global risk factor for YLD, resulting in a 64.9% increase in the age-standardized global YLD rates.

  • The leading global causes of YLDs from 1990 to 2019 are presented in Table 2-10.

    Low back pain and migraine were the first and second leading global causes of YLDs in both 1990 and 2019. The age-standardized rates of YLD attributable to low back pain decreased 16.3%, whereas rates for migraine increased 1.5% across the same time period.

    From 1990 to 2019, type 2 diabetes rose from the 10th to 6th leading global cause of YLD during this time period, with a 50.2% increase in the age-standardized global YLD rate.

COVID-19 Mortality in the United States

  • The large number of individuals in the United States who contracted severe illness attributable to COVID-19 resulted in a huge mortality toll, with disproportionate rates of deaths occurring among US counties with metropolitan areas and with higher proportions of the population who are NH Black and Hispanic people and in poverty.

    As of July 1, 2022, the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in the United States was 1 014 620, which equates to ≈306 deaths per 100 000 people.83 In metropolitan areas in the United States, the cumulative COVID-19 death rate was ≈292 deaths per 100 000 compared with ≈392 deaths per 100 000 in nonmetropolitan areas.83

    In US counties with a high percentage (>37%) of the population that is NH Black individuals, the COVID-19 death rate was ≈354 deaths per 100 000 compared with ≈297 deaths per 100 000 in counties with a low percentage (<2.5%) of the population that is NH Black individuals.83

    In US counties with a high percentage (>45.5%) of the population that is Hispanic individuals, the cumulative COVID-19 death rate was ≈348 deaths per 100 000 compared with ≈307 deaths per 100 000 in counties with a low percentage (≤18.3%) of the population that is Hispanic individuals.83

    In US counties with a high percentage (>17.3%) of the population in poverty, the cumulative COVID-19 death rate was ≈394 deaths per 100 000 compared with ≈248 deaths per 100 000 in counties with a low percentage (≤12.3%) of the population that is living in poverty.83

Impact of COVID-19 on Life Expectancy in the United States

  • As a result of the high COVID-19 mortality rates, life expectancy in the United States for 2020 has been estimated to decline with disproportionate impacts on populations with high COVID-19 mortality rates.

  • US life expectancy estimates released in December 202184,85 indicate that life expectancy (at birth) decreased from 78.8 years in 2019 to 77.0 years in 2020 (−1.8 years) overall; corresponding life expectancy decreased from 76.3 to 74.2 years (−2.1 years) in males and from 81.4 to 79.9 years (−1.5 years) in females. Provisional estimates released in December 2021 indicated that life expectancy decreased from 74.7 to 71.8 years (−2.9 years) for NH Black individuals, from 81.8 to 78.8 years (−3.0 years) for Hispanic individuals, and from 78.8 to 77.6 years (−1.2 years) for NH White individuals.84

Furthering the AHA’s Impact Through Continued Efforts to Improve CVH

(See Tables 2-3 through 2-6)

  • Renewed efforts to maintain and improve CVH will be foundational to successful reductions in mortality and disability in the United States and globally. Individuals with more favorable levels of CVH have significantly lower risk for several of the leading causes of death and YLD, including IHD,25 AD,86 stroke,87,88 CKD,89 diabetes,90,91 and breast cancer92,93 (Tables 2-4 and 2-6). In addition, 6 of the 10 leading US risk factors for YLL and 4 of the 10 leading risk factors for YLD in 2019 were components of CVH (Tables 2-3 and 2-5). Taken together, these data demonstrate the tremendous importance of continued efforts to improve CVH.

  • The expanding efforts of the AHA and American Stroke Association in areas of brain health are also well poised to drive toward improvement in several leading causes of death and disability that influence YLLs and YLDs, including stroke, AD, depression and anxiety disorders, and alcohol and substance use disorders.

  • Despite improvements observed in CVH and brain health over the past decade, further progress is needed to more fully realize these benefits for all Americans. Details are described in the AHA presidential advisory on brain health.94

Global Efforts to Improve CVH

(See Tables 2-7 through 2-10)

  • Renewal of efforts to improve CVH is a continuing challenge that requires collaboration throughout the global community in ways that aim targeted skills and resources at improving the top causes and risk factors for death and disability in countries. Such efforts are required in countries at all income levels with an emphasis on efforts to halt the continued worsening of the components of CVH (Tables 2-7 through 2-10).

  • Many challenges exist related to implementation of prevention and treatment programs in international settings; some challenges are unique to individual countries/cultures, whereas others are universal. Partnerships and collaborations with local, national, regional, and global partners are foundational to effectively addressing relevant national health priorities in ways that facilitate contextualization within individual countries and cultures.

This table lists the specific metrics for measurement and assessment of 8 domains of cardiovascular health including diet, physical activity, nicotine exposure, sleep health, body mass index, blood lipids, blood glucose, and blood pressure.

Table 2-1. Life’s Essential 8: New and Updated Metrics for Measurement and Quantitative Assessment of Cardiovascular Health

DomainCVH metricMethod of measurementQuantification of CVH metric: adults (≥20 y of age)Quantification of CVH metric: children (up to 19 y of age)
Health behaviorsDietMeasurement: Self-reported daily intake of a DASH-style eating patternExample tools for measurement: DASH diet score95,96 (populations); MEPA97 (individuals)Quantiles of DASH-style diet adherence or HEI-2015 (population)
Scoring (population):Points  Quantile100      ≥95th percentile (top/ideal diet)
80       75th–94th percentile
50       50th–74th percentile
25       25th–49th percentile
0        1st–24th percentile (bottom/least ideal quartile)
Scoring (individual):Points    MEPA score (points)100      15–16
80       12–14
50       8–11
25       4–7
0        0–3Quantiles of DASH-style diet adherence or HEI-2015 (population) or MEPA (individuals)*; 2–19 y of age (see Supplemental Material for younger ages)
Scoring (population):
Points       Quantile100         ≥95th percentile (top/ideal diet)
80          75th–94th percentile
50          50th–74th percentile
25          25th–49th percentile
0           1st–24th percentile (bottom/least ideal quartile)
Scoring (individual):Points       MEPA score (points)
100         9–10
80          7–8
50          5–6
25          3–4
0           0–2
PAMeasurement: Self-reported minutes of moderate or vigorous PA per weekExample tools for measurement: NHANES PAQ-K questionnaire98Metric: Minutes of moderate- (or greater) intensity activity per week
Scoring:Points    Minutes
100      ≥150
90       120–149
80       90–119
60       60–89
40       30–59
20       1–29
0        0Metric: Minutes of moderate- (or greater) intensity activity per week; 6–19 y of age (see notes and Supplemental Material for younger ages)
Scoring:Points       Minutes100         ≥420
90          360–419
80          300–359
60          240–299
40          120–239
20          1–119
0           0
Nicotine exposureMeasurement: Self-reported use of cigarettes or inhaled NDSExample tools for measurement: NHANES SMQ99Metric: Combustible tobacco use or inhaled NDS use; or secondhand smoke exposure
Scoring:Points    Status100       Never-smoker
75       Former smoker, quit ≥5 y
50       Former smoker, quit 1–<5 y
25       Former smoker, quit <1 y, or currently using inhaled NDS
0        Current smoker
Subtract 20 points (unless score is 0) for living with active indoor smoker in homeMetric: Combustible tobacco use or inhaled NDS use at any age (per clinician discretion); or secondhand smoke exposure
Scoring:Points       Status100          Never tried
50           Tried any nicotine product but >30 ago
25           Currently using inhaled NDS
0           Current combustible use (any within 30 d)
Subtract 20 points (unless score is 0) for living with active indoor smoker in home
Sleep healthMeasurement: Self-reported average hours of sleep per night
Example tools for measurement: “On average, how many hours of sleep do you get per night?”
Consider objective sleep/actigraphy data from wearable technology if availableMetric: Average hours of sleep per night
Scoring:Points    Level100       7–<9
90       9–<10
70       6–<7
40       5–<6 or ≥10
20       4–<5
0        <4Metric: Average hours of sleep per night (or per 24 h for ≤5 y of age; see notes for age-appropriate ranges)
Scoring:Points       Level100         Age-appropriate optimal range
90          <1 h above optimal range
70          <1 h below optimal range
40          1–<2 h below or ≥1 h above optimal
20          2–<3 h below optimal range
0           ≥3 h below optimal range
Health factorsBMIMeasurement: Body weight (kilograms) divided by height squared (meters squared)Example tools for measurement: Objective measurement of height and weightMetric: BMI (kg/m2)
Scoring:Points     Level100       <25
70        25.0–29.9
30        30.0–34.9
15        35.0–39.9
0         ≥40.0Metric: BMI percentiles for age and sex, starting in infancy; see Supplemental Material for suggestions for <2 y of age
Scoring:Points        Level100          5th–<85th percentile
70          85th–<95th percentile
30            95th percentile–<120% of the 95th percentile
15          120% of the 95th percentile–<140% of the 95th percentile
0            ≥140% of the 95th percentile
Blood lipidsMeasurement: Plasma TC and HDL-C with calculation of non–HDL-C
Example tools for measurement: Fasting or nonfasting blood sampleMetric: Non–HDL-C (mg/dL)
Scoring:Points     Level100      <130
60       130–159
40       160–189
20       190–219
0         ≥220
If drug-treated level, subtract 20 pointsMetric: Non–HDL-C (mg/dL), starting no later than 9–11 y of age and earlier per clinician discretion
Scoring:Points        Level100         <100
60          100–119
40          120–144
20          145–189
0           ≥190
If drug-treated level, subtract 20 points
Blood glucoseMeasurement: FBG or casual HbA1c
Example tools for measurement: Fasting (FBG, HbA1c) or nonfasting (HbA1c) blood sampleMetric: FBG (mg/dL) or HbA1c (%)
Scoring:Points     Level100       No history of diabetes and FBG <100 (or HbA1c <5.7)
60        No diabetes and FBG 100–125 (or HbA1c 5.7–6.4; prediabetes)
40        Diabetes with HbA1c <7.0
30       Diabetes with HbA1c 7.0–7.9
20        Diabetes with HbA1c 8.0–8.9
10        Diabetes with HbA1c 9.0–9.9
0          Diabetes with HbA1c ≥10.0Metric: FBG (mg/dL) or HbA1c (%), symptom-based screening at any age or risk-based screening starting at ≥10 y of age or onset of puberty per clinician discretion
Scoring:Points       Level100         No history of diabetes and FBG <100 (or HbA1c <5.7)
60          No diabetes and FBG 100–125 (or HbA1c 5.7–6.4; prediabetes)
40          Diabetes with HbA1c <7.0
30          Diabetes with HbA1c 7.0–7.9
20          Diabetes with HbA1c 8.0–8.9
10          Diabetes with HbA1c 9.0–9.9
0             Diabetes with HbA1c ≥10.0
BPMeasurement: Appropriately measured SBP and DBP Example tools for measurement: Appropriately sized BP cuffMetric: SBP and DBP (mm Hg)
Scoring:Points     Level100       <120/<80 (optimal)
75        120–129/<80 (elevated)
50        130–139 or 80–89 (stage 1 hypertension)
25        140–159 or 90–99
0         ≥160 or ≥100
Subtract 20 points if treated levelMetric: SBP and DBP (mm Hg) percentiles for ≤12 y of age. For ≥13 y of age, use adult scoring. Screening should start no later than 3 y of age and earlier per clinician discretion
Scoring:Points        Level100          Optimal (<90th percentile)
75          Elevated (≥90th–<95th percentile or ≥120/80 mm Hg to <95th percentile, whichever is lower)
50          Stage 1 hypertension (≥95th–<95th percentile+12 mm Hg, or 130/80 to 139/89 mm Hg, whichever is lower)
25          Stage 2 hypertension (≥95th percentile+12 mm Hg, or ≥140/90 mm Hg, whichever is lower)
0            SBP ≥160 or ≥95th percentile+30 mm Hg SBP, whichever is lower; and/or DBP ≥100 or ≥95th percentile+20 mm Hg DBP
Subtract 20 points if treated level

BMI indicates body mass index; BP, blood pressure; CVH, cardiovascular health; DASH, Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; FBG, fasting blood glucose; HbA1c, hemoglobin A1c; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HEI, Healthy Eating Index; MEPA, Mediterranean Eating Pattern for Americans; NDS, nicotine-delivery system; NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys; PA, physical activity; PAQ-K, Physical Activity Questionnaire K; SBP, systolic blood pressure; SMQ, smoking assessment; and TC, total cholesterol.

*Cannot meet these metrics until solid foods are being consumed.

Notes on implementation:

Diet: See Supplemental Material Appendix 1. For adults and children, a score of 100 points for the CVH diet metric should be assigned for the top (95th percentile) or a score of 15 to 16 on the MEPA (for individuals) or for those in the ≥95th percentile on the DASH score or HEI-2015 (for populations). The 75th to 94th percentile should be assigned 80 points, given that improvement likely can be made even among those in this top quartile. For individuals, the MEPA points are stratified for the 100-point scoring system approximately by quantiles. In children, a modified MEPA is suggested that is based on age-appropriate foods. The writing group recognizes that the quantiles may need to be adjusted or recalibrated at intervals with population shifts in eating patterns. In children, the scoring applies only once solid foods are being consumed. For now, the reference population for quantiles of HEI or DASH score should be the NHANES sample from 2015 to 2018. The writing group acknowledges that this may need to change or be updated over time. Clinicians should use judgment in assigning points for culturally contextual healthy diets. For additional notes on scoring in children, see Supplemental Material Appendix 2.

PA: Thresholds are based in part on US Physical Activity Guidelines. For adults, each minute of moderate activity should count as 1 minute and each minute of vigorous activity should count as 2 minutes toward the total for the week. For children, each minute of moderate or vigorous activity should count as 1 minute. The score for PA is not linear, given that there is a greater increase in health benefit for each minute of marginal exercise at the lower end of the range and the association tends to approach an asymptote at the higher end of the range.

If scoring is desired for children ≤5 years of age, see Supplemental Material. For additional notes on scoring in children, see Supplemental Material Appendix 2.

Nicotine exposure: The writing group recommends subtracting 20 points for children and adults exposed to indoor secondhand smoke at home, given its potential for long-term effects on cardiopulmonary health.100 For additional notes on scoring in children, see Supplemental Material Appendix 2.

Sleep health: Thresholds are based in part on sleep guidelines. Clinicians may consider subtracting 20 points from the sleep score for adults or children with untreated or undertreated sleep apnea if information is available. Note that overall scoring reflects the inverse-U–shaped association of sleep duration with health outcomes, such that excessive sleep duration is also considered to be suboptimal for CVH.

For children, age-appropriate optimal sleep durations are as follows101:

4 to 12 months of age, 12 to 16 hours per 24 hours (includes naps);

1 to 2 years of age, 11 to 14 hours per 24 hours;

3 to 5 years of age, 10 to 13 hours per 24 hours;

6 to 12 years of age, 9 to 12 hours; and

13 to 18 years of age, 8 to 10 hours.

For additional notes on scoring in children, see Supplemental Material Appendix 2.

BMI: Thresholds are based in part on National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (NHLBI) guidelines. The writing group acknowledges that BMI is an imperfect metric for determining healthy body weight and body composition. Nonetheless, it is widely available and routinely calculated in clinical and research settings. BMI ranges may differ for individuals from diverse ancestries. For example, the World Health Organization has recommended different BMI ranges for individuals of Asian or Pacific ancestry. For individuals in these groups, point scores should be aligned as appropriate:

Points     Level, kg/m2

100       18.5–22.9

75        23.0–24.9

50        25.0–29.9

25        30.0–34.9

0          ≥35.0

Clinicians may want to assign 100 points for overweight individuals (BMI, 25.0–29.9 kg/m2) who are lean with higher muscle mass. For underweight individuals (<18.5 kg/m2 in adults or below the fifth percentile in children), the writing group defers to clinician judgment in assigning points on the basis of individual assessment as to whether the underweight BMI is healthy or unhealthy. Conditions that should be considered unhealthy include chronic catabolic illnesses (eg, cancer), eating disorders, and growth failure (for children). For additional notes on scoring in children, see Supplemental Material Appendix 2.

Blood lipids: Thresholds are based in part on 2018 Cholesterol Clinical Practice Guideline.102 The levels of non–HDL-C for adults were selected on the basis of current guideline recommendations and in concert with the observation that non–HDL-C levels are generally ≈30 mg/dL higher than low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels in normative ranges in the population. For children, thresholds for non–HDL-C were chosen on the basis of NHLBI pediatric guidelines, pediatric low-density lipoprotein cholesterol thresholds for diagnosis of familial hypercholesterolemia phenotypes (+30 mg/dL), and current distributions of non–HDL-C to smooth transitions to adult point scales. The writing group recommends subtracting 20 points from the blood lipid score if the level of non–HDL-C represents a treated value, given the residual risk present in those who require treatment. There may be a modest shift in point scores for this metric as individuals age from pediatric to adult metrics. For additional notes on scoring in children, see Supplemental Material Appendix 2.

Blood glucose: Thresholds are based in part on American Diabetes Association guidelines.103 If an individual patient with prediabetes (ie, not yet diagnosed formally with diabetes) is being treated with metformin to prevent the onset of diabetes and has normoglycemic levels, the writing group recommends clinician judgment for assigning point values (ie, consider subtracting 20 points). The maximal point value for patients with well-controlled diabetes was set at 40, given the residual risk present in those with diabetes. For additional notes on scoring in children, see Supplemental Material Appendix 2.

BP: Thresholds are based in part on the 2017 Hypertension Clinical Practice Guidelines and the guidelines for children.104 The writing group recommends subtracting 20 points from the BP score if the level of BP represents a treated value, given the residual risk present in those who require treatment. For additional notes on scoring in children, see Supplemental Material Appendix 2.

Source: Reprinted from Lloyd-Jones et al.3 Copyright © 2022, American Heart Association, Inc.

This table lists the scores, ranging from zero to one hundred, for children and adults for each of the 8 components of cardiovascular health stratified by race and ethnicity.

Table 2-2. Mean (95% CI) Score for Each Component of CVH Metrics by Race and Ethnicity Strata Among US Children 2 to 19 Years of Age and US Adults ≥20 Years of Age: NHANES 2013 to March 2020

Individual component of CVH metricsNHANES yearsOverallNH BlackNH WhiteNH AsianMA
Health behaviors2–19 y of age
 Diet* score (2–19 y)2013–201841.2 (39.0–43.5)31.7 (28.8–34.6)41.1 (37.6–44.5)49.8 (43.0–56.5)44.3 (40.8–47.8)
 PA score (2–19 y)2013–March 202075.2 (74.2–76.3)74.7 (73.0–76.3)77.5 (76.0–78.9)72.5 (69.9–74.9)71.0 (68.4–73.7)
 Nicotine exposure core (12–19 y)2013–March 202085.4 (84.1–86.7)86.8 (84.6–88.9)83.3 (81.0–85.5)92.8 (90.5–95.1)88.0 (85.7–90.3)
 Sleep health score (16–19 y)2013–March 202077.8 (76.0–79.6)72.5 (70.0–75.0)79.8 (77.1–82.5)77.9 (74.7–81.2)77.7 (75.1–80.4)
Health factors
 BMI score (2–19 y)2013–March 202081.4 (80.0–82.8)78.9 (75.7–82.0)84.3 (82.5–86.0)89.3 (87.0–91.7)74.9 (72.6–77.2)
 Blood lipids score (6–19 y)2013–March 202073.7 (72.6–74.8)77.3 (75.3–79.2)73.6 (71.8–75.4)69.9 (66.9–73.0)73.5 (71.6–75.4)
 Blood glucose score (12–19 y)2013–March 202092.5 (91.7–93.2)89.3 (88.0–90.7)93.3 (92.0–94.5)93.0 (90.8–95.2)91.7 (90.2–93.2)
 BP score (8–19 y)2013–March 202095.5 (95.0–96.0)94.2 (93.3–95.0)95.8 (95.1–96.3)96.1 (95.1–97.0)95.5 (94.6–96.3)
 Overall score (16–19 y)2013–March 202073.6 (72.4–74.7)71.3 (68.8–73.8)74.1 (72.0–76.2)78.4 (75.7–81.1)72.7 (70.6–76.3)
Health behaviors≥20 y of age†
 Diet* score2013–201844.38 (42.6–46.1)31.4 (28.5–34.3)46.6 (44.4–48.8)53.1 (49.7–56.5)42.9 (40.9–44.9)
 PA score2013–March 202049.23 (47.4–51.0)45.1 (42.7–47.6)51.0 (48.9–53.1)51.8 (48.3–55.3)42.4 (39.9–44.9)
 Nicotine exposure score2013–March 202069.3 (68.0–70.5)64.0 (62.1–65.9)68.1 (66.3–69.9)85.4 (83.5–82.3)75.7 (73.8–77.6)
 Sleep health score2013–March 202084.2 (83.6–84.8)75.6 (74.5–76.7)86.1 (85.4–86.9)86.3 (84.9–87.7)83.1 (81.9–84.3)
Health factors
 BMI score2013–March 202057.2 (56.2–58.2)52.0 (50.5–53.5)58.9 (57.6–60.2)58.5 (57.0–60.1)50.9 (49.2–52.5)
 Blood lipids score2013–March 202067.7 (66.8–68.6)73.7 (72.4–74.9)67.0 (65.9–68.1)66.9 (65.4–68.5)66.2 (64.4–68.0)
 Blood glucose score2013–March 202076.4 (75.7–77.2)72.2 (71.3–73.2)77.8 (76.9–78.6)74.7 (72.9–76.5)73.2 (71.2–75.2)
 BP score2013–March 202068.2 (67.3–69.0)60.6 (59.2–62.0)68.2 (67.1–69.4)70.7 (68.9–72.5)73.4 (71.8–75.0)
 Overall score2013–March 202065.2 (64.2–66.1)59.7 (58.4–60.9)66.0 (64.8–67.2)69.6 (68.1–71.1)63.5 (62.2–64.8)

Values are mean (95% CI). In March 2020, the COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic halted NHANES field operations. Because data collected in the partial 2019 to 2020 cycle are not nationally representative, they were combined with previously released 2017 to 2018 data to produce nationally representative estimates.105

BMI indicates body mass index; BP, blood pressure; CVH, cardiovascular health; MA, Mexican American; NH, non-Hispanic; NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey; and PA, physical activity.

*Scaled to 2000 kcal/d and in the context of appropriate energy balance and a Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension–type eating pattern.

†Standardized to the age distribution of the 2000 US standard population.

Source: Unpublished American Heart Association tabulation using NHANES.81

This table has a plethora of information, but notably smoking was the risk factor with the highest years of life lost in 1990 and in 2019 in the United States with over 10 million years of life lost and 500,000 deaths in 2019.

Table 2-3. Leading 20 Risk Factors of YLL and Death in the United States: Rank, Number, and Percentage Change, 1990 and 2019

Risk factors for disabilityYLL rank (for total number)Total No. of YLLs, in thousands (95% UI)Percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)Corresponding total No. of deaths, in thousands (95% UI)Corresponding percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)
1990201919902019Total No. of YLLsAge-standardized YLL rate19902019Total No. of deathsAge-standardized death rate
Smoking1111 005.06 (10 692.42 to 11 351.22)10 371.03 (10 017.19 to 10 728.28)−5.76% (−8.46% to −2.93%)−46.43% (−47.91% to −44.85%)515.41 (496.77 to 537.03)527.74 (505.55 to 550.83)2.39% (−1.3% to 6.28%)−42.21% (−44.18% to −40.15%)
High SBP228466.11 (7465.95 to 9424.27)7815.63 (6814.38 to 8821.87)−7.68% (−13.09% to −2.58%)−45.76% (−48.82% to −42.81%)503.63 (425.60 to 573.56)495.20 (407.47 to 574.65)−1.67% (−9.73% to 6.05%)−45.94% (−49.57% to −42.07%)
High BMI434994.23 (3131.76 to 6877.86)7778.57 (5416.09 to 9912.24)55.75% (41.31% to 80.47%)−9.18% (−17.75% to 5.86%)232.16 (138.00 to 334.08)393.86 (257.61 to 528.44)69.65% (52.54% to 98.96%)−5.82% (−15.3% to 10%)
High FPG544664.81 (3563.73 to 6006.04)7121.62 (5548.50 to 9006.14)52.67% (37.87% to 68%)−12.25% (−20.59% to −3.79%)263.41 (193.27 to 355.67)439.38 (320.11 to 582.66)66.81% (48.24% to 85.48%)−8.01% (−17.9% to 2.09%)
Drug use185999.47 (899.54 to 1135.28)4265.41 (4080.78 to 4494.41)326.77% (277.64% to 372.57%)242.34% (202.34% to 280.43%)24.76 (22.26 to 27.73)104.74 (100.39 to 109.98)323.09% (280.5% to 364.71%)214.02% (181.7% to 245.57%)
Alcohol use662708.90 (2327.61 to 3129.89)3936.71 (3457.94 to 4524.58)45.33% (30.7% to 60.18%)−5.97% (−14.74% to 2.75%)76.48 (61.08 to 93.37)136.66 (115.68 to 162.66)78.69% (54.74% to 108.25%)6.66% (−6.18% to 22.33%)
High LDL-C376291.91 (5210.65 to 7354.85)3863.72 (3077.21 to 4730.88)−38.59% (−43.38% to −34.18%)−63.6% (−66.17% to −61.13%)353.09 (267.44 to 443.65)226.34 (158.85 to 304.37)−35.9% (−43.1% to −29.38%)−64.86% (−68.02% to −61.77%)
Kidney dysfunction782138.32 (1781.84 to 2527.38)3159.52 (2795.42 to 3536.01)47.76% (37.73% to 60.92%)−13.36% (−19.3% to −5.75%)138.81 (111.85 to 167.70)214.74 (182.32 to 248.84)54.71% (43.24% to 69.01%)−15% (−20.89% to −6.95%)
Diet low in whole grains991897.21 (868.61 to 2445.35)1778.79 (855.23 to 2258.78)−6.24% (−10% to 0.74%)−44.83% (−47.05% to −40.69%)103.24 (46.57 to 133.79)102.25 (48.18 to 131.55)−0.96% (−5.31% to 6.17%)−45.32% (−47.42% to −41.37%)
Low temperature13101320.06 (1079.50 to 1579.76)1734.12 (1488.09 to 1989.52)31.37% (21.84% to 42.8%)−28.03% (−33.6% to −21.47%)92.53 (76.50 to 108.86)123.09 (104.13 to 141.28)33.02% (24.01% to 42.4%)−28.1% (33.15% to 22.91%)
Diet low in legumes12111471.67 (348.59 to 2464.41)1299.03 (337.88 to 2145.69)−11.73% (−15.97% to 2.02%)−48.26% (−50.62% to −39.91%)80.91 (20.30 to 134.49)76.84 (19.83 to 126.33)−5.03% (−10.1% to 8.8%)−48.05% (−50.45% to −41.09%)
Diet high in red meat16121258.35 (677.77 to 1830.45)1268.70 (754.94 to 1787.30)0.82% (−7.68% to 16.14%)−40.06% (−45.03% to −30.7%)59.84 (31.13 to 88.85)65.65 (37.01 to 94.39)9.71% (−0.52% to 29.65%)−38.55% (−44.31% to −27.11%)
Diet high in trans fatty acids14131311.91 (77.03 to 1776.96)1097.24 (55.44 to 1490.02)−16.36% (−24.34% to −12.35%)−50.97% (−55.84% to −48.6%)71.37 (4.33 to 97.34)64.39 (3.44 to 88.07)−9.78% (−18.55% to −4.86%)−50.56% (−55.32% to −48.06%)
Diet high in processed meat1914850.40 (283.64 to 1366.73)969.35 (405.97 to 1459.61)13.99% (−0.22% to 53.8%)−32.69% (−41.36% to −9.36%)42.16 (13.90 to 69.60)50.90 (20.97 to 78.62)20.71% (5.93% to 59.18%)−32.15% (−40.76% to −9.05%)
Ambient particulate matter pollution8152001.60 (842.72 to 3490.50)931.95 (526.95 to 1361.42)−53.44% (−76.57% to 3.52%)−71.21% (−84.9% to −39.42%)95.26 (37.62 to 171.26)47.79 (26.06 to 71.53)−49.84% (−75.93% to 18.1%)−71.29% (−85.9% to −33.4%)
Diet high in sodium2416574.46 (36.43 to 1999.45)914.24 (61.08 to 2622.57)59.15% (25.57% to 270.02%)−4.75% (−25.72% to 132.21%)31.62 (2.16 to 113.50)48.50 (3.26 to 151.35)53.38% (23.18% to 208.55%)−13.04% (−30.53% to 82.94%)
LBW10171512.98 (1436.65 to 1601.27)853.24 (778.57 to 935.91)−43.61% (−49.31% to −37.44%)−38.47% (−44.69% to −31.75%)17.04 (16.18 to 18.03)9.61 (8.77 to 10.54)−43.62% (−49.32% to −37.46%)−38.49% (−44.71% to −31.77%)
Short gestation11181492.43 (1415.76 to 1577.76)830.26 (756.11 to 909.70)−44.37% (−49.91% to −38.33%)−39.3% (−45.36% to −32.72%)16.81 (15.94 to 17.77)9.35 (8.51 to 10.24)−44.38% (−49.92% to −38.35%)−39.32% (−45.37% to −32.74%)
Secondhand smoke17191072.52 (858.49 to 1288.00)765.32 (597.81 to 943.60)−28.64% (−35.48% to −21.24%)−58.57% (−62.38% to −54.53%)44.43 (35.48 to 53.61)35.58 (27.27 to 44.12)−19.92% (−28.44% to −10.64%)−55.34% (−59.81% to −50.32%)
Diet low in fruits2120845.55 (505.63 to 1141.76)745.10 (463.85 to 1006.64)−11.88% (−21.92% to 0.05%)−47.98% (−53.6% to −41.37%)42.79 (25.00 to 57.89)40.17 (24.61 to 54.38)6.13% (−18.07% to 9.22%)−47.6% (−53.99% to −39.31%)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

BMI indicates body mass index; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; GBD, Global Burden of Disease; LBW, low birth weight, LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; SBP, systolic blood pressure; UI, uncertainty interval; and YLL, year of life lost to premature mortality.

Source: Data derived from GBD Study 2019. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.106

This table has a plethora of information, but notably ischemic heart disease was the cause with the highest years of life lost in the United States in 1990 and 2019 with over 8.6 million years of life lost and 550,000 deaths in 2019.

Table 2-4. Leading 20 Causes of YLL and Death in the United States: Rank, Number, and Percent Change, 1990 and 2019

Diseases and injuriesYLL rank (for total number)Total No. of YLLs, in thousands (95% UI)Percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)Corresponding total No. of deaths, in thousands (95% UI)Corresponding percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)
1990201919902019Total No. of YLLsAge-standardized YLL rate19902019Total No. of deathsAge-standardized death rate
IHD1110 181.09 (9690.92 to 10 439.15)8651.61 (8081.02 to 9124.13)−15.02% (−17.54% to −11.72%)−50.89% (−52.28% to −48.96%)604.09 (558.11 to 627.32)557.65 (496.86 to 594.41)−7.69% (−11.14% to −3.43%)−49.86% (−51.39% to −47.6%)
Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer223559.62 (3479.49 to 3617.41)4124.65 (3950.45 to 4261.93)15.87% (11.75% to 19.93%)−36.1% (−38.35% to −33.86%)156.26 (151.01 to 159.34)206.20 (193.72 to 214.28)31.96% (26.46% to 37.09%)−26.83% (−29.74% to −24.01%)
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease431592.74 (1505.38 to 1778.28)3100.42 (2620.31 to 3305.63)94.66% (63.07% to 109.95%)11.21% (−6.25% to 19.76%)90.48 (83.71 to 103.20)195.83 (161.22 to 212.29)116.42% (72.76% to 137.51%)21.67% (−2.03% to 33%)
Opioid use disorders464219.00 (209.51 to 229.51)286.80 (2182.91 to 2418.61)944.2% (875.88% to 1027.46%)799.2% (738.44% to 878.48%)4.35 (4.18 to 4.55)47.34 (45.39 to 49.24)987.66% (922.91% to 1054.34%)795.34% (741.01% to 859.05%)
Colon and rectum cancer751291.48 (1249.20 to 1320.46)1640.65 (1574.85 to 1689.21)27.04% (23.7% to 30.48%)−24.11% (−26.08% to −21.94%)65.58 (61.89 to 67.69)84.03 (77.99 to 87.52)28.12% (24.34% to 31.56%)−26.31% (−28.25% to −24.39%)
Type 2 diabetes126856.92 (809.02 to 882.74)1365.65 (1299.49 to 1422.98)59.37% (54.2% to 65.34%)−7.31% (−10.46% to −3.84%)43.92 (40.93 to 45.55)73.41 (67.73 to 76.76)67.15% (61.31% to 72.93%)−5.46% (−8.66% to 2.26%)
AD and other dementias157743.80 (180.25 to 2011.60)139.08 (333.70 to 3431.38)80.03% (65.82% to 99.45%)−3.65% (−10.86% to 5.5%)73.08 (18.40 to 194.71)143.92 (37.07 to 354.96)96.94% (80.52% to 119.01%)−1.92% (−9.65% to 7.87%)
Motor vehicle road injuries381836.51 (1812.57 to 1864.76)1231.24 (1152.15 to 1272.09)−32.96% (−37.75% to −30.48%)−46.42% (−50.42% to −44.35%)35.67 (35.13 to 36.27)28.25 (26.71 to 29.14)−20.82% (−25.88% to −18.17%)−42.5% (−46.41% to −40.47%)
Breast cancer991199.58 (1165.78 to 1222.05)1212.43 (1157.03 to 1261.82)1.07% (−3% to 4.94%)−40.05% (−42.49% to −37.71%)48.21 (45.76 to 49.51)55.02 (51.01 to 57.90)14.12% (9.23% to 18.83%)−35.5% (−38.05% to −33.07%)
Lower respiratory infections8101223.88 (1159.84 to 1261.53)1210.65 (1124.89 to 1262.59)−1.08% (−4.06% to 1.99%)−40.39% (−42.03% to −38.65%)72.72 (66.22 to 76.44)81.92 (72.24 to 87.40)12.66% (8.1% to 16.85%)−38.93% (−40.75% to −36.94%)
Ischemic stroke6111324.40 (1218.20 to 1381.45)1185.52 (1045.83 to 1295.90)−10.49% (−15.56% to −3.94%)−50.06% (−52.58% to −46.54%)103.35 (92.02 to 109.29)108.95 (92.44 to 120.30)5.42% (−1.45% to 14.3%)−44.68% (−47.72% to −40.18%)
Pancreatic cancer1712587.36 (568.59 to 599.72)1134.93 (1078.47 to 1178.70)93.23% (85.27% to 100.27%)10.36% (5.85% to 14.28%)28.60 (27.10 to 29.43)57.49 (53.67 to 60.25)101.03% (92.1% to 109.18%)14.29% (9.49% to 18.74%)
ICH1413772.31 (741.63 to 799.80)1099.70 (1033.09 to 1188.13)42.39% (35.89% to 50.11%)−16.7% (−20.47% to −12.21%)38.33 (35.84 to 39.86)59.73 (54.34 to 64.89)55.82% (47.69% to 66.31%)−12.28% (−16.49% to −6.65%)
Self-harm by other specified means1614686.74 (629.95 to 767.19)961.37 (835.09 to 1004.91)39.99% (28.48% to 45.86%)12.77% (3.34% to 17.66%)14.65 (13.31 to 16.22)21.98 (19.00 to 23.04)50.1% (40.1% to 55.9%)12.88% (4.55% to 17.5%)
Hypertensive HD2315447.65 (373.87 to 469.58)957.73 (599.24 to 1027.23)113.95% (43.15% to 126.64%)29.98% (−15.61% to 38.05%)23.73 (20.11 to 25.47)52.96 (35.45 to 57.78)123.18% (58.64% to 136.08%)23.67% (−13.76% to 30.56%)
Self-harm by firearm1316853.20 (767.29 to 906.88)895.00 (844.35 to 1014.78)4.9% (1.11% to 13.45%)−20.52% (−23.51% to −13.82%)19.32 (17.67 to 20.57)23.36 (22.13 to 26.18)20.95% (17.12% to 28.48%)−16.01% (−18.8% to −10.1%)
Cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases caused by hepatitis C2417434.18 (390.04 to 483.14)839.29 (746.47 to 938.91)93.3% (82.11% to 103.87%)19.63% (14.07% to 25.01%)14.46 (12.96 to 16.10)29.91 (26.55 to 33.43)106.84% (97.17% to 116.53%)23.07% (18.06% to 28.21%)
Endocrine, metabolic, blood, and immune disorders3518272.90 (226.89 to 362.60)772.39 (598.36 to 893.98)183.04% (139% to 197.28%)77.55% (62.97% to 84.21%)8.68 (7.45 to 12.18)34.54 (24.72 to 37.44)297.78% (180.95% to 332.08%)123.05% (67.99% to 138.77%)
Physical violence by firearm1119980.04 (963.97 to 993.74)735.86 (682.89 to 761.54)−24.92% (−29.57% to −22.24%)−34.98% (−39.02% to −32.65%)16.74 (16.47 to 16.96)13.00 (12.12 to 13.43)−22.33% (−26.91% to −19.9%)−35.1% (−39.01% to −32.96%)
Prostate cancer1820581.18 (403.13 to 650.19)712.79 (628.11 to 1037.53)22.65% (9.65% to 66.94%)−29.34% (−36.77% to −4.07%)36.24 (25.66 to 40.65)48.32 (41.35 to 70.59)33.36% (19.07% to 78.37%)−24.46% (−32.33% to 1.1%)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

AD indicates Alzheimer disease; GBD, Global Burden of Disease; HD, heart disease; ICH, intracerebral hemorrhage; IHD, ischemic heart disease; UI, uncertainty interval; and YLL, year of life lost to premature mortality.

Source: Data derived from GBD Study 2019. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.107

This table has a plethora of information, but notably high body-mass index contributed to the highest years of life lived with disability or injury of all risk factors in the United States in 2019 with over 4.7 million years of life lived with disability or injury. In 1990, smoking was the risk factor with the highest years of life lived with disability or injury, which moved to the third rank in 2019.

Table 2-5. Leading 20 Risk Factors for YLDs in the United States: Rank, Number, and Percentage Change, 1990 and 2019

Risk factors for disabilityYLD rank (for total number)Total No. of YLDs, in thousands (95% UI)Percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)
1990201919902019Total No. of YLDsAge-standardized YLD rate
High BMI212014.44 (1191.63 to 3041.53)4757.53 (3035.97 to 6728.53)136.17% (116.67% to 171.6%)44.45% (32.86% to 65.18%)
High FPG321473.97 (1043.23 to 1958.70)3705.54 (2636.55 to 4926.74)151.4% (140.32% to 165.13%)47.37% (40.86% to 54.89%)
Smoking132927.37 (2152.15 to 3726.22)3580.31 (2711.48 to 4421.59)22.3% (15.58% to 30.13%)−25.75% (−29.66% to −21.37%)
Drug use541031.70 (712.04 to 1385.17)3009.85 (2080.84 to 4025.99)191.74% (158.71% to 224.78%)148.76% (118.72% to 178.48%)
High SBP65884.49 (639.70 to 1142.32)1287.04 (929.96 to 1667.98)45.51% (35.52% to 55.15%)−13.11% (−18.82% to −7.75%)
Alcohol use461102.64 (760.00 to 1520.68)1259.73 (879.63 to 1722.34)14.25% (4.96% to 25.06%)−16.46% (−21.27% to −11.03%)
Occupational ergonomic factors77769.12 (531.07 to 1052.57)909.32 (640.04 to 1206.98)18.23% (8.01% to 30.5%)−14.3% (−21.29% to −6.44%)
Low bone mineral density88411.39 (289.23 to 569.28)782.17 (549.97 to 1077.01)90.13% (85.32% to 95.57%)6.66% (4.03% to 9.54%)
Kidney dysfunction99399.32 (297.80 to 524.36)775.02 (582.79 to 1002.90)94.08% (83.38% to 105.14%)19.75% (14.04% to 25.57%)
Diet high in red meat1410230.60 (158.70 to 317.03)485.27 (322.95 to 687.22)110.44% (91.62% to 126.96%)25.76% (15.64% to 34.5%)
Diet high in processed meat1711172.86 (104.84 to 255.78)471.02 (287.52 to 692.65)172.5% (148.34% to 205.98%)58.21% (44.23% to 76.99%)
Short gestation1012371.84 (284.50 to 469.16)468.88 (365.55 to 581.92)26.1% (16.16% to 36.48%)4.21% (−3.87% to 12.88%)
LBW1113371.84 (284.50 to 469.16)468.88 (365.55 to 581.92)26.1% (16.16% to 36.48%)4.21% (−3.87% to 12.88%)
High LDL-C1314297.03 (185.95 to 446.89)303.55 (190.21 to 472.68)2.19% (−8.4% to 12.75%)−37.09% (−43.62% to −30.57%)
Ambient particulate matter pollution1215308.85 (111.01 to 556.89)291.90 (139.49 to 500.08)−5.49% (−55.19% to 120.72%)−44.15% (−73.38% to 30.06%)
Bullying victimization2216132.13 (29.00 to 322.15)268.38 (58.82 to 613.61)103.12% (81.47% to 133.27%)81.82% (61.43% to 105.89%)
Occupational injuries1517196.96 (134.56 to 279.88)265.30 (176.61 to 390.65)34.7% (5.8% to 73.94%)0.01% (−21.72% to 29.35%)
Childhood sexual abuse1918164.32 (72.88 to 313.28)251.15 (121.67 to 443.14)52.84% (27.67% to 94.68%)22.66% (3.32% to 54.56%)
Intimate partner violence2019161.94 (26.50 to 326.56)250.12 (31.52 to 514.75)54.45%
(27.68% to 63.76%)23.3% (−4.55% to 30.31%)
Secondhand smoke1620173.12 (106.23 to 245.30)246.72 (146.07 to 362.41)42.51% (23% to 59.97%)−16.37% (−27.46% to −6.05%)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

BMI indicates body mass index; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; GBD, Global Burden of Disease; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; LBW, low birth weight; SBP, systolic blood pressure; UI, uncertainty interval; and YLD, year of life lived with disability or injury.

Source: Data derived from GBD Study 2019. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.106

This table has a plethora of information, but notably low back pain contributed to the highest years of life lived with disability or injury of all causes in the United States in 1990 and 2019 with over 5.6 million years of life lived with disability or injury in 2019.

Table 2-6. Leading 20 Causes for YLDs in the United States: Rank, Number, and Percent Change, 1990 and 2019

Diseases and injuriesYLD rank (for total number)Total No. of YLDs, in thousands (95% UI)Percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)
1990201919902019Total No. of YLDsAge-standardized YLD rate
Low back pain114504.86 (3168.68 to 6039.64)5697.15 (4114.14 to 7474.69)26.47% (18.72% to 34.96%)−12.46% (−17.42% to −7.02%)
Other musculoskeletal disorders221731.90 (1200.59 to 2420.19)3530.50 (2522.22 to 4747.29)103.85% (83.83% to 126.23%)44.17% (30.42% to 59.6%)
Type 2 diabetes931030.39 (715.25 to 1387.82)2761.76 (1939.08 to 3738.03)168.03% (153.55% to 185.2%)55.84% (47.58% to 65.14%)
Opioid use disorders164554.70 (366.80 to 787.88)2489.58 (1684.54 to 3394.11)348.82% (308.52% to 396.89%)288.67% (253.85% to 332.48%)
Major depressive disorder451341.83 (930.71 to 1837.66)2242.30 (1552.73 to 3056.52)67.11% (62.83% to 72.26%)33.07% (29.58% to 36.62%)
Age-related and other hearing loss561340.58 (932.94 to 1865.97)2187.37 (1524.78 to 3048.08)63.17% (58.93% to 67.46%)−1.4% (−3.46% to 0.7%)
Migraine371671.80 (241.76 to 3778.40)2078.81 (333.85 to 4660.27)24.35% (18.96% to 37.7%)−2.61% (−5.89% to 1.17%)
Neck pain781201.62 (792.53 to 1709.09)2043.52 (1392.66 to 2886.40)70.06% (55.99% to 82.82%)18.41% (9.89% to 27.58%)
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease891111.88 (924.35 to 1262.67)1921.11 (1606.46 to 2147.99)72.78% (66.73% to 79.98%)−0.62% (−3.94% to 3.51%)
Anxiety disorders6101331.27 (932.18 to 1816.40)1872.34 (1314.62 to 2530.62)40.64% (37% to 44.94%)8.41% (6.85% to 10.06%)
Falls1011971.06 (690.51 to 1336.57)1594.64 (1136.33 to 2190.22)64.22% (57.72% to 71.62%)0.07% (−2.87% to 3.35%)
Asthma1112904.55 (587.17 to 1330.72)1296.66 (857.41 to 1849.88)43.35% (31.26% to 56.15%)11.01% (1.8% to 21.71%)
Schizophrenia1313767.43 (562.88 to 970.69)993.34 (732.79 to 1243.07)29.44% (25.28% to 34.45%)−1.22% (−3.13% to 0.79%)
Osteoarthritis in the hand1814486.85 (249.46 to 1017.65)930.08 (466.70 to 1964.92)91.04% (74.27% to 108.64%)7.82% (−0.72% to 17.23%)
Ischemic stroke1515559.93 (399.70 to 724.14)870.59 (628.48 to 1114.77)55.48% (47.94% to 63.39%)−5.16% (−9.35% to −0.14%)
Alcohol use disorders1216785.98 (523.84 to 1106.57)784.98 (538.64 to 1092.19)−0.13% (−5.58% to 5.53%)−21.58% (−24.39% to −18.84%)
Osteoarthritis in the knee1917450.96 (227.51 to 906.41)759.11 (380.59 to 1527.66)68.33% (62.62% to 75.07%)−2.68% (−6.62% to 1.66%)
Endocrine, metabolic, blood, and immune disorders1418629.50 (428.40 to 868.36)726.71 (500.66 to 990.69)15.44% (6.81% to 23.95%)−23.84% (−29.21% to −18.2%)
AD and other dementias2219391.77 (276.91 to 523.54)687.80 (497.57 to 889.29)75.56% (59.97% to 94.86%)−3.82% (−12.02% to 6.33%)
Edentulism1720491.91 (304.02 to 742.02)668.95 (424.02 to 985.05)35.99% (29.73% to 43.73%)−17.13% (−22.52% to −10.71%)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

AD indicates Alzheimer disease; GBD, Global Burden of Disease; UI, uncertainty interval; and YLD, year of life lived with disability or injury.

Source: Data derived from GBD Study 2019. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.107

This table has a plethora of information, but notably high systolic blood pressure was the risk factor with the highest years of life lost globally in 2019 with over 214 million years of life lost and 10.8 million deaths in 2019. In 2009, the risk factor with the highest years of life lost globally was child wasting, which moved to the 10th rank in 2019.

Table 2-7. Leading 20 Global Risk Factors of YLL and Death: Rank, Number, and Percentage Change, 1990 and 2019

Risk factors for disabilityYLL rank (for total number)Total No. of YLLs, in thousands (95% UI)Percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)Corresponding total No. of deaths, in thousands (95% UI)Corresponding percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)
1990201919902019Total No. of YLLsAge-standardized YLL rate19902019Total No. of deathsAge-standardized death rate
High SBP61143 603.62 (129 333.91 to 157 734.25)214 260.28 (191 165.39 to 236 748.61)49.2% (38.51% to 59.21%)−28.96% (−33.93% to −24.37%)6787.71 (6072.71 to 7495.92)10 845.60 (9514.14 to 12 130.85)59.78% (49.19% to 69.4%)−29.81% (−34.25% to −25.76%)
Smoking72140 203.56 (132 792.85 to 147 036.56)168 238.03 (155 801.16 to 180 393.21)20% (10.41% to 30.71%)−41.31% (−45.98% to −36.16%)5868.49 (5578.08 to 6152.89)7693.37 (7158.45 to 8200.59)31.1% (21.21% to 42.07%)−38.67% (−43.11% to −33.68%)
LBW23269 478.56 (250 822.80 to 288 996.54)151 317.48 (128 528.30 to 179 613.60)−43.85% (−52.35% to −33.52%)−43.1% (−51.71% to −32.64%)3033.43 (2823.41 to 3253.23)1703.12 (1446.63 to 2021.58)−43.85% (−52.35% to −33.53%)−43.11% (−51.72% to −32.65%)
Short gestation34221 314.76 (206 273.76 to 238 540.80)128 741.23 (109 481.34 to 153 683.78)−41.83% (−50.32% to −30.76%)−41.05% (−49.66% to −29.84%)2491.34 (2321.98 to 2685.26)1449.04 (1232.27 to 1729.80)−41.84% (−50.33% to −30.77%)−41.06% (−49.67% to −29.85%)
High FPG14561 627.96 (51 459.07 to 74 728.01)126 654.90 (104 234.74 to 153 148.03)105.52% (91.63% to 119.7%)−1.5% (−7.92% to 5.66%)2910.09 (2340.62 to 3753.67)6501.40 (5110.28 to 8363.05)123.41% (108.53% to 138.04%)−1.46% (−7.48% to 5.12%)
High BMI16654 375.58 (30 163.43 to 84 361.01)119 383.76 (79 596.11 to 163 875.52)119.55% (88.91% to 166.91%)8.27% (−6.61% to 31.18%)2198.13 (1205.50 to 3432.16)5019.36 (3223.36 to 7110.74)128.35% (101.34% to 170.06%)4.93% (−7.26% to 24.58%)
Ambient particulate matter pollution13766 492.55 (44 569.97 to 94 108.79)104 895.28 (84 911.25 to 123 445.01)57.75% (20.29% to 113.82%)−4.23% (−24.76% to 26.13%)2047.17 (1454.74 to 2739.85)4140.97 (3454.41 to 4800.29)102.28% (60.27% to 160.61%)−0.92% (−19.85% to 26.25%)
High LDL-C12866 683.88 (56 074.15 to 79 392.34)92 904.81 (75 590.22 to 111 436.78)39.32% (28.6% to 48.91%)−33.26% (−37.98% to −28.66%)3002.61 (2350.83 to 3761.88)4396.98 (3301.26 to 5651.79)46.44% (35.21% to 55.63%)−36.74% (−40.61% to −33.09%)
Household air pollution from solid fuels49200 169.50 (154 731.29 to 248 560.54)83 565.87 (60 754.11 to 108 481.62)−58.25% (−66.65% to −48.52%)−69.1% (−74.78% to −62.42%)4358.21 (3331.29 to 5398.69)2313.99 (1631.34 to 3118.14)−46.91% (−58.07% to −34.49%)−69.88% (−75.85% to −63.27%)
Child wasting110292 012.74 (241 855.36 to 351 715.87)79 187.22 (61 262.34 to 100 812.43)−72.88% (−78.47% to −66.32%)−73.89% (−79.28% to −67.54%)3430.42 (2851.24 to 4125.93)993.05 (786.46 to 1245.24)−71.05% (−76.85% to −64.32%)−73.05% (−78.35% to −66.7%)
Alcohol use151155 971.37 (49 934.31 to 62 781.18)75 813.95 (66 966.44 to 85 498.40)35.45% (23.85% to 47.91%)−25.69% (−32.08% to −18.91%)1639.87 (1442.38 to 1845.20)2441.97 (2136.99 to 2784.90)48.91% (35.99% to 63.1%)−23.77% (−30.55% to −16.4%)
Kidney dysfunction191237 087.06 (32 724.00 to 41 606.93)65 204.46 (57 219.63 to 73 512.12)75.81% (64.57% to 87.42%)−11.26% (−17.07% to −5.57%)1571.72 (1344.42 to 1805.60)3161.55 (2723.36 to 3623.81)101.15% (88.45% to 112.88%)−10.02% (−15.49% to −4.64%)
Unsafe water source513153 905.20 (115 315.56 to 190 197.92)57 641.09 (41 786.87 to 75 887.40)−62.55% (−71.19% to −49.83%)−68.27% (−75.24% to −57.55%)2442.07 (1764.95 to 3147.03)1230.15 (817.82 to 1788.90)−49.63% (−61.95% to −29.85%)−65.76% (−73.6% to −53.37%)
Unsafe sex251418 492.16 (14 813.00 to 23 832.65)41 999.23 (37 398.24 to 49 078.72)127.12% (100.78% to 162.48%)35.87% (21.91% to 54.45%)429.99 (356.20 to 533.21)984.37 (904.99 to 1106.17)128.93% (102.2% to 164.15%)27.64% (13.89% to 44.6%)
Diet high in sodium201531 285.63 (10 435.19 to 63 583.27)40 722.69 (11 550.13 to 86 326.74)30.16% (−3.03% to 47.85%)−36.45% (−52.02% to −28.15%)1320.34 (412.33 to 2796.87),885.36 (476.84 to 4194.71)42.79% (4.76% to 61.05%)−34.18% (−50.81% to −26.58%)
Diet low in whole grains221626 467.42 (12 815.63 to 33 041.82)38 954.84 (19 130.31 to 49 094.51)47.18% (37.22% to 57.73%)−28.99% (−33.76% to −24.05%)1178.22 (579.63 to 1474.66)1844.84 (921.29 to 2338.61)56.58% (47.07% to 65.85%)−31.16% (−35.14% to −27.26%)
Unsafe sanitation917115 547.43 (92 118.35 to 138 980.27)37 183.90 (29 008.07 to 48 393.08)−67.82% (−75.33% to −56.89%)−72.65% (−78.73% to −63.04%)1836.46 (1390.57 to 2325.10)756.58 (542.45 to 1095.44)−58.8% (−68.54% to −43.12%)−71.89% (−78.23% to −62.13%)
No access to handwashing facility101880 929.22 (58 183.31 to 102 881.65)32 224.40 (22 228.24 to 42 981.39)−60.18% (−67.34% to −51.09%)−65.26% (−71.61% to −57.2%)1200.09 (854.11 to 1553.29)627.92 (427.17 to 846.29)−47.68% (−56.38% to −36.7%)−62.55% (−68.93% to −54.77%)
Secondhand smoke181944 029.71 (31 252.42 to 57 353.06)31 489.25 (24 218.79 to 38 792.35)−28.48% (−39.18% to −15.29%)−54.89% (−60.57% to −48.97%)1161.96 (878.27 to 1431.85)1304.32 (1006.96 to 1605.39)12.25% (1.01% to 25.04%)−42.45% (−47.47% to −36.76%)
Low temperature212026 827.37 (20 973.96 to 33 715.52)25 954.68 (21 667.68 to 30 902.49)−3.25% (−18.13% to 13.86%)−51.56% (−57.31% to −45.99%)1276.64 (1092.81 to 1461.24)1652.98 (1413.03 to 1913.43)29.48% (18.11% to 41.67%)−43.63% (−47.8% to −38.92%)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

BMI indicates body mass index; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; GBD, Global Burden of Disease; LBW, low birth weight; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; SBP, systolic blood pressure; UI, uncertainty interval; and YLL, year of life lost because of premature mortality.

Source: Data derived from GBD Study 2019. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.106

This table has a plethora of information, but notably ischemic heart disease was the cause with the highest years of life lost globally in 2019 with over 176.6 million years of life lost and 9.1 million deaths in 2019. In 2009, lower respiratory infections were the cause with highest years of life lost globally, which moved to the 2nd rank in 2019.

Table 2-8. Leading 20 Global Causes of YLL and Death: Rank, Number, and Percentage Change, 1990 and 2019

Diseases and injuriesYLL rank (for total number)Total No. of YLLs, in thousands (95% UI)Percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)Corresponding total No. of deaths, in thousands (95% UI)Corresponding percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)
1990201919902019Total No. of YLLsAge-standardized YLL rate19902019Total No. of deathsAge-standardized death rate
IHD31118 399.43 (113 795.23 to 122 787.19)176 634.92 (165 028.83 to 188 453.38)49.19% (38.17% to 59.29%)−29.14% (−34.13% to −24.56%)5695.89 (5405.19 to 5895.40)9137.79 (8395.68 to 9743.55)60.43% (50.23% to 69.14%)−30.8% (−34.83% to −27.17%)
Lower respiratory infections12223 807.88 (198 291.93 to 258 361.55)96 536.65 (84 197.05 to 112 404.97)−56.87% (−64.43% to −47.7%)−62.66% (−69.13% to −55.03%)3320.01 (3018.49 to 3715.06)2493.20 (2268.18 to 2736.18)−24.9% (−34.42% to −15.39%)−48.54% (−53.95% to −42.93%)
Diarrheal diseases23182  456.67 (146 519.78 to 217 965.17)69 887.49 (54 617.33 to 92 161.23)−61.7% (−70.34% to −49.12%)−67.6% (−74.63% to −56.89%)2896.27 (2222.66 to 3644.59)1534.44 (1088.68 to 2219.10)−47.02% (−59.64% to −27.06%)−64.05% (−72.05% to −51.35%)
ICH9452 648.78 (48 739.14 to 57 507.05)65 306.22 (60 073.84 to 70 392.27)24.04% (10.38% to 35.4%)−37.37% (−44.17% to −31.5%)2099.76 (1932.53 to 2328.41)2886.20 (2644.48 to 3099.35)37.45% (21.73% to 50.92%)−35.61% (−42.76% to −29.23%)
Neonatal PTB45112 709.17 (103 574.46 to 122 915.10)58 942.91 (49 829.35 to 70 084.83)−47.7% (−56.13% to −37.42%)−47.02% (−55.56% to −36.61%)1269.04 (1166.14 to 1383.98)663.52 (560.96 to 788.95)−47.71% (−56.14% to −37.44%)−47.04% (−55.57% to −36.63%)
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease11648 769.20 (40 770.89 to 52 860.94)54 594.90 (48 711.47 to 59 513.37)11.95% (−0.47% to 35.12%)−46.81% (−52.61% to −36.11%)2520.22 (2118.06 to 2719.39)3280.64 (2902.85 to 3572.37)30.17% (15.74% to 55.05%)−41.74% (−48.03% to −31.07%)
Neonatal encephalopathy caused by birth asphyxia and trauma6771 832.72 (64 553.03 to 80 228.20)50 368.25 (42 242.80 to 59 745.92)−29.88% (−41.7% to −15.68%)−28.91% (−40.9% to −14.52%)808.68 (726.80 to 903.20)566.98 (475.54 to 672.55)−29.89% (−41.71% to −15.69%)−28.92% (−40.91% to −14.54%)
Ischemic stroke13834 004.54 (31 954.95 to 37 258.43)50 349.74 (46 232.45 to 54 066.67)48.07% (32.31% to 61.3%)−33.35% (−40% to −27.56%)2049.67 (1900.02 to 2234.21)3293.40 (2973.54 to 3536.08)60.68% (45.83% to 74.65%)−33.64% (−39.16% to −28.15%)
Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer19926 859.81 (25 598.42 to 28 199.92)45 313.75 (41 866.20 to 48 831.01)68.7% (52.68% to 85.03%)−16.34% (−24.19% to −8.38%)1065.14 (1019.22 to 1117.18)2042.64 (1879.24 to 2193.27)91.77% (74.52% to 108.97%)−7.77% (−15.93% to 0.23%)
Malaria81063 480.60 (34 802.94 to 103 091.05)43 824.70 (21 055.36 to 77 962.79)−30.96% (−58.84% to 6.4%)−39.03% (−63.65% to −6.42%)840.55 (463.32 to 1356.07)643.38 (301.60 to 1153.66)−23.46% (−54.89% to 18.46%)−37.93% (−63.46% to −4.52%)
Drug-susceptible tuberculosis51174 658.58 (68 441.13 to 81 346.25)38 431.33 (33 206.79 to 43 219.46)−48.52% (−55.92% to −40.77%)−67.54% (−72.12% to −62.69%)1760.71 (610.86 to 1908.32)1061.29 (924.21 to 1186.12)−39.72% (−48.03% to −30.36%)−66.82% (−71.34% to −61.52%)
Other neonatal disorders121247 950.24 (40 831.64 to 57 251.83)33 099.91 (27 646.20 to 40 129.55)−30.97% (−48% to −11.34%)−30.12% (−47.35% to −10.26%)539.95 (459.81 to 644.56)372.68 (311.26 to 451.84)−30.98% (−48% to −11.37%)−30.13% (−47.36% to −10.29%)
HIV/AIDS resulting in other diseases321312 728.09 (9716.63 to 17 727.71)32 470.01 (26 796.66 to 40 802.58)155.11% (119.22% to 204.68%)77.01% (51.97% to 111.74%)216.91 (162.89 to 308.68)646.76 (551.85 to 780.47)198.17% (147.74% to 269.45%)94.13% (61.07% to 141.2%)
Type 2 diabetes281413 851.47 (13 104.90 to 14 647.61)31 149.12 (29 302.02 to 33 148.25)124.88% (110.14% to 141.3%)9.11% (2.06% to 16.65%)606.41 (573.07 to 637.51)1472.93 (1371.94 to 1565.86)142.9% (128.32% to 158.37%)10.77% (4.42% to 17.44%)
Self-harm by other specified means151532 879.52 (29 065.89 to 35 287.35)30 986.82 (27 870.17 to 34 246.63)−5.76% (−14.84% to 4.31%)−38.8% (−44.56% to −32.43%)687.85 (607.61 to 736.36)706.33 (633.90 to 777.33)2.69% (−6.38% to 13.66%)−38.83% (−43.96% to −32.27%)
Colon and rectum cancer341612 013.14 (11 481.93 to 12 503.78)23 218.75 (21 662.64 to 24 591.16)93.28% (79.51% to 106.26%)−5.29% (−11.8% to 0.81%)518.13 (493.68 to 537.88)1085.80 (1002.80 to 1149.68)109.56% (96.2% to 121.74%)−4.37% (−10.03% to 0.93%)
Motor vehicle road injuries211722 260.33 (19 219.44 to 25 401.32)21 982.25 (19 334.80 to 24 633.49)−1.25% (−14.6% to 15.23%)−30.61% (−39.82% to −19.51%)399.99 (349.88 to 452.26)448.73 (396.67 to 500.41)12.19% (−2.49% to 28.58%)−27.7% (−37.11% to −17.51%)
Stomach cancer241820 241.69 (19 030.22 to 21 513.16)21 872.43 (19 972.71 to 23 712.52)8.06% (−2.52% to 19.94%)−45.85% (−51.1% to −39.99%)788.32 (742.79 to 834.00)957.19 (870.95 to 1034.65)21.42% (10.17% to 33.59%)−41.98% (−47.18% to −36.33%)
Neonatal sepsis and other neonatal infections201923 105.79 (18 521.37 to 26 599.32)20 118.04 (16 896.71 to 24 474.48)−12.93% (−29.92% to 11.86%)−11.91% (−29.12% to 13.14%)260.15 (208.54 to 299.46)226.52 (190.25 to 275.55)−12.93% (−29.93% to 11.86%)−11.91% (−29.12% to 13.15%)
Hypertensive HD312013 303.40 (10 669.61 to 14 984.15)19 991.58 (14 951.10 to 22 179.67)50.27% (31.09% to 74.64%)−28.13% (−38.1% to −17.04%)654.91 (530.57 to 732.73)1156.73 (859.83 to 1278.56)76.63% (49.7% to 103.4%)−21.49% (−35.18% to −10.13%)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

GBD indicates Global Burden of Disease; HD, heart disease; ICH, intracerebral hemorrhage; IHD, ischemic heart disease; PTB, preterm birth; UI, uncertainty interval; and YLL, year of life lost to premature mortality.

Source: Data derived from GBD Study 2019. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.107

This table has a plethora of information, but notably high fasting plasma glucose contributed to the highest years of life lived with disability or injury of all risk factors globally in 2019 with over 45 million years of life lived with disability or injury. In 1990, iron deficiency was the risk factor with the highest years of life lived with disability or injury, which moved to the fourth rank in 2019.

Table 2-9. Leading 20 Global Risk Factors for YLDs: Rank, Number, and Percentage Change, 1990 and 2019

Risk factors for disabilityYLD rank (for total number)Total No. of YLDs, in thousands (95% UI)Percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)
1990201919902019Total No. of YLDsAge-standardized YLD rate
High FPG3115 581.99 (11 024.37 to 20 775.85)45 413.83 (31 849.57 to 60 894.87)191.45% (186.87% to 196.13%)44.07% (41.68% to 46.29%)
High BMI4212 907.42 (6901.43 to 20 969.73)40 881.60(24 508.83 to 60 876.50)216.73% (178.46% to 276.78%)60.16% (41.28% to 90.24%)
Smoking2320 484.09 (15 154.19 to 26 177.63)31 556.71 (23 686.35 to 40 009.32)54.05% (49.57% to 59.1%)−22.88% (−24.83% to −20.74%)
Iron deficiency1425 379.25 (16 986.41 to 36 524.20)28 798.47 (19 425.22 to 41 491.77)13.47% (10.15% to 16.89%)−16.67% (−19.02% to −14.23%)
High SBP7510 128.23 (7295.78 to 13 093.83)21 164.35 (15 195.78 to 27 235.49)108.96% (102.17% to 116.39%)0.98% (−2.31% to 4.4%)
Alcohol use5611 836.52 (8147.05 to 16 305.10)17 182.28 (12 000.25 to 23 497.81)45.16% (39.58% to 51.25%)−13.47% (−15.96% to −10.79%)
Occupational ergonomic factors6711 784.36 (8098.99 to 15 893.42)15 310.68 (10 544.90 to 20 762.41)29.92% (24.65% to 34.57%)−24.61% (−26.93% to −22.45%)
Ambient particulate matter pollution1783985.80 (2637.74 to 5634.02)13 320.10 (9643.12 to 17 166.65)234.19% (172.63% to 322.4%)64.91% (34.85% to 107.76%)
Drug use997479.41 (5163.69 to 10 042.08)12 664.94 (8804.75 to 16 725.98)69.33% (60.93% to 78.15%)14.49% (9.59% to 19.37%)
Kidney dysfunction14105003.27 (3651.06 to 6508.03)11 282.48 (8232.55 to 14 676.40)125.5% (118.26% to 132.74%)20.24% (16.89% to 23.23%)
Short gestation12115054.73 (3854.95 to 6433.30)9673.88 (7598.43 to 12 021.19)91.38% (75.26% to 106.94%)43.44% (31.94% to 54.79%)
LBW13125054.73 (3854.95 to 6433.30)9673.88 (7598.43 to 12 021.19)91.38% (75.26% to 106.94%)43.44% (31.94% to 54.79%)
Low bone mineral density16134082.06 (2923.34 to 5511.96)8620.52 (6115.78 to 11 640.10)111.18% (108.01% to 114.56%)−1.7% (−2.77% to −0.66%)
Household air pollution from solid fuels8148277.99 (5837.95 to 11 127.29)7908.60 (5254.80 to 11 299.35)−4.46% (−20.63% to 15.04%)−52.14% (−60.18% to −42.55%)
Unsafe water source11156054.63 (3781.50 to 8815.37)7455.38 (4530.39 to 10 914.15)23.14% (16.02% to 29.05%)−11.82% (−16.58% to −8.1%)
Occupational noise18163933.44 (2688.10 to 5599.97)7001.45 (4760.56 to 10 059.34)78% (71.39% to 83.61%)−1.71% (−4.07% to 0.35%)
Occupational injuries10176779.60 (4833.81 to 9123.27)6842.83 (4831.64 to 9300.85)0.93% (−10.59% to 13.14%)−39.26% (−46.08% to −31.85%)
High LDL-C22183035.02 (1990.11 to 4342.73)5713.21 (3677.82 to 8268.24)88.24% (82.75% to 94.36%)−7.77% (−9.68% to −6.05%)
Secondhand smoke24192652.31 (1685.26 to 3741.03)5512.81 (3246.56 to 8105.45)107.85% (84.4% to 123.61%)6.66% (−4.51% to 14.89%)
Unsafe sex32201609.09 (1135.71 to 2172.24)4646.23 (3296.41 to 6215.68)188.75% (161.84% to 225.83%)80.75% (63.79% to 103.78%)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

BMI indicates body mass index; FPG, fasting plasma glucose; GBD, Global Burden of Disease; LBW, low birth weight; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; SBP, systolic blood pressure; UI, uncertainty interval; and YLD, year of life lived with disability or injury.

Source: Data derived from GBD Study 2019. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.106

This table has a plethora of information, but notably low back pain contributed to the highest years of life lived with disability or injury of all causes globally in 1990 and 2019 with over 63 million years of life lived with disability or injury in 2019.

Table 2-10. Leading 20 Global Causes for YLDs: Rank, Number, and Percentage Change, 1990 and 2019

Diseases and injuriesYLD rank (for total number)Total No. of YLD, in thousands (95% UI)Percent change, 1990–2019 (95% UI)
1990201919902019Total No. of YLDsAge-standardized YLD rate
Low back pain1143 361.65 (30 529.53 to 57 934.97)63 685.12 (44 999.20 to 85 192.92)46.87% (43.31% to 50.52%)−16.34% (−17.12% to −15.55%)
Migraine2226 863.35 (3969.24 to 61 445.23)42 077.67 (6418.38 to 95 645.21)56.64% (52.61% to 62.08%)1.54% (−4.43% to 3.27%)
Age-related and other hearing loss5322 008.10 (14 914.22 to 31 340.37)40 235.30 (27 393.19 to 57 131.94)82.82% (75.22% to 88.94%)−1.82% (−3.65% to −0.14%)
Other musculoskeletal disorders7416 608.89 (11 264.34 to 23 176.10)38 459.70 (26 253.49 to 53 553.79)131.56% (124.6% to 139.54%)32.24% (28.82% to 36.45%)
Major depressive disorder4523 461.28 (16 026.05 to 32 502.66)37 202.74 (25 650.21 to 51 217.04)58.57% (53.61% to 62.96%)−2.83% (−4.06% to −1.63%)
Type 2 diabetes10611 626.63 (7964.90 to 15 799.45)35 150.63 (23 966.55 to 47 810.13)202.33% (197.13% to 207.63%)50.23% (48.08% to 52.22%)
Anxiety disorders6718 661.02 (12 901.15 to 25 547.29)28 676.05 (19 858.08 to 39 315.12)53.67% (48.76% to 59.06%)−0.12% (−0.95% to 0.74%)
Dietary iron deficiency3825 069.79 (16 835.78 to 36 058.21)28 534.68 (19 127.59 to 41 139.28)13.82% (10.49% to 17.17%)−16.39% (−18.72% to −14%)
Neck pain9912 393.48 (8128.87 to 17 740.32)22 081.32 (14 508.24 to 31 726.93)78.17% (69.45% to 87.06%)−0.34% (−2.47% to 1.85%)
Falls81012 639.31 (8965.44 to 17 334.90)21 383.29 (15 161.79 to 29 501.22)69.18% (65.42% to 73.71%)−7% (−8.56% to −5.35%)
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease131110 472.74 (8682.19 to 11 830.68)19 837.47 (16 596.49 to 22 441.73)89.42% (85.38% to 93.59%)−4.85% (−6.64% to −2.98%)
Endocrine, metabolic, blood, and immune disorders111211 022.44 (7513.64 to 15 340.32)18 000.31 (12 249.60 to 24 962.91)63.31% (59.14% to 67.48%)−4.64% (−6.09% to −3.38%)
Other gynecological diseases121310 812.95 (7041.93 to 15 340.80)16 382.52 (10 628.96 to 23 352.28)51.51% (48.55% to 54.4%)−9.37% (−11.11% to −7.59%)
Schizophrenia14149131.34 (6692.14 to 11 637.63)15 107.25 (11 003.87 to 19 206.79)65.44% (62.36% to 68.86%)−0.56% (−1.57% to 0.38%)
Ischemic stroke18156499.45 (4626.50 to 8367.19)13 128.53 (9349.92 to 16 930.38)101.99% (97.41% to 106.95%)0.07% (−1.76% to 1.95%)
Osteoarthritis knee25165184.78 (2569.34 to 10 565.52)11 534.02 (5719.12 to 23 489.98)122.46% (120.76% to 124.08%)7.8% (7.1% to 8.44%)
Diarrheal diseases16178035.21 (5544.86 to 11 122.17)11 030.29 (7631.54 to 15 146.75)37.27% (33.79% to 41.16%)−2.63% (−4.19% to −1.02%)
Alcohol use disorders17187875.53 (5287.35 to 11 122.36)10 732.01 (7253.40 to 15 212.46)36.27% (31.35% to 41.08%)−15.49% (−16.83% to −14.07%)
Asthma15198832.45 (5776.18 to 13 071.58)10 196.26 (6654.65 to 15 061.36)15.44% (12.66% to 18.69%)−23.4% (−26.63% to −20.2%)
Neonatal PTB26205054.73 (3854.95 to 6433.30)9673.88 (7598.43 to 12 021.19)91.38% (75.26% to 106.94%)43.44% (31.94% to 54.79%)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

GBD indicates Global Burden of Disease; PTB, preterm birth; UI, uncertainty interval; and YLD, year of life lived with disability or injury.

Source: Data derived from GBD Study 2019. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.107

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3. SMOKING/TOBACCO USE

See Table 3-1 and Charts 3-1 through 3-5

Tobacco use is one of the leading preventable causes of death in the United States and globally. Cigarette smoking, the most common form of tobacco use, is a major risk factor for CVD, including stroke.1 The AHA has identified combustible tobacco use or inhaled nicotine delivery system use (e-cigarettes or vaping) and secondhand smoke exposure to have adverse effects on CVH in Life’s Essential 8.2 Unless otherwise stated, throughout the rest of this chapter, we report tobacco use and smoking estimates from the NYTS3 for adolescents and from the NHIS4 for adults (≥18 years of age) because these data sources have more recent data. As a survey of middle and high school students, the NYTS may not be generalizable to youth who are not enrolled in school; however, in 2016, 97% of youth 10 to 17 years of age were enrolled in school, which indicates that the results of the NYTS are likely broadly applicable to US youth.3

Other forms of tobacco use are becoming increasingly common. E-cigarette use, which involves inhalation of a vaporized liquid that includes nicotine, solvents, and flavoring (vaping), has risen dramatically, particularly among young adults and high school–aged children. The variety of e-cigarette–related and nicotine products has increased exponentially, giving rise to the more general term electronic nicotine delivery systems.5 A notable evolution in electronic nicotine delivery systems technology and marketing has occurred recently with the advent of pod mods, small rechargeable devices that deliver high levels of nicotine from nicotine salts in loose-leaf tobacco.6 Use of cigars, cigarillos, filtered cigars, and hookah (ie, water pipe) also has become increasingly common in recent years. Thus, each section here addresses the most recent statistical estimates for combustible cigarettes, electronic nicotine delivery systems, and other forms of tobacco use if such estimates are available.

Prevalence

Youth

(See Chart 3-1)

  • Prevalence of cigarette use in the past 30 days for middle and high school students by sex and race and ethnicity in 2021 is shown in Chart 3-1.

  • In 20217:

    34.0% (95% CI, 31.6%–36.5%) of high school students (corresponding to 5.2 million users) and 11.3% (95% CI, 9.8%–13.0%) of middle school students (corresponding to 1.3 million users) reported ever use of any tobacco product; 13.4% (95% CI, 11.8%–15.2%) of high school students (corresponding to 2.1 million users) and 4.0% (95% CI, 3.3%–4.8%) of middle school students (corresponding to 470 000 users) reported current (past 30-day) tobacco product use. Of all high school students, 1.9% (95% CI, 1.5%–2.4%; corresponding to 280 000 users), and of all middle school students, 1.0% (95% CI, 0.8%–1.4%; corresponding to 120 000 users), smoked cigarettes in the past 30 days.

    2.1% (95% CI, 1.7%–2.6%) of high school students (310 000 users) and 0.6% (95% CI, 0.4%–0.8%) of middle school students (60 000 users) used cigars in the past 30 days.

    1.2% (95% CI, 0.8%–1.6%) of high school students (170 000 users) and 0.6% (95% CI, 0.4%–0.9%) of middle school students (60 000) used smokeless tobacco in the past 30 days.

    1.2% (95% CI, 0.9%–1.6%) of high school students (180 000 users) and 0.4% (95% CI, 0.2%–0.6%) of middle school students (40 000 users) used hookah in the past 30 days.

  • Of youth who smoked cigarettes in the past 30 days in 2021, 18.9% (95% CI, 13.6%–25.7%) of middle and high school students (corresponding to 70 000 users) reported smoking cigarettes on 20 to 30 days of the past 30 days.8

  • In 2021, tobacco use within the past month for middle and high school students varied by race and ethnicity: The prevalence of past 30-day cigarette use was 1.8% (95% CI, 1.4%–2.2%) in NH White youth compared with 1.0% (95% CI, 0.6%–1.6%) in NH Black youth and 1.5% (95% CI, 1.1%–2.0%) in Hispanic youth. For cigars, the respective percentages were 1.4% (95% CI, 1.1%–1.8%), 3.1% (95% CI, 2.4%–4.1%), and 0.9% (95% CI, 0.7%–1.2%). For hookah use, the prevalence among NH Black youth was 2.2% (95% CI, 1.4%–3.4%) compared with 0.5% (95% CI, 0.4%–0.7%) in NH White youth and 1.0% (95% CI, 0.6%–1.5%) in Hispanic youth.9

  • The percentage of high school (11.3% or 1 720 000 users) and middle school (2.8% or 320 000 users) students who used e-cigarettes in the past 30 days exceeded the proportion using cigarettes in the past 30 days in 2021 (Chart 3-1).

Adults

(See Charts 3-2 and 3-3)

  • According to the NHIS 2020 data, among adults ≥18 years of age10:

    12.5% (95% CI, 11.9%–13.0%) of adults reported cigarette use every day or some days.

    14.1% (95% CI, 13.3%–14.9%) of males and 11.0% (95% CI, 10.3%–11.6%) of females reported cigarette use every day or some days.

    7.4% of those 18 to 24 years of age, 14.1% of those 25 to 44 years of age, 14.9% of those 45 to 64 years of age, and 9.0% of those ≥65 years of age reported cigarette use every day or some days.

    27.1% of NH American Indian or Alaska Native adults, 14.4% of NH Black adults, 8.0% of NH Asian adults, 8.0% of Hispanic adults, and 13.3% of NH White adults reported cigarette use every day or some days.

    By annual household income, reported cigarette use every day or some days was 20.2% of people with <$35 000 income compared with 14.1% of those with an income of $35 000 to $74 999, 10.5% of those with an income of $75 000 to $99 999, and 6.2% of those with an income ≥$100 000.

    In adults ≥25 years of age, the percentage reporting current cigarette use was 21.5% for those with <12 years of education, 32.0% in those with a General Educational Development high school equivalency, 17.6% among those with a high school diploma, 14.4% among those with some college, 12.7% among those with an associate’s degree, and 5.6% among those with an undergraduate degree compared with 3.5% among those with a graduate degree.

    16.1% of lesbian/gay/bisexual individuals were current smokers compared with 12.3% of heterosexual/straight individuals.

    By region, the prevalence of current cigarette smokers was highest in the Midwest (15.2%) and South (14.1%) and lowest in the Northeast (10.4%) and West (9.0%).

  • According to data from BRFSS 2020, the state with the highest age-adjusted percentage of current cigarette smokers was West Virginia (23.6%). The state with the lowest age-adjusted percentage of current cigarette smokers was Utah (8.2%; Chart 3-2).11

  • In 2020, smoking prevalence was higher among adults ≥18 years of age who reported having a disability or activity limitation (19.8%) than among those reporting no disability or limitation (11.8%).10

  • Among individuals who reported cigarette use every day or some days, 21.4% reported having regular feelings of anxiety compared with 11.3% who reported no regular feelings of anxiety; 26.9% reported having regular feeling of depression compared with 11.8% who reported having no regular feelings of depression.10

  • Among females who gave birth in 2017, 6.9% smoked cigarettes during pregnancy. Smoking prevalence during pregnancy was greatest for females 20 to 24 years of age (9.9%), followed by females 15 to 19 years of age (8.3%) and 25 to 29 years of age (7.9%).12 Rates were highest among NH American Indian or Alaska Native females (15%) and lowest in NH Asian females (1%). With respect to differences by education, cigarette smoking prevalence was highest among females who completed high school (12.2%) and lowest among females with a master’s degree and higher (0.3%).

  • E-cigarette prevalence in 2017 is shown in Chart 3-3. Comparing e-cigarette prevalence across the 50 states shows that the average age-adjusted prevalence was 5.3%. The lowest age-adjusted prevalence was observed in California (3.2%), and the highest prevalence was observed in Oklahoma (7.5%). The age-adjusted prevalence was 1.3% in Puerto Rico.11

Incidence

  • According to the 2019 NSDUH, ≈1.60 million people ≥12 years of age had smoked cigarettes for the first time within the past 12 months compared with 1.83 million in 2018 (2019 NSDUH; Table 4.2B).13 Of new smokers in 2019, 541 000 were 12 to 17 years of age, 672 000 were 18 to 20 years of age, and 292 000 were 21 to 25 years of age; only 90 000 were ≥26 years of age when they first smoked cigarettes.

  • The number of new smokers 12 to 17 years of age in 2019 (541 000) decreased from 2018 (571 000). The number of new smokers 18 to 25 years of age in 2019 (964 000) also decreased from 2018 (1.14 million; 2019 NSDUH; Table 4.2B).13

  • Overall, for individuals 12 to 17 years of age, use of tobacco products in the past month declined from 21.1% to 18.7% between 2019 and 2020, and tobacco product use in the past year declined from 26.2% to 23.3% during the same time period (2020 NSDUH; Tables 6.19B and 6.18B‚ respectively).13

  • According to data from the PATH study between 2013 and 2016, in youth 12 to 15 years of age, use of an e-cigarette was independently associated with new ever use of combustible cigarettes (OR, 4.09 [95% CI, 2.97–5.63]) and past 30-day use (OR, 2.75 [95% CI, 1.60–4.73]) at 2 years of follow-up. For youth who tried another non–e-cigarette tobacco product, a similar strength of association for cigarette use at 2 years was observed.14

Lifetime Risk

Youth
  • Per NSDUH data for individuals 12 to 17 years of age, overall, the lifetime use of tobacco products has changed from 13.4% to 12.8% between 2018 and 2019, with lifetime cigarette use declining from 9.6% to 9.0% during the same time period (2019 NSDUH; Tables 2.1B and 2.2B).13

    The lifetime use of tobacco products among adolescents 12 to 17 years of age varied by the following:

    • ° Sex: Lifetime use was higher among males (14.5%) than females (11.0%; 2019 NSDUH; Table 2.8B).13

    • ° Race and ethnicity: Lifetime use was highest among American Indian and Alaska Native adolescents (21.6%), followed by NH White adolescents (14.8%), Hispanic or Latino adolescents (12%), NH Black adolescents (8.8%), and NH Asian adolescents (3.5%; 2019 NSDUH; Table 2.8B).13

Adults
  • According to NSDUH data, the lifetime use of tobacco products in individuals ≥18 years of age did not decline significantly between 2018 (66.3%) and 2019 (65.8%). Lifetime cigarette use during the same years was 60.3% and 59.5%, respectively (2019 NSDUH; Tables 2.1B). Similar to the patterns in youth, lifetime risk of tobacco products varied by demographic factors (2019 NSDUH; Table 2.8B)13:

    Sex: Lifetime use was higher in males (74.4%) than females (57.7%).

    Race and ethnicity: Lifetime use was highest in American Indian or Alaska Native adults (70.4%) and NH White adults (74.4%), followed by Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islander adults (48.9%), Hispanic or Latino adults (51.7%), NH Black adults (53.0%), and NH Asian adults (36.9%).

  • In 2019, the lifetime use of smokeless tobacco for adults ≥18 years of age was 16.6% (2019 NSDUH; Table 2.4B).13

Secular Trends

Youth

(See Chart 3-4)

  • According to data from NSDUH (12–17 years of age) and MTF (8th and 10th grades combined), the percentage of adolescents who reported smoking cigarettes in the past month declined from 13.0% and 14.2% in 2002 to 2.3% and 2.9% in 2019, respectively (Chart 3-4).13,15 The percentages for daily cigarette use among those with past-month cigarette smoking in individuals 12 to 17 years of age were 31.5% in 2002 and 13.2% in 2019.13,16

Adults
  • Since the US Surgeon General’s first report on the health dangers of smoking, age-adjusted rates of smoking among adults have declined, from 51% of males smoking in 1965 to 15.6% in 2018 and from 34% of females in 1965 to 12.0% in 2018, according to NHIS data.4 The decline in smoking, along with other factors (including improved treatment and reductions in the prevalence of risk factors such as uncontrolled hypertension and high cholesterol), is a contributing factor to secular declines in the CHD death rate.17

  • On the basis of weighted NHIS 2019 data, the current smoking status among males 18 to 24 years of age declined from 28.0% in 2005 to 15.3% in 2019; for females 18 to 24 years of age, smoking declined from 20.7% to 12.7% over the same time period.18

  • According to data from the BRFSS, the overall prevalence of e-cigarette use nonsignificantly increased from 4.3% to 4.8% (P=0.18) between 2016 and 2018 in US adults. Increases in e-cigarette use over this period were significant for middle-aged adults 45 to 54 years of age (from 3.9% in 2016 to 5.2% in 2018; P=0.004), females (from 3.3% in 2016 to 4.3% in 2018; P<0.001), and former smokers (from 5.2% in 2016 to 7.9% in 2018; P=0.02).19

CVH Impact

  • A 2010 report of the US Surgeon General on how tobacco causes disease summarized an extensive body of literature on smoking and CVD and the mechanisms through which smoking is thought to cause CVD.20 There is a sharp increase in CVD risk with low levels of exposure to cigarette smoke, including secondhand smoke, and a less rapid further increase in risk as the number of cigarettes per day increases. Similar health risks for CHD events were reported in a systematic review of regular cigar smoking.21

  • Smoking is an independent risk factor for CHD and appears to have a multiplicative effect with the other major risk factors for CHD: high serum levels of lipids, untreated hypertension, and diabetes.20

  • Among the US Black population, cigarette use is associated with elevated measures of subclinical PAD in a dose-dependent manner whereby those who self-reported smoking ≥20 cigarettes per day and higher pack-years had higher odds of subclinical PAD compared with those who self-reported smoking 1 to 19 cigarettes per day. Current smokers had an increased adjusted odds of ABI <1 (OR, 2.2 [95% CI, 1.5–3.3]) compared with never-smokers.22

  • A meta-analysis of 75 cohort studies (≈2.4 million individuals) demonstrated a 25% greater risk for CHD in female smokers than in male smokers (RR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.12–1.39]).23

  • Cigarette smoking is a risk factor for both ischemic stroke and SAH in adjusted analyses and has a synergistic effect on other stroke risk factors such as oral contraceptive use.24

  • A meta-analysis comparing pooled data of ≈3.8 million smokers and nonsmokers found a similar risk of stroke associated with current smoking in females and males.25

  • Current smokers have a 2 to 4 times increased risk of stroke compared with nonsmokers or those who have quit for >10 years.24,26 Among JHS participants without a history of stroke (N=4410), risk of stroke was higher among current smokers compared with individuals who never smoked (HR, 2.48 [95% CI, 1.60–3.83]).27

  • A meta-analysis of 26 studies reported that compared with never smoking, current smoking (RR, 1.75 [95% CI, 1.54–1.99]) and former smoking (RR, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.08–1.24]) were associated with an increased risk of HF.28 In MESA, compared with never smoking, current smoking was associated with an adjusted doubling in incident HF (HR, 2.05 [95% CI, 1.36–3.09]). The increased risk was similar for HFpEF (HR, 2.51) and HFrEF (HR, 2.58).29

  • Short-term exposure to hookah smoking is associated with a significant increase in BP and heart rate and changes in cardiac function and blood flow, similar to those associated with cigarette smoking.30 The short-term vascular impairment associated with hookah smoking is masked by the high levels of carbon monoxide–—a vasodilator molecule—released from the charcoal briquettes used to heat the flavored tobacco product.31 In a recent meta-analysis of 42 studies, compared with nonsmokers, hookah smokers had significantly lower HDL-C and higher LDL-C, triglycerides, and fasting glucose.32 The long-term effects of hookah smoking remain unclear.

  • Current use of smokeless tobacco was associated with an adjusted 1.27-fold increased risk of CVD events compared with never using. The CVD rate was 11.3 per 1000 person-years in never users and 21.4 in current users of smokeless tobacco.33

  • The long-term CVD risks associated with e-cigarette use are not known because of a lack of longitudinal data.34,35 However, e-cigarette use has been linked to elevated levels of preclinical biomarkers associated with cardiovascular injury such as markers for sympathetic activation, oxidative stress, inflammation, thrombosis, and vascular dysfunction.36 In addition, daily and some-day use of e-cigarettes may be associated with MI and CHD.37,38

  • Dual use of e-cigarettes and combustible cigarettes was associated with significantly higher odds of CVD (OR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.18–1.56]) compared with exclusive combustible cigarette use.38 The association of dual use (relative to exclusive cigarette use) with CVD was 1.57 (95% CI, 1.18–2.07) for daily e-cigarette users and 1.31 (95% CI, 1.13–1.53) for occasional e-cigarette users.

  • In a pooled analysis of data collected from 10 randomized trials (N=2564), smokers had a higher risk of death or HF hospitalization (HR, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.09–2.02]), as well as reinfarction (HR, 1.97 [95% CI, 1.17–3.33]) after primary PCI in STEMI.39

  • In a 2-sample mendelian randomization study that examined the causal effect of 12 lifestyle risk factors on the risk of stroke, genetically predicted lifetime smoking was associated with ischemic (OR, 1.23 [95% CI, 1.10-1.39]) and large artery (OR, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.26-2.36]) stroke.40 In another mendelian randomization study, genetic liability to smoking was associated with increased risk of PAD (OR, 2.13 [95% CI, 1.78–2.56]; P=3.6×10−16), CAD (OR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.25–1.75]; P=4.4×10−6), and stroke (OR, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.02–1.92]; P=0.04).41

Family History and Genetics

  • Genetic variation contributes to smoking initiation, smoking regularity, nicotine dependence, and smoking cessation, among other smoking traits. Twin studies have estimated heritability as large as 70% for the transition from regular smoking to nicotine dependence42 and ≈50% for other smoking measures.43,44 A much smaller fraction (8.6%) of variation in nicotine dependence is explained by genetic variation in commonly occurring SNPs,45 although genetic variation explains higher proportions of phenotypic variance for smoking initiation (18%) and smoking cessation (12%).46

  • GWASs have identified loci associated with smoking initiation, heaviness of smoking, smoking regularity, and smoking cessation. In analyses of up to 1.2 million participants, common and rare variants in 298 independent loci were identified.47 Highlights of this study include identification of novel associations between ≥1 smoking phenotypes with central nervous system–expressed nicotinic receptor genes. Loci underlying reward-related learning and memory systems, particularly the neurotransmitter glutamate, also were identified for smoking initiation phenotypes.

  • Genetic loci underlying nicotine dependence also have been identified; a GWAS of >58 000 smokers of European and African ancestry identified 5 genome-wide significant loci, including 2 loci unique to nicotine dependence at NAGI2/GNAI1 and TENM2.45

  • GRSs for age at smoking initiation, number of cigarettes per day, smoking cessation, and smoking initiation explain ≈1% to 4% of phenotypic variation.47

  • The genetic architecture of smoking shares similarities with alcohol dependence48 and CAD.49

Smoking Prevention

Tobacco 21 legislation was signed into law on December 20, 2019, increasing the federal minimum age for sale of tobacco products from 18 to 21 years.50

  • Such legislation is likely to reduce the rates of smoking during adolescence—a time during which the majority of smokers start smoking—by limiting access because most people who buy cigarettes for adolescents are <21 years of age.

    For instance, investigators used repeated cross-sectional, statewide surveys of adolescents in Minnesota in 2016 and 2019 across a range of tobacco products (including any tobacco, cigarettes, cigars, e-cigarettes, hookah, chewing tobacco, flavored tobacco, and multiple products).51 Eighth and ninth grade students exposed to Tobacco 21 laws had significantly lower odds of tobacco use than unexposed students in using the following: any tobacco (aOR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.74–0.87]), cigarettes (aOR, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.67–0.99]), e-cigarettes (aOR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.71–0.85]), flavored tobacco (aOR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.70–0.89]), and dual/polytobacco (aOR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.65–0.92]).

    In Massachusetts, investigators examined the associations between county-level Tobacco 21 laws and adolescent cigarette and e-cigarette use. Increasing Tobacco 21 laws were significantly (P=0.01) associated with decreases in cigarette use only among adolescents 18 years of age.52

    Another study using BRFSS 2011 to 2016 data before the federal legislation found that metropolitan and micropolitan statistical areas with local Tobacco 21 policies yielded significant reductions in smoking among youth 18 to 20 years of age.53

  • In addition, in several towns in which Tobacco 21 laws were enacted before federal legislation, reductions of up to 47% in smoking prevalence among high school students have been reported.54 Furthermore, the National Academy of Medicine estimates that the nationwide Tobacco 21 law could result in 249 000 fewer premature deaths, 45 000 fewer lung cancer deaths, and 4.2 million fewer life-years lost among Americans born between 2010 and 2019.54

  • Before the federal minimum age of sale increase, 19 states (Hawaii, California, New Jersey, Oregon, Maine, Massachusetts, Illinois, Virginia, Delaware, Arkansas, Texas, Vermont, Connecticut, Maryland, Ohio, New York, Washington, Pennsylvania, and Utah), Washington, DC, and at least 470 localities (including New York City, NY; Chicago, IL; San Antonio, TX; Boston, MA; Cleveland, OH; and both Kansas City‚ KS‚ and Kansas City‚ MO) passed legislation setting the minimum age for the purchase of tobacco to 21 years.55

Awareness, Treatment, and Control

Smoking Cessation
  • According to NHIS 2017 data, 61.7% of adult ever-smokers had stopped smoking; the quit rate has increased 6 percentage points since 2012 (55.1%).56

    Between 2011 and 2017, according to BRFSS surveys, quit attempts varied by state, with quit attempts increasing in 4 states (Kansas, Louisiana, Virginia, and West Virginia), declining in 2 states (New York and Tennessee), and not changing significantly in 44 states. In 2017, the quit attempts over the past year were highest in Guam (72.3%) and lowest in Wisconsin (58.6%), with a median of 65.4%.57

    According to NHIS 2015 data, among all smokers, the majority (68.0%) of adult smokers wanted to quit smoking; 55.4% had tried in the past year, 7.4% had stopped recently, and 57.2% had received health care professional advice to quit.58 Receiving advice to quit smoking was lower among uninsured smokers (44.1%) than among those with health insurance coverage through Medicaid or those who were dual eligible for coverage (both Medicaid and Medicare; 59.9%).

  • Data from clinical settings suggest wide variation in counseling practices related to smoking cessation. In a study based on national registry data, only 1 in 3 smokers who visited a cardiology practice received smoking cessation assistance.59

  • According to cross-sectional MEPS data from 2006 to 2015, receiving advice to quit increased over time from 60.2% in 2006 to 2007 to 64.9% in 2014 to 2015. In addition, in 2014 to 2015, use of prescription smoking cessation medicine was significantly lower among NH Black (OR, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.38–0.69]), NH Asian (OR, 0.31 [95% CI, 0.10–0.93]), and Hispanic (OR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.36–0.78]) individuals compared with White individuals. Use of prescription smoking cessation medicine was also significantly lower among those without health insurance (OR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.41–0.83]) and higher among females (OR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.10–1.52]).60 In 2014 to 2015, receipt of doctor’s advice to quit among US adult smokers was significantly lower in NH Black (59.7% [95% CI, 56.1%–63.1%]) and Hispanic (57.9% [95% CI, 53.5%–62.2%]) individuals compared with NH White individuals (66.6% [95% CI, 64.1%–69.1%]).

    The period from 2000 to 2015 revealed significant increases in the prevalence of smokers who had tried to quit in the past year, had stopped recently, had a health professional recommend quitting, or had used cessation counseling or medication.58

    In 2015, fewer than one-third of smokers attempting to quit used evidence-based therapies: 4.7% used both counseling and medication; 6.8% used counseling; and 29.0% used medication (16.6% nicotine patch, 12.5% gum/lozenges, 2.4% nicotine spray/inhaler, 2.7% bupropion, and 7.9% varenicline).58

  • Smoking cessation reduces the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality for smokers with and without CHD.

    In several studies, a dose-response relationship has been seen among current smokers between the number of cigarettes smoked per day and CVD incidence.61,62

    Quitting smoking at any age significantly lowers mortality from smoking-related diseases, and the risk declines with the time since quitting smoking.1 Cessation appears to have both short-term (weeks to months) and long-term (years) benefits for lowering CVD risk.63

    Smokers who quit smoking at 25 to 34 years of age gained 10 years of life compared with those who continued to smoke. Those 35 to 44 years of age gained 9 years, those 45 to 54 years of age gained 6 years, and those 55 to 64 years of age gained 4 years of life, on average, compared with those who continued to smoke.61

    Among those with a cumulative smoking history of at least 20 pack-years, individuals who quit smoking had a significantly lower risk of CVD within 5 years of smoking cessation compared with current smokers (HR, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.49–0.76]). However, former smokers’ CVD risks remained significantly higher than risks for never-smokers beyond 5 years, and possibly for 25 years, after smoking cessation.64

  • Among 726 smokers included in the Wisconsin Smokers Health Study, smoking cessation was associated with less progression of carotid plaque (mean change, 0.093 mm [SD, 0.0094]) but not IMT.65

  • Cessation medications (including sustained-release bupropion, varenicline, nicotine gum, lozenge, nasal spray, and patch) are effective for helping smokers quit.66,67

  • EVITA was an RCT that examined the efficacy of varenicline versus placebo for smoking cessation among smokers who were hospitalized for ACS. At 24 weeks, rates of smoking abstinence and reduction were significantly higher among patients randomized to varenicline. The abstinence rates at 24 weeks were higher in the varenicline (47.3%) than the placebo (32.5%) group (P=0.012; number needed to treat, 6.8). Continuous abstinence rates and reduction rates (≥50% of daily cigarette consumption) were also higher in the varenicline group.68

  • The EAGLES trial69 demonstrated the efficacy and safety of 12 weeks of varenicline, bupropion, or nicotine patch in motivated-to-quit patients who smoked with major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, anxiety disorders, posttraumatic stress disorder, obsessive-compulsive disorder, social phobia, psychotic disorders including schizophrenia and schizoaffective disorders, and borderline personality disorder. Of note, these participants were all clinically stable from a psychiatric perspective and were believed not to be at high risk for self-injury.69

  • Extended use of a nicotine patch (24 compared with 8 weeks) has been demonstrated to be safe and efficacious for abstinence (OR, 1.70 [95% CI, 1.03–2.81]; P=0.04) in randomized clinical trials.70

  • An RCT demonstrated the effectiveness of individual- and group-oriented financial incentives for tobacco abstinence (abstinence rate range, 9.4%–16.0% with different incentive group versus 6.0% for usual care; P<0.05 for all comparisons) through at least 12 months of follow-up.71

  • In addition to medications, smoke-free policies, increases in tobacco prices, cessation advice from health care professionals, quit lines, and other counseling have contributed to smoking cessation.58,72

  • Mass media antismoking campaigns such as the CDC’s Tips campaign (Tips From Former Smokers) have been shown to reduce smoking-attributable morbidity and mortality and are cost-effective. Investigators estimated that the Tips campaign cost about $48 million, saved ≈179 099 QALYs, and prevented ≈17 000 premature deaths in the United States.73

  • Despite states having collected $25.6 billion in 2012 from the 1998 Tobacco Master Settlement Agreement and tobacco taxes, <2% of those funds are spent on tobacco prevention and cessation programs.74

  • A randomized trial of e-cigarettes and behavioral support versus nicotine-replacement therapy and behavioral support in adults attending the UK National Health Service stop-smoking services found that 1-year cigarette abstinence rates were 18% in the e-cigarette group compared with 9.9% in the nicotine-replacement therapy group (RR, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.30–2.58]; P<0.001). However, among participants abstinent at 1 year, in the nicotine-replacement therapy group, only 9% were still using nicotine-replacement therapy, whereas 80% of those in the e-cigarette group were still using e-cigarettes.75

  • In a meta-analysis of 55 observational studies and 9 RCTs, e-cigarettes were not associated with increased smoking cessation, but e-cigarette provision was associated with increased smoking cessation.76

  • In a double-blind, 2×2 factorial randomized clinical trial, patients were randomized to 1 of 4 medication groups: varenicline monotherapy for 12 weeks, varenicline plus nicotine patch for 12 weeks, varenicline monotherapy for 24 weeks, or varenicline plus nicotine patch for 24 weeks.77 Results demonstrated that there were no significant differences in 7-day point prevalence abstinence at 52 weeks among those treated with combined varenicline plus nicotine patch therapy versus varenicline monotherapy or among those treated for 24 weeks versus 12 weeks.

  • An RCT comparing combined treatment with varenicline and nicotine patch against placebo and nicotine patch for smoking cessation among smokers who drink heavily showed that combination treatment led to higher smoking cessation rates (44% versus 27.9%; P=0.04) and lower likelihood of relapse (HR, 0.62 [95% CI, 0.40-0.96]; P=0.03).78

Mortality

  • According to the 2020 Surgeon General’s report on smoking cessation, >480 000 Americans die as a result of cigarette smoking and >41 000 die of secondhand smoke exposure each year, ≈1 in 5 deaths annually.

  • Of risk factors evaluated by the US Burden of Disease Collaborators, tobacco use was the second leading risk factor for death in the United States and the leading cause of DALYs, accounting for 11% of DALYs, in 2016.79 Overall mortality among US smokers is 3 times higher than that for never-smokers.61

  • On average, on the basis of 2016 data, male smokers die 12 years earlier than male never-smokers, and female smokers die 11 years earlier than female never-smokers.17,80

  • Recent analyses from multiple cycles of the Tobacco Use Supplements to the Current Population Survey (1992–1993, 1995–1996, 1998–1999, 2000, 2001–2002, 2003, 2006–2007, or 2010–2011) show that current daily (HR, 2.32 [95% CI, 2.25–2.38]) and lifelong nondaily (HR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.65–2.01]) cigarette smokers had higher all-cause mortality risks compared with never-smokers.81

  • Harmonized tobacco use data from adult participants in the 1991, 1992, 1998, 2000, 2005, and 2010 NHIS show that daily smokeless tobacco use (HR, 1.41 [95% CI, 1.20–1.66]) and daily cigar smoking (HR, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.12–2.08]) were associated with a higher mortality risk compared with no tobacco use.82

  • Increased CVD mortality risks exist among daily (HR, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.40–1.54]) and nondaily (HR, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.11–1.39]) cigarette smokers compared with never tobacco smokers83 and persist for older (≥60 years of age) smokers as well. A meta-analysis of 25 studies comparing CVD risks in 503 905 cohort participants ≥60 years of age reported an HR for cardiovascular mortality of 2.07 (95% CI, 1.82–2.36) compared with never-smokers and 1.37 (95% CI, 1.25–1.49) compared with former smokers.84

  • In a sample of Native American individuals (SHS), among whom the prevalence of tobacco use is highest in the United States, the PAR for total mortality was 18.4% for males and 10.9% for females.85

  • Since the first report on the dangers of smoking was issued by the US Surgeon General in 1964, tobacco control efforts have contributed to a reduction of 8 million premature smoking-attributable deaths.86

  • If current smoking trends continue, 5.6 million US children will die of smoking prematurely during adulthood.20

E-Cigarettes and Vaping Products

(See Charts 3-1 and 3-3)

  • Electronic nicotine delivery systems are battery-operated devices that deliver nicotine, flavors, and other chemicals to the user in an aerosol without any combustion. Although e-cigarettes—the most common form of electronic nicotine delivery systems—were introduced in the United States only around 2007, there are currently >450 e-cigarette brands and vaping products on the market, with sales in the United States showing dramatic increases from 2015 ($304 million) through 2018 ($2 billion).87–89 Juul came on the market in 2015 and has rapidly became one of the most popular vaping products sold in the United States.90 The popularity of Juul likely relates to several factors, including its slim and modern design, appealing flavors, and intensity of nicotine delivery, which approximates the experience of combustible cigarettes.91 Besides e-cigarettes and Juul, electronic hookahs (ie, electronic water pipes) are a new category of vaping devices patented by Philip Morris in 2019.92,93 Unlike e-cigarettes and Juul, electronic hookahs are used through traditional water pipes, allowing the flavored aerosol to pass through the water-filled bowl before being inhaled.94 The popularity of electronic hookahs is driven in part by unsubstantiated claims that the presence of water “filters out toxins,” rendering electronic hookahs as healthier tobacco alternatives.95,96

  • E-cigarette use has become prevalent among never-smokers. In 2016, an estimated 1.9 million tobacco users exclusively used e-cigarettes in the United States. Of these exclusive e-cigarette users, 60% were <25 years of age.97

  • Current e-cigarette user prevalence for 2017 in the United States is shown in Chart 3-3.

  • The 2021 NYTS was fully conducted amid the unprecedented COVID-19 pandemic. Because participants were allowed to participate in classrooms, at home, or at some other place, because of potential underreporting of tobacco and nicotine product use behaviors by location, estimates from the 2021 NYTS are not to be compared with previous years in which surveys were conducted primarily on school campuses. According to the 2021 NYTS data7:

    E-cigarettes were the most commonly used tobacco products in youth: Ever use of e-cigarettes was reported by 7.3% (860 000) of middle school and 28.9% (4.4 million) of high school students. In the past 30 days, 2.8% (320 000) of middle school and 11.3% (1.7 million) of high school students reported current e-cigarette use (Chart 3-1).

    Daily use was 27.6% among current high school e-cigarette users and 8.3% among current middle school e-cigarette users.98 Among high school students, rates of current use were slightly higher among females (11.9%) than males (10.7%) and most pronounced among NH White students (14.5%).7 In middle school students, current use rates among females were 3.2% compared with 2.3% among males, with higher rates among Hispanic (3.9%) compared with NH White (2.6 %) students.

    Among current e-cigarette users, 85.8% of high school users and 79.2% of middle school users used flavored e-cigarettes, with fruit being the most common flavor type used.

    Among both middle and high school current e-cigarette users, the most commonly used e-cigarette device type was disposables, followed by prefilled or refillable pods or cartridges and tanks or mod systems.

  • According to the NYTS, current exclusive e-cigarette use among US youth who have never used combustibles, including cigarettes, increased exponentially from 2014 to 2019.99 Among high school students, current exclusive e-cigarette use increased from 1.4% (95% CI, 1.0%–2.1%) in 2014 to 9.2% (95% CI, 8.2%–10.2%) in 2019 and from 0.9% (95% CI, 0.6%–1.3%) in 2014 to 4.5% (95% CI, 3.7%–5.2%) in 2019 among middle school students.

  • Frequent use of e-cigarettes among high school students who were current e-cigarette users increased from 27.7% in 2018 to 34.2% in 2019. In middle school students, the percentage frequently using e-cigarettes among current users increased from 16.2% in 2018 to 18.0% in 2019.3,8

  • In 2021, 70.3% of US middle and high school students were exposed to e-cigarette marketing (advertisements or promotions).7 Among adolescents and young adults, a systematic review suggested an association between exposure to e-cigarette advertisement and lower harm perceptions of e-cigarettes, intention to use e-cigarettes, and e-cigarettes trial.100

  • In 2020, the prevalence of current e-cigarette use in adults, defined as use every day or on some days, was 3.7% according to data from the NHIS. The prevalence of current e-cigarette use was highest among males (4.6%), individuals 18 to 24 years of age (9.4%), and those reporting severe generalized anxiety disorder (10.1%).10

  • According to data from BRFSS 2016 to 2018, current use of e-cigarettes in adults ≥18 years of age was higher in sexual and gender underrepresented individuals.101,102 Data from 2017 and 2018 data sets show that the prevalence of current e-cigarette use among sexual and gender underrepresented adults was 13.0% (95% CI, 12.0%–14.2%) versus 4.8% (95% CI, 4.6%–4.9%) among heterosexuals.101 In 2016, with respect to sexual orientation, 9.0% of bisexual and 7.0% of lesbian/gay individuals were current e-cigarette users compared with 4.6% of heterosexual people. Individuals who were transgender (8.7%) were current e-cigarette users at a higher rate than cisgender individuals (4.7%). Across US states, the highest prevalence of current e-cigarette use was observed in Oklahoma (7.0%) and the lowest in South Dakota (3.1%).102

  • Limited data exist on the prevalence of other electronic nicotine delivery devices besides e-cigarettes. According to nationally representative data from the PATH study, in 2014 to 2015, 7.7% of youth 12 to 17 years of age reported ever electronic hookah use.103 Among adults >18 years of age, 4.6% reported ever electronic hookah use, and 26.8% of them reported current use.

  • E-cigarettes contain lower levels of most tobacco-related toxic constituents compared with traditional cigarettes,104 including volatile organic compounds.105,106 However, nicotine levels have been found to be consistent across long-term cigarette and long-term e-cigarette users.36,107

  • E-cigarette use has a significant cross-sectional association with a less favorable perception of physical and mental health and with depression.108,109

  • According to the BRFSS 2016 and 2017, e-cigarettes are associated with a 39% increased odds of self-reported asthma (OR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.15–1.68]) and self-reported chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR, 1.75 [95% CI, 1.25–2.45]) among never users of combustible cigarette.110,111 There is a dose-response relationship such that higher frequency of e-cigarette use was associated with more asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

  • An outbreak of e-cigarette or vaping product use–associated lung injury peaked in September 2019 after increasing rapidly between June and August 2019. Surveillance data and product testing indicate that tetrahydrocannabinol-containing e-cigarettes or vaping products are linked to most e-cigarette or vaping product use–associated lung injury cases. In particular, vitamin E acetate, an additive in some tetrahydrocannabinol-containing e-cigarettes or vaping, has been identified as the primary source of risk, although exposure to other e-cigarette– or vaping-related toxicants may also play a role. As of February 18, 2020, a total of 2807 hospitalized e-cigarette or vaping product use–associated lung injury cases or deaths have occurred in the United States.112

  • Effective August 8, 2016, the FDA’s Deeming Rule prohibited sale of e-cigarettes to individuals <18 years of age.113

  • In January 2020, the FDA issued a policy prioritizing enforcement against the development and distribution of certain unauthorized flavored e-cigarette products such as fruit and mint flavors (ie, any flavors other than tobacco and menthol).114 This policy, however, applies only to cartridge- or pod-based e-cigarette products, defined as “any small, enclosed unit (sealed or unsealed) designed to fit within or operate as part of an electronic nicotine delivery system.”115 Products that would be exempted from this prohibition include self-contained, customizable, or disposable products.

  • According to data from the BRFSS 2016 and 2017, e-cigarette use among adults is associated with state-level regulations and policies on e-cigarettes: OR of 0.90 (95% CI, 0.83–0.98) for laws prohibiting e-cigarette use in indoor areas; OR of 0.90 (95% CI, 0.85–0.95) for laws requiring retailers to purchase a license to sell e-cigarettes; OR of 1.04 (95% CI, 0.99–1.09) for laws prohibiting self-service displays of e-cigarettes; OR of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.74–0.99) for laws prohibiting sales of tobacco products, including e-cigarettes, to people <21 years of age; and OR of 0.89 (95% CI, 0.83–0.96) for laws applying taxes to e-cigarettes.116

Secondhand Smoke

  • Data from the US Surgeon General on the consequences of secondhand smoke indicate the following:

    Nonsmokers who are exposed to secondhand smoke at home or at work increase their risk of developing CHD by 25% to 30%.20

    Exposure to secondhand smoke increases the RR of stroke by 20% to 30% and is associated with increased mortality (adjusted mortality rate ratio, 2.11) after a stroke.117

  • A meta-analysis of 23 prospective and 17 case-control studies of cardiovascular risks associated with secondhand smoke exposure demonstrated an 18%, 23%, 23%, and 29% increased RR for total mortality, total CVD, CHD, and stroke, respectively, in those exposed to secondhand smoke.118

  • A meta-analysis of 24 studies demonstrated that secondhand smoke can increase risks for PTB by 20%.119

  • A study using the Framingham Offspring cohort found that there was an 18% increase in AF among offspring for every 1–cigarette pack/d increase in parental smoking. In addition, offspring with parents who smoked had 1.34 (95% CI, 1.17–1.54) times the odds of smoking compared with offspring with nonsmoking parents.120

  • As of January 27, 2022, 17 states (California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Massachusetts, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Utah, and Vermont), the District of Columbia, and Puerto Rico have passed comprehensive smoke-free indoor air laws that include e-cigarettes. These laws prohibit smoking and the use of e-cigarettes in indoor areas of private worksites, restaurants, and bars.55,121

  • Pooled data from 17 studies in North America, Europe, and Australia suggest that smoke-free legislation can reduce the incidence of acute coronary events by 10% (RR, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.86–0.94]).122

  • The percentage of the US nonsmoking population with serum cotinine ≥0.05 ng/mL (which indicates exposure to secondhand smoke) declined from 52.5% in 1999 to 2000 to 24.7% in 2017 to 2018, with declines occurring for both children and adults. During 2017 to 2018, the percentage of nonsmokers with detectable serum cotinine was 38.2% for those 3 to 11 years of age, 33.2% for those 12 to 19 years of age, and 21.2% for those ≥20 years of age. The percentage was higher for NH Black individuals (48.0%) than for NH White individuals (22.0%) and Mexican American individuals (16.6%). People living below the poverty level (44.7%) had higher rates of secondhand smoke exposure than their counterparts (21.3% of those living above the poverty level; NHANES).123,124

Cost

According to the Surgeon General’s 50th anniversary report on the health consequences of smoking, the estimated annual cost attributable to smoking from 2009 to 2012 was between $289 and $332.5 billion: Direct medical care for adults accounted for $132.5 to $175.9 billion; lost productivity attributable to premature death accounted for $151 billion (estimated from 2005–2009); and lost productivity resulting from secondhand smoke accounted for $5.6 billion (in 2006).17

  • In the United States, cigarette smoking was associated with 8.7% of annual aggregated health care spending from 2006 to 2010, which represented roughly $170 billion/y, 60% of which was paid by public programs (eg, Medicare and Medicaid).125

  • According to the CDC and Federal Trade Commission, the tobacco industry spends about $9.06 billion on cigarette and smokeless tobacco advertising annually, equivalent to $25 million/d.126 In 2018, total US e-cigarette advertising expenditures (including print, radio, television, internet, and outdoors) were estimated to be $110 million, which increased remarkably from $48 million in 2017.127

  • In 2018, 216.9 billion cigarettes were sold by major manufacturers in the United States, which represents a 5.3% decrease (12.2 billion units) from 2017.128

  • Cigarette prices in the United States increased steeply between the early 1970s and 2018, in large part because of excise taxes on tobacco products. The increase in cigarette prices appeared to be larger than general inflation: Per pack in 1970, the average cost was $0.38 and tax was $0.18, whereas in 2018, the average cost was $6.90 and average tax was $2.82.129

  • From 2012 through 2016, e-cigarette sales significantly increased while national e-cigarette prices significantly decreased,129 with total e-cigarette unit sales exponentially increasing nearly 300% from 2016 through 2019.130 Together, these trends highlight the rapidly changing landscape of the US e-cigarette marketplace.129

  • Despite the morbidity and mortality resulting from tobacco use, Dieleman et al131 estimated that tobacco interventions were among the bottom third of health care expenditures of the 154 health conditions they analyzed. They estimated that in 2019 the United States spent $1.9 billion (95% CI, $1.5–$2.3 billion) on tobacco interventions, the majority (75.6%) on individuals 20 to 64 years of age. Almost half of the funding (48.5%) for the intervention came from public insurance.

Global Burden of Tobacco Use

(See Table 3-1 and Chart 3-5)

  • The GBD Study 2020 produces comprehensive and comparable estimates of disease burden for 370 reported causes and 88 risk factors for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020. Oceania, East and Central Asia, and Central and Eastern Europe had the highest age-standardized mortality rates attributable to tobacco (Chart 3-5).

  • Tobacco caused 8.09 (95% UI, 3.18–12.76) million deaths globally in 2020, with 6.27 (95% UI, 2.24–9.88) million among males and 1.82 (95% UI, 0.83–2.95) million among females (Table 3-1).132

  • GBD investigators estimated that in 2019 tobacco was the second leading risk of mortality (high SBP was number 1), and tobacco ranked third in DALYs globally.133

  • In 2015, there were a total of 933.1 million (95% UI, 831.3–1054.3 million) smokers globally, of whom 82.3% were male. The annualized rate of change in smoking prevalence between 1990 to 2015 was −1.7% in females and −1.3% in males.134

  • Worldwide, ≈80% of tobacco users live in low- and middle-income countries.135

  • The WHO estimated that the economic cost of smoking-attributable diseases accounted for US $422 billion in 2012, which represented ≈5.7% of global health expenditures.136 The total economic costs, including both health expenditures and lost productivity, amounted to approximately US $1436 billion, which was roughly equal to 1.8% of the world’s annual gross domestic product. The WHO further estimated that 40% of the expenditures were in developing countries.

  • To help combat the global problem of tobacco exposure, in 2003, the WHO adopted the Framework Convention on Tobacco Control treaty. From this emerged a set of evidence-based policies with the goal of reducing the demand for tobacco titled MPOWER. MPOWER policies outline the following strategies for nations to reduce tobacco use: (1) monitor tobacco use and prevention policies; (2) protect individuals from tobacco smoke; (3) offer to help with tobacco cessation; (4) warn about tobacco-related dangers; (5) enforce bans on tobacco advertising; (6) raise taxes on tobacco; and (7) reduce the sale of cigarettes. More than half of all nations have implemented at least 1 MPOWER policy.‍102,137 In 2018, population cost coverage (either partial or full) for quit interventions increased to 78% in middle-income countries and to 97% in high-income countries; 5 billion people are now covered by at least 1 MPOWER measure. However, only 23 countries offered comprehensive cessation support in the same year.138

  • The CDC examined data from 28 countries from the 2008 to 2016 Global Adult Tobacco Survey and reported that the median prevalence of tobacco smoking was 22.5% with wide heterogeneity (3.9% in Nigeria to 38.2% in Greece). Among current smokers, quit attempts over the prior 12 months also varied with a median of 42.5% (range, 14.4% in China to 59.6% in Senegal). Knowledge that smoking causes heart attacks (median, 83.6%; range, 38.7% in China to 95.5% in Turkey) and stroke (median 73.6%; range, 27.2% in China to 89.2% in Romania) varied widely across countries.139

This table lists the total number of deaths worldwide, mortality rate, and population attributable fraction related to tobacco in 2020, as well as the percent change from 2010 and 1990. The 8.1 million deaths attributable to tobacco in 2020 represent a 10.5 percent increase from 2010.

Table 3-1. Deaths Caused by Tobacco Worldwide by Sex, 2020

Both sexes (95% UI)Males (95% UI)Females (95% UI)
Total No. of deaths (millions), 20208.09 (3.18 to 12.76)6.27 (2.24 to 9.88)1.82 (0.83 to 2.95)
Percent change in total number, 1990–202031.44 (15.71 to 47.29)36.43 (20.45 to 52.74)16.73 (−1.23 to 41.09)
Percent change in total number, 2010–202010.51 (2.64 to 18.88)11.34 (1.90 to 21.43)7.72 (−0.56 to 15.81)
Mortality rate per 100 000, age standardized, 202098.79 (38.72 to 156.87)169.11 (60.84 to 267.05)40.88 (18.59 to 66.00)
Percent change in rate, age standardized, 1990–2020−39.50 (−44.76 to −33.91)−39.23 (−44.54 to −33.43)−45.98 (−52.04 to −37.93)
Percent change in rate, age standardized, 2010–2020−16.95 (−22.65 to −11.06)−16.75 (−23.46 to −9.73)−19.54 (−25.39 to −13.62)
PAF, all ages, 202014.26 (5.60 to 22.39)20.29 (7.06 to 31.50)7.05 (3.26 to 11.55)
Percent change in PAF, all ages, 1990–20204.90 (−6.04 to 16.13)8.14 (−1.17 to 17.01)−6.07 (−19.50 to 13.49)
Percent change in PAF, all ages, 2010–20201.71 (−3.01 to 6.80)3.32 (−1.08 to 8.19)−1.83 (−7.04 to 3.52)

During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.

GBD indicates Global Burden of Disease; PAF, population attributable fraction; and UI, uncertainty interval.

Source: Data courtesy of the GBD Study 2020. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.132

Chart 3-1.

Chart 3-1. Prevalence (percent) of tobacco use in the United States in the past 30 days by product,* school level, sex, and race and ethnicity † (NYTS, 2021). A, High school students. B, Middle school students. E-cigarette indicates electronic cigarette; and NYTS, National Youth Tobacco Survey. *Past 30-day use of e-cigarettes was determined by asking “During the past 30 days, on how many days did you use e-cigarettes?” Past 30-day use of cigarettes was determined by asking “During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke cigarettes?” Past 30-day use of cigars was determined by asking “During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke cigars, cigarillos, or little cigars?” Smokeless tobacco was defined as use of chewing tobacco, snuff, dip, snus, or dissolvable tobacco products. Past 30-day use of smokeless tobacco was determined by asking the following question: “During the past 30 days, on how many days did you use chewing tobacco, snuff, or dip, snus, or dissolvable products?” Responses from these questions were combined to derive overall smokeless tobacco use. Past 30-day use of hookahs was determined by asking “During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke tobacco in a hookah or water pipe?” Past 30-day use of pipe tobacco (not hookahs) was determined by asking “In the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke pipes filled with tobacco?” Because of missing data on the past 30-day use questions, denominators for each tobacco product might be different. †Black people, White people, and people of other race are non-Hispanic; Hispanic people could be of any race. ‡In 2021, any tobacco product use was defined as use of any tobacco product (e-cigarettes, cigarettes, cigars [cigars, cigarillos, or little cigars], smokeless tobacco [chewing tobacco, snuff, or dip, snus, or dissolvable tobacco products], hookahs, pipe tobacco, nicotine pouches, bidis [small brown cigarettes wrapped in a leaf], or heated tobacco products) on ≥1 day during the past 30 days. §Any combustible tobacco product use was defined as use of cigarettes, cigars (cigars, cigarillos, or little cigars), hookahs, pipe tobacco, or bidis on ≥1 day during the past 30 days. ∥In 2021, multiple tobacco product use was defined as use of ≥2 tobacco products (e-cigarettes, cigarettes, cigars [cigars, cigarillos, or little cigars], smokeless tobacco [chewing tobacco, snuff, or dip, snus, or dissolvable tobacco products], hookahs, pipe tobacco, nicotine pouches, bidis, or heated tobacco products) on ≥1 day during the past 30 days. Source: Data derived from Gentzke et al.7

Chart 3-2.

Chart 3-2. Age-adjusted prevalence (percent) of current cigarette smoking for US adults by state (BRFSS, 2020). White space between the map and legend has been removed. Icons and drop-down menus for interactive tools have been removed. BRFSS indicates Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance System. Source: BRFSS prevalence and trends data.11

Chart 3-3.

Chart 3-3. Prevalence (age-adjusted) of current electronic cigarette use, United States (BRFSS, 2017). White space between the map and legend has been removed. Icons and drop-down menus for interactive tools have been removed.
BRFSS indicates Behavior Risk Factor Surveillance System. Source: BRFSS prevalence and trends data.11

Chart 3-4.

Chart 3-4. Past-month cigarette use among US youths in NSDUH and MTF: 2002 to 2019. MTF indicates Monitoring the Future; and NSDUH, National Survey on Drug Use and Health. Source: Reprinted from NSDUH.13,15

Chart 3-5.

Chart 3-5. Age-standardized global mortality rates attributable to tobacco per 100 000, both sexes, 2020. During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles.
GBD indicates Global Burden of Disease. Source: Data courtesy of the GBD Study 2020. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.132

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4. PHYSICAL ACTIVITY AND SEDENTARY BEHAVIOR

(See Charts 4-1 through 4-10)

PA is defined as any body movement produced by skeletal muscles that results in energy expenditure. In 1992, the AHA first published a position statement declaring lack of PA as a risk factor for the development of CHD.1 As the research accumulated, lack of PA was established as a major risk factor for CVD (eg, CHD, stroke, PAD, HF).2

The 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans recommend that children and adolescents accumulate at least 60 minutes of PA daily, including aerobic and muscle- and bone-strengthening activity.3 The guidelines recommend that adults accumulate at least 150 min/wk of moderate-intensity or 75 min/wk of vigorous-intensity aerobic activity (or an equivalent combination) and perform muscle-strengthening activities at least 2 d/wk.3 The 2019 CVD Primary Prevention Clinical Practice Guidelines4 support the aerobic recommendations. For many people, examples of moderate-intensity activities include walking briskly or raking the yard, and examples of vigorous-intensity activities include jogging, carrying loads upstairs, strengthening activities, or shoveling snow. Achieving the PA guideline recommendations is 1 of the AHA’s 8 components of ideal CVH for both children and adults.5

Globally, the 2020 WHO guidelines supported moderate to vigorous PA across all age groups and abilities.6 Small increases in moderate-intensity PA or replacing sedentary behavior with light-intensity PA can provide health benefits.3,6 The WHO guidelines for PA also include recommendations for those living with a disability7 that are recently supported by other work.8,9

Sedentary behavior is defined as “any waking behavior characterized by an energy expenditure ≤1.5 MET while in a sitting, reclining, or lying posture.”10 Sedentary behavior is a distinct construct from PA and is characterized by activities such as driving/riding in a vehicle, using a screen (eg, watching television, playing video games, using a computer), or reading. The 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans recommends adults should “move more and sit less throughout the day.”3 Globally, the WHO guidelines recommend reducing sedentary behaviors across all age groups and abilities.6

Measuring PA and Sedentary Behavior

Several dimensions (eg, frequency, duration, and intensity) and modes/types (eg, occupational, domestic, transportation, and leisure time) characterize PA.

Measurement of PA can be defined by 2 broad assessment methods: (1) self-reported methods that use questionnaires and diaries/logs and (2) device-based methods that use wearables (eg, accelerometers). Studies that compare the findings between methods indicate discordance between self-reported and measured PA, with respondents often overestimating their PA compared with device-based measures.11 Sedentary behavior also has several dimensions (eg, frequency, duration) and modes/types (eg, driving/riding in a vehicle, using a screen, reading) that can be assessed with both self-reported and device-based methods.

Prevalence and Trends

Youth
Physical Activity

(See Charts 4-1 and 4-2)

  • According to parental report, from 2019 to 2020, the nationwide prevalence of youth who were active for ≥60 minutes every day of the week was 20.6%.12 The prevalence was higher for youth 6 to 11 years of age (26.2%) compared with youth 12 to 17 years of age (15.2%; Chart 4-1) and higher for males (23.1%) compared with females (18.0%).

  • On the basis of self-report, the 2019 to 2020 nationwide prevalence of youth 6 to 17 years of age who were active ≥60 minutes every day of the week was 20.6% and by their race and ethnicity was 14.2% for NH Asian, 15.7% for Hispanic, 19.5% for NH Black, 22.5% for NH other, and 23.8% for NH White.12 The prevalence was higher among English-speaking households (21.7%) compared with households with a primary language other than English (14.0%). The nationwide prevalence of high school students who engaged in ≥60 minutes of PA on all 7 days of the week was 23.2%.13 The prevalence was higher in males (30.9%) than females (15.4%) and higher among NH White youth (25.6%) compared with NH Black (21.1%) and Hispanic (20.9%) youth.

  • Among high school students nationwide, the prevalence of being physically active for ≥60 minutes for at least 5 d/wk decreased from 49.5% in 2011 to 44.1% in 2019.13,14 Similarly, the prevalence of being physically active for ≥60 minutes on all 7 days in a week decreased from 28.7% in 2011 to 23.2% in 2019.

  • With regard to self-reported muscle-strengthening activities, in 2019, the proportion of high school students who participated in muscle-strengthening activities (such as push-ups, sit-ups, or weight lifting) on ≥3 d/wk was 49.5% nationwide and was lower in the 12th grade (45.9%) compared with the 9th grade (52.4%).13,15 More high school males (59.0%) than females (39.7%) reported participating in muscle-strengthening activities on ≥3 d/wk. The prevalence of participating in muscle-strengthening activities on ≥3 d/wk decreased from 55.6% in 2011 to 49.5% in 2019.

  • The proportion of youth who met guidelines for both aerobic (≥60 minutes on all 7 d/wk) and muscle-strengthening (≥3 d/wk) PA decreased from 21.9% in 2011 to 16.5% in 2019 (Chart 4-2).13 This decline also occurred for males, females, NH White youth, and NH Black youth.

  • Using 1 week of wrist-worn accelerometry data from 6030 participants 3 to 19 years of age in the NHANES National Youth Fitness Survey 2012 and NHANES 2011 to 2014 showed that the median daily MIMS units (eg, indicator of total volume of PA) peaked at 6 years of age for both males and females.16 In contrast, the lowest median daily MIMS units occurred at 17 years of age in males and 18 years of age in females. Generally, for both males and females, MIMS units were successively higher from 3 to 6 years of age, declined from 6 to ≈15 years of age, and then plateaued.

Physical Education Classes and Organized Sports
  • In 2019, 25.9% of high school students attended physical education classes in school daily (28.9% of males and 22.8% of females).13

  • Daily physical education class participation was lower with successively higher grades from the 9th grade (34.7%) through the 12th grade (19.7%).15 Daily physical education for 9th to 12th graders was higher among Hispanic youth (29.9%) compared with NH Black (23.8%) and NH White (24.3%) youth.13

  • Nationwide, the prevalence of high school students who reported attending physical education classes at least once per week (on an average week while in school) did not change substantively between 1991 (48.9%) and 2019 (52.2%).14 However, the prevalence of attending physical education classes on all 5 days of the week decreased from 41.6% in 1991 to 25.9% in 2019.

Organized Sports
  • In 2019, more than half (57.4%) of high school students played on at least 1 school or community sports team in the previous year (54.6% of females and 60.2% of males); this number was lower in 12th grade (49.8%) compared with 9th grade (61.9%).13,15

  • The prevalence of high school students playing ≥1 team sports in the past year did not substantively change between 1999 (55.1%) and 2019 (57.4%).14

Sedentary Behavior

(See Charts 4-3 and 4-4)

  • Nationwide in 2019, 46.1% of high school students used a computer, tablet, or smartphone for activities other than schoolwork (eg, video games, texting, social media) for ≥3 h/d on an average school day (Chart 4-3).15 The prevalence differed by race and ethnicity and was high among both males (47.5%) and females (44.6%).

  • Nationwide in 2019, 19.8% of high school students watched television ≥3 h/d (Chart 4-4).15 The prevalence varied by race and ethnicity (highest among American Indian/Alaska Native students, followed by Black, Hispanic, White, and Asian students) and was higher among males than females.

  • Among high school students in 2019, the prevalence of computer, tablet, or smartphone use for activities other than schoolwork or using a computer ≥3 h/d increased from 22.1% in 2003 to 46.1% in 2019.14 However, watching television for ≥3 h/d decreased from 42.8% in 1999 to 19.8% in 2019.

Adults

(See Charts 4-5 through 4-8)

Physical Activity
  • According to NHIS 2018, the age-adjusted proportion of adults who reported meeting the aerobic PA guidelines for Americans (≥150 min/wk of moderate PA, ≥75 min/wk of vigorous PA, or an equivalent combination) through leisure-time activities was 54.2% (Chart 4-5).17 Among both males and females, NH White adults were more likely to meet the PA aerobic guidelines with leisure-time activity than NH Black and Hispanic adults. For each racial and ethnic group, males had higher PA than females.17

  • From BRFSS 2017 to 2020, the prevalence of self-reported physical inactivity varied by geography, ranging from the lowest in Colorado (17.7%), Utah (18.2%), and Washington (18.4%) to the highest in Kentucky (32.5%), Mississippi (33.2%), and Puerto Rico (49.4%; Chart 4-6).18

  • The prevalence of self-reported physical inactivity among adults ≥18 years of age, overall and by sex, decreased from 1998 to 2018 (Chart 4-7).17

  • The age-adjusted percentage of US adults who reported meeting both the muscle-strengthening and aerobic guidelines increased from 18.2% in 2008 to 24.0% in 2018.19 The percentage of US adults who reported meeting the aerobic guidelines increased from 43.5% in 2008 to 54.2% in 2018.19 The increase in those meeting the aerobic guidelines may be explained in part by the increased prevalence in self-reported walking for transportation, from 28.4% to 31.7%, and for leisure, from 42.1% to 52.1%, between 2005 and 2015.20

  • The proportion of adults ≥25 years of age who met the 2018 guidelines for aerobic PA was higher with successively higher educational attainment category (Chart 4-8). This pattern was similar for meeting recommendations for both aerobic and strengthening activities. In addition, the prevalence of engaging in any activity or meeting aerobic recommendations among adults ≥18 years of age was higher among those with higher household incomes compared with those with middle or lower household incomes across White, Black, and Hispanic groups.21

  • In 26 high- and 34 middle-income countries between 2001 and 2016, the levels of insufficient PA were greater when there were greater income inequalities (defined as the difference between those with the highest and lowest incomes).22

  • Using 1 week of wrist-worn accelerometry data from 8675 participants ≥20 years of age in NHANES 2011 to 2014 showed that the median daily MIMS units (eg, indicator of total volume of PA) peaked at 20 years of age for males and 36 years of age for females.16 For both males and females, PA levels represented by MIMS were the lowest at 80 years of age.

Sedentary Behavior
  • According to NHANES, mean daily sitting time increased by 19 min/d from 2007 to 2008 (332 min/d) to 2017 to 2018 (351 min/d).23

  • A Nielsen report indicated that in January 2020, US adults spent on average 12 hours 21 minutes connected to media (eg, television, radio, smartphone, tablet, internet on a computer), higher than in January 2018 (11 hours 6 minutes) and January 2019 (11 hours 27 minutes).24 These habits affect time available for PA and contribute to sedentary behavior.

COVID-19 Pandemic

Impact on PA
  • From a nonrepresentative sample of US parents of youth 5 to 13 years of age, there was indication that PA declined from February 2020 (before COVID-19) to April/May 2020.25

  • Activity tracker companies documented declines in PA among their users during the COVID-19 pandemic. Comparing the week of March 22, 2020, with the same week in 2019 showed that Fitbit-measured steps declined worldwide, ranging from on average 4% declines in Australia to 38% declines in Spain.26 Steps from users from the United States declined on average by 12%. Users of Garmin activity trackers also documented a decline in average daily steps during the month of March 2020 both globally and for the United States, as well as a shift to indoor fitness–oriented activities.27 The total number of steps decreased by 7.3% from 2019 to 2020 for Garmin users.28 It is important to note that those who own and wear activity trackers are not representative of the general population.29,30

  • In a nationally representative sample of 3829 US adults surveyed between March 19 and April 9, 2020, 30.4% of respondents reported less PA during the pandemic, whereas 20.3% reported more PA, 42.7% reported no change, and 6.6% reported not engaging in PA.31 Among those reporting PA, the location of the PA was mostly inside their home (61.1%), around their neighborhood (51.1%), or at a park or public trail (16.7%).

  • In a nationally representative sample of 2011 US adults conducted June 17 to 29, 2020, respondents reported a 10.4% decrease in local travel relative to prepandemic levels, including public transit use, personal vehicle use, and walking.32 However, there was no change in reported bicycle use when the prepandemic period was compared with the pandemic period.

  • Longitudinal data from the Understanding America Study indicated that self-reported exercise frequency decreased between April 2020 and January 2021 and then increased from January to July 2021.33 More restrictive state-level COVID-19 policies were inversely associated with exercise frequency between April 2020 and December 2020.

  • Among 311 patients with implanted cardiac devices and most with HF (92.2%), PA data from the device were compared for 4 weeks before the lockdown and 4 weeks after the lockdown in the United Kingdom.34 A reduction of 20.8 active min/d was observed when the postlockdown and prelockdown periods were compared.

  • The COVID-19 pandemic affected walking and bicycling for transportation and leisure through environmental and policy changes designed to limit or accommodate shifting users such as on roads, trails, and transit and in public parks.35,36 The short- and long-term impacts of the environmental and policy changes on representative patterns of walking and bicycling are not yet known.

Association of PA With COVID-19 Risks
  • Among 48 440 adult patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis between January and October 2020, those who consistently did not meet PA recommendations (0-10 min/wk for each assessment during the study period) had a greater odds of hospitalization (OR, 2.26 [95% CI, 1.81–2.83]), admission to the ICU (OR, 1.73 [95% CI, 1.18–2.55]), and death (OR, 2.49 [95% CI, 1.33–4.67]) compared with those who consistently met PA recommendations (>150 min/wk of PA for each assessment during the study period).37 The odds of hospitalization (OR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.10–1.32]), admission to the ICU (OR, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.93–1.29]), and death (OR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.09–1.60]) were also higher for those doing some PA (11–149 min/wk or those with variability for each assessment during the study period) compared with those who consistently met PA guidelines.

  • In a case-control study, Korean patients (N=6288) who tested positive for severe COVID-19 were compared with age- and sex-matched controls (N=125 772). For every 1-SD-higher MET-min/wk of leisure-time PA, cases had a lower odds of COVID-19 infection (OR, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.93–0.99]) and a lower odds of mortality (OR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.48–0.88]) compared with controls.38

Risk Factors for PA and Cardiovascular/Metabolic Health

Youth

(See Chart 4-9)

  • An umbrella review of 21 systematic reviews found that greater amounts and higher intensities of PA and limiting sedentary behavior were associated with improved health outcomes (eg, cardiometabolic health, cardiorespiratory fitness, adiposity, and cognition) among youth 5 to 17 years of age.39 However, the evidence base available was insufficient to fully describe the dose-response relationship or whether the association varied by type or domain of PA or sedentary behavior.

  • Nationwide in 2019 to 2020, 10.6% of neighborhoods of youth 0 to 17 years of age did not contain any of the 4 health-promoting amenities (eg, parks, recreation centers, sidewalks, and libraries; Chart 4-9).12 The prevalence of youth living in neighborhoods without any health-promoting amenities varied by race and ethnicity of the child: 4.5% for NH Asian, 6.9% for Hispanic, 7.3% for NH Black, 8.6% for other, and 14.0% for NH White.

  • Nationwide in 2019 to 2020, 4.5% of neighborhoods of youth 0 to 18 years of age lived with all 3 detracting elements (eg, litter or garbage on the street or sidewalk, poorly kept or rundown housing, and vandalism such as broken windows and graffiti; Chart 4-9).12 The prevalence of youth living in neighborhoods with detracting elements also varied by race and ethnicity of the child: 1.9% for Asian NH, 2.9% for White NH, 5.5% for other NH, 6.2% for Hispanic, and 7.6% for Black NH.

Adults
  • In an umbrella review of 17 meta-analyses and 1 systematic review, there was a strong inverse dose-response relationship between PA and incident hypertension, and PA reduced the risk of CVD progression among hypertensive adults.40

  • A meta-analysis of 37 RCTs of walking interventions in apparently healthy adults indicated favorable effects on cardiovascular risk factors, including body fat, BMI, SBP, DBP, fasting glucose, and maximal cardiorespiratory fitness.41

  • Multisession behavioral counseling can improve PA among those with elevated lipid levels or BP and reduce LDL, BP, adiposity, and cardiovascular events.42 The US Preventive Services Task Force recommends “offering or referring adults with CVD risk factors to behavioral counseling interventions to promote a healthy diet and PA.”43

  • In a meta-analysis of 11 studies investigating the role of exercise among individuals with MetS, aerobic exercise significantly improved DBP (−1.6 mm Hg; P=0.01), WC (−3.4 cm; P=0.01), fasting glucose (−0.15 mmol/L; P=0.03), and HDL-C (0.05 mmol/L; P=0.02).44

  • In a meta-analysis of 38 RCTs of participants with cardiometabolic conditions (eg, prediabetes, diabetes, obesity, CVD), the use of wearable PA trackers was associated with increased levels of PA compared with the control condition of not wearing a PA tracker.45 A similar review conducted among participants with CVD found that smartphone applications were effective at increasing PA.46

  • A systematic review reported favorable dose-response relationships between daily step counts and both type 2 diabetes (25% reduction in 5-year dysglycemia incidence per 2000–steps/d increase) and MetS (29% reduction in 6-year metabolic score per 2000–steps/d increase).47

  • In the WHI/OPACH study of 4838 females without physician-diagnosed diabetes, each additional 2000–steps/day increment (as measured by 1 week of hip-worn accelerometry) was associated with a lower hazard for incident diabetes (HR, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.78–1.00]).48

Risk Prediction

Cardiovascular Events Among Adults
  • A systematic review reported a favorable dose-response relationship between daily step counts and cardiovascular events (defined as cardiovascular death, nonfatal MI, or nonfatal stroke; 8% yearly rate reduction per 2000–steps/d increase).47

  • In the WHI/OPACH study, every 1–h/d increase in accelerometer-assessed light-intensity PA was associated with a lower risk of CHD (HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.73–1.00]) and lower risk of CVD (HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.85–0.99]).49 For every 1 hour of daily life movement (eg, standing and moving in a confined space), the HR for CVD was 0.86 (95% CI, 0.80–0.92).50

  • With an average of 27 years of follow-up, estimates from 13 534 ARIC participants indicated that those who engaged in past-year leisure-time PA at least at median levels (ie, ≥13.2 MET-h/wk or a walk at 3 mph for 48 min/day for 5 d/wk) had a longer life expectancy free of nonfatal CHD (1.5–1.6 years), stroke (1.8 years), and HF (1.6–1.7 years) compared with those who did not engage in leisure-time PA.51 In addition, those watching less television had longer life expectancy free of CHD, stroke, and HF of close to 1 year.

  • According to data from the NHANES III survey, adults with poor PA (OR, 1.30 [95% CI, 1.10–1.54]) and intermediate PA (OR, 1.19 [95% CI, 1.02–1.38]) had an increased odds of subclinical myocardial injury (based on the ECG) compared with those with ideal PA.52

  • A meta-analysis summarizing 10 studies found that the pooled adjusted risk of VTE was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.79–0.95) when the most physically active group was compared with the least physically active group.53

Genetics and Family History

  • Genetic factors have been shown to contribute to the propensity to exercise. However, more work is needed to identify genetic factors that contribute to PA.54,55

  • GWASs in >377 000 individuals have identified 10 loci associated with PA phenotypes, including CADM2, EXOC4, and APOE.54

  • A GWAS of 91 105 individuals with device-measured PA identified 14 significant loci.56

  • Multiethnic analysis of >20 000 individuals identified several loci associated with leisure-time PA in individuals of European and African ancestry.57 Specifically, 4 previous loci (GABRG3, CYP19A1, PAPSS2, and CASR) were replicated. Among African Americans, 2 variants were identified (rs116550874 and rs3792874) and among European Americans, 1 variant was identified (rs28524846) as being associated with leisure-time PA.

  • Variants in 9 candidate genes (ACE, CASR, CYP19A, FTO, DRD2, CNR4-1, LEPR, MC4R, NPC1) have been identified to be associated with PA or sedentary behavior. However, their replication in larger unbiased GWASs is warranted.58

Awareness, Treatment, and Control

  • Exercise and resistance training are recommended for adults after stroke.59 In a review pooling 499 patients with stroke, exercise programs adhering to these guidelines indicated improved walking speed and endurance but no differences for PA or other mobility outcomes compared with usual care.60 An RCT found that higher doses of walking during inpatient rehabilitation 1 to 4 weeks after stroke provided greater walking endurance and gait speed and improved quality of life compared with usual care physical therapy.61

  • A meta-analysis of RCTs reporting on the effects of PA among participants with HF found that the specific features indicative of a more successful intervention included a center-based group-oriented delivery format that combined exercise with behavioral change strategies.62

Mortality

Self-Reported PA, Sedentary Behavior, and Mortality
  • In an analysis from NHIS, among 67 762 adults with >20 years of follow-up, 8.7% of all-cause mortality was attributed to a PA level of <150 min/wk of moderate-intensity PA.63

  • In the UK Biobank of 263 540 participants, commuting by bicycle was associated with a lower risk of CVD mortality and all-cause mortality (HR, 0.48 and 0.59, respectively). Commuting by walking was associated with a lower risk of CVD mortality (HR, 0.64) but not all-cause mortality.64 Data on participants in NHANES enrolled from 1999 to 2006 indicated that participation in moderate to vigorous walking, bicycling, or running was most beneficial for reducing all-cause and CVD mortality.65

  • An umbrella review of 24 systematic reviews of older adults concluded that those who are physically active are at reduced risk of CVD mortality (25%–40% risk reduction), all-cause mortality (22%–35%), breast cancer (12%–17%), prostate cancer (9%–10%), and depression (17%–31%) while experiencing better quality of life, healthier aging trajectories, and improved cognitive functioning.66 Another review indicated that sedentary behavior, specifically transportation-related sitting time, was associated with a lower risk of CVD and less favorable cardiovascular risk factors, whereas less consistent associations were found when the exposure focused on occupational sitting.67

  • In a meta-analysis of 29 prospective observational studies, the RR of HF was lower among those in higher levels of total PA (RR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.68–0.81]), leisure-time PA (RR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.59–0.74]), and cardiorespiratory fitness (RR, 0.31 [HR, 0.19–0.49]).68 Favorable associations were also found with vigorous activity, occupational activity, and walking and bicycling combined.

  • A harmonized meta-analysis that included >1 million participants across 16 studies compared the risk associated with sitting time and television viewing in physically active and inactive study participants. For inactive individuals (defined as the lowest quartile of PA), those sitting >8 h/d had a higher all-cause mortality risk than those sitting <4 h/d (HR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.22–1.32]).69 For active individuals (top quartile for PA), sitting time was not associated with all-cause mortality (HR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.98–1.10]), but active people who watched television ≥5 h/d had higher mortality risk (HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.05–1.27]).

  • According to NHIS data, the prevalence of meeting the minimal aerobic PA guideline among US adults increased in a step-wise fashion from 1998 to 2000 to 2016 to 2018 for diabetes (31.6% to 43.5%), hypertension (36.6% to 47.6%), CHD (33.5% to 39.6%), stroke (27.5% to 41.1%), and cancer (40.3% to 53.1%).70

  • Among 1746 patients with CAD followed up for 2 years, those who remained inactive or became inactive had a 4.9- and 2.4-fold higher risk of cardiac death, respectively, than patients who remained at least irregularly active during the follow-up period.71

  • In a prospective cohort study of 3307 individuals with CHD, participants who maintained high PA levels had a lower risk of mortality than those who remained inactive over time (HR, 0.64 [95% CI, 0.50–0.83]).72

  • Among males after an MI, those who maintained high PA had a 39% lower risk of all-cause mortality, and those who walked for at least 30 min/d had a 29% lower risk of all-cause mortality.73

Device-Measured PA, Sedentary Behavior, and Mortality
  • In a review of 15 cohort studies, adults in the highest category of total, light, and moderate to vigorous PA had 67%, 40%, and 56% lower risk for mortality, respectively, compared with adults in the lowest category.74

  • Among individuals 70 years of age who wore an accelerometer for 1 week, both light PA and moderate PA were associated with a lower risk and sedentary behavior was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality, stroke, and MI.75

  • Among participants 40 to 79 years of age in the population-based EPIC–Norfolk Study, higher levels of accelerometer-assessed total and moderate to vigorous PA were associated with a lower incident CVD risk; models indicated an initial steep decrease in the HR, followed by a flattening of the curve.76

  • Among females ≥63 years of age who wore an accelerometer for 1 week, those who spent more time standing (quartile 4 versus 1: HR, 0.63 [95% CI, 0.49–0.81]) and more time standing with ambulation (quartile 4 versus 1: HR, 0.50 [95% CI, 0.35–0.71]) had a lower risk of all-cause mortality.77

  • In a harmonization meta-analysis of 8 prospective studies of adults measured with accelerometry, over a median of 5.8 years of follow-up, the highest 3 quartiles of light (HR, 0.38–0.60 across quartiles) and moderate to vigorous (HR, 0.52–0.64 across quartiles) PA compared with the lowest quartile (least active) were associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality.78 Time in sedentary behavior was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 1.28–2.63 across quartiles) compared with the lowest quartile (least sedentary). In a follow-up analysis of 9 prospective studies, 30 to 40 min/d of moderate to vigorous PA attenuated the adverse association between sedentary behavior and mortality.79

  • A comprehensive review found that longer time in all-day standing was associated with a lower risk of mortality.80 However, longer time spent in work-related standing had either adverse or null associations with both subclinical and incident CVD.

  • In an analysis of 1718 MESA participants, substituting 30 minutes of sedentary time for sleep, light PA, or moderate to vigorous PA was associated with a more favorable CVH score.81

  • Step counting is recommended as an effective method for translating PA guidelines and monitoring PA levels because of its simplicity and the increase in step-counting devices.47,82 Results from a systematic review revealed that for every 1000 steps taken at baseline, risk reductions ranged from 6% to 36% for all-cause mortality and 5% to 21% for CVD.83

  • In a harmonized meta-analysis of 15 international cohort studies that included 47 471 adults and 3013 deaths, the HR comparing with the lowest quartile of average steps per day was as follows: quartile 2 HR, 0.60 (95% CI, 0.51–0.71), quartile 3 HR, 0.55 (95% CI, 0.49–-0.62), and quartile 4 HR, 0.47 (95% CI, 0.39–0.57).84

  • According to accelerometry data from NHANES 2003 to 2006, if US adults ≥40 years of age increased their moderate to vigorous PA by ≈10 min/d, an estimated 110 000 deaths per year could be prevented.85

  • In a retrospective observational study from 2014 to 2016, Medicare beneficiaries with an implantable cardioverter defibrillator who attended cardiac rehabilitation had a lower all-cause mortality risk (HR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.69–0.85]) at 1 year of follow-up, and differences remained at 2 and 3 years of follow-up.86

Costs

  • The economic consequences of physical inactivity are substantial. A global analysis of 142 countries (93.2% of the world’s population) concluded that physical inactivity cost health care systems $53.8 billion in 2013, including $9.7 billion paid by individual households.87

  • Increasing population levels of PA could increase productivity, particularly through presenteeism, and lead to substantial economic gains.88

Global Burden

(See Chart 4-10)

  • Prevalence of physical inactivity in 2016 was reported to be 27.5% (95% CI, 25.0%–32.2%) of the population globally. These rates have not changed substantially since 2001, at which time prevalence of physical inactivity was 28.5% (95% CI, 23.9%–33.9%). Critically, it appears that the number of females reporting insufficient PA is 8% higher than the number of males globally.89

  • The GBD 2020 study produces comprehensive and comparable estimates of disease burden for 370 reported causes and 88 risk factors for 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2020.90

    In 2020, age-standardized mortality rates attributable to low PA were highest in North Africa and the Middle East and southern sub-Saharan Africa (Chart 4-10).

    Low PA caused an estimated 0.66 (95% UI, 0.29–1.05) million deaths in 2020, an increase of 137.69% (95% UI, 115.53%–169.46%) since 1990 (data courtesy of the GBD Study).

  • The adjusted PAF for achieving <150 minutes of moderate to vigorous PA per week was 8.0% for all-cause and 4.6% for major CVD in a study of 17 low-, middle-, and high-income countries in 130 843 participants without preexisting CVD.91

Chart 4-1.

Chart 4-1. Percentage of US youth 6 to 11 and 12 to 17 years of age who were physically active for at least 60 minutes, 2019 to 2020. Error bars represent 95% CIs. Source: Data derived from National Survey of Children’s Health.12

Chart 4-2.

Chart 4-2. Percentage of US youth in grades 9 to 12 who met both aerobic and muscle strengthening PA recommendations, 2011 to 2019. PA indicates physical activity. Source: Data derived from Youth Risk Behavior Survey.13

Chart 4-3.

Chart 4-3. Percentage of US students in grades 9 through 12 who played video or computer games or used a computer* for ≥3 hours on an average school day, overall and by sex and race and ethnicity, 2019. Error bars represent 95% CIs. 
*Counts time spent playing games, watching videos, texting, or using social media on their smartphone, computer, Xbox, PlayStation, iPad, or other tablet for something that was not schoolwork. Source: Data derived from Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System.92

Chart 4-4.

Chart 4-4. Percentage of US students in grades 9 through 12 who watched television for ≥3 hours on an average school day, overall and by sex and race and ethnicity, 2019. Error bars represent 95% CIs. Source: Data derived from Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System.92

Chart 4-5.

Chart 4-5. Percentage meeting the aerobic PA guidelines among US adults ≥18 years of age, overall and by sex and race and ethnicity, 2018. Percentages are age adjusted. The aerobic guidelines of the 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans3 recommend engaging in moderate leisure-time PA for ≥150 min/wk, vigorous activity for ≥75 min/wk, or an equivalent combination. Error bars represent 95% CIs. NH indicates non-Hispanic; and PA‚ physical activity. Source: Data derived from National Health Interview Survey.17

Chart 4-6.

Chart 4-6. Prevalence of self-reported physical inactivity among US adults ≥18 years of age by state and territory, 2017 to 2020. States in white had insufficient data, defined as a sample size <50, a relative SE ≥30%, or no data in at least 1 year. Source: Reprinted from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System.18

Chart 4-7.

Chart 4-7. Trends in the percentage of physical inactivity among US adults ≥18 years of age, overall and by sex, 1998 to 2018. Data are age adjusted to the year 2000 standard population for adults ≥18 years of age. Physical inactivity is defined as reporting no engagement in leisure-time physical activity in bouts lasting ≥10 minutes. Source: Data derived from Healthy People 202093 using the National Health Interview Survey.17

Chart 4-8.

Chart 4-8. Percentage meeting the aerobic PA guidelines among US adults ≥25 years of age, by educational attainment, 2018. Data are age adjusted to the year 2000 standard population for adults ≥18 years of age. The 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans3 recommend engaging in moderate leisure-time PA for ≥150 min/wk, vigorous activity for ≥75min/wk, or an equivalent combination (eg, aerobic guideline). The 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans also recommend engaging in muscle-strengthening activities ≥2 d/wk (eg, muscle-strengthening guideline). Error bars represent 95% CIs. PA indicates physical activity. Source: Data derived from Healthy People 202093 using the National Health Interview Survey.17

Chart 4-9.

Chart 4-9. Presence of health-promoting amenities and detracting elements in neighborhoods of US youth 0 to 17 years of age, 2019 to 2020. Error bars represent 95% CIs. Health-promoting amenities included parks, recreation centers, sidewalks, and libraries. Health-detracting elements included litter or garbage on the street or sidewalk, poorly kept or rundown housing, and vandalism such as broken windows or graffiti. Source: Data derived from National Survey of Children’s Health.12

Chart 4-10.

Chart 4-10. Age-standardized global mortality rates attributable to low PA per 100 000, both sexes, 2020. During each annual GBD Study cycle, population health estimates are produced for the full time series. Improvements in statistical and geospatial modeling methods and the addition of new data sources may lead to changes in past results across GBD Study cycles. GBD indicates Global Burden of Disease; and PA, physical activity. Source: Data courtesy of the GBD Study 2020. Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. Used with permission. All rights reserved.90

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